Follow @attheraces On Twitter EBF Fillies' Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:30

Follow @attheraces On Twitter EBF Fillies' Handicap

Date 2023-04-14

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £9,793

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (4)	Mystic Pearl Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	127	—	6413-	78	83	-	188d	—	—	-9	29.5	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Improved with each of her 2yo runs; time to do better and feasibly treated; 1m a question
6 (6)	Gareeb Brown J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	125	—	343-	76	83	-	189d	—	—	-6	18.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Ended her 2yo campaign with a good 3rd at Newmarket; 1m should suit now handicapping
4 (2)	Inanna Bay J:Ben Curtis T:S Woods	J:Ben Curtis T:S Woods	133	—	1568-	84	77	-	230d	—	—	+3	14.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Struggled in hot races after her winning debut; returns with her yard in form; unexposed
1 (5)	My Minervina Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Peter Fahey	J:Jamie Spencer T:Peter Fahey	142	—	49142-	78	83	67	168d	—	—	+10	19.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
3 wins for former yard and latest 2nd represents strong form; interesting on stable debut
3 (3)	Balalaika Chestnut J:Paul Hanagan T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Paul Hanagan T:Rebecca Menzies	134	—	517-	85	75	8	174d	—	—	+10	18	2.25/1	10 10%
AW maiden winner on second 2yo run; stiff task in Listed event latest; should stay 1m
2 (1)	Smiling Sunflower Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	141	tv	-13347	77	82	63	7d	—	—	+7	12.5	4.75/1	20 5%
Held her form since a winning stable debut at Wolverhampton in January; others stronger

Horse	bet365	Coral
Mystic Pearl	5/4	5/4
Gareeb	5/2	5/2
Inanna	13/2	7/1
My Minervina	15/2	7/1
Balalaika	9	10
Smiling Sunflower	20	18

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mystic Pearl

29.5

OR: 7 Form: 10 Odds: 12.5

5/4

2nd

My Minervina

19.9

OR: 7 Form: 10 Odds: 2.9

15/2

3rd

Gareeb

18.3

OR: 6.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Balalaika

OR: 8.8 Form: 7 Odds: 2.2

Inanna

14.8

OR: 8.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Smiling Sunflower

12.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 4.4 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Balalaika	85	75	8
Inanna	84	77	—
Mystic Pearl	78	83	—
My Minervina	78	83	67
Smiling Sunflower	77	82	63
Gareeb	76	83	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Smiling Sunflower	7d ago	Quick return
My Minervina	168d ago	Long break
Balalaika	174d ago	Long break
Mystic Pearl	188d ago	Long break
Gareeb	189d ago	Long break
Inanna	230d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.