At The Races App Market Movers Handicap – Windsor

Windsor

15:45

At The Races App Market Movers Handicap

Date 2023-04-17

Distance 6f12y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,129

Winning Time 1m 17.27s (slow by 7.17s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Coco Bear (IRE) Saffie Osborne · Patrick Chamings	5/1	Won
2nd	Tyger Bay (GB) Neil Callan · Conrad Allen	7/2F	2.5
3rd	Capote's Dream (IRE) Sean Levey · Tom Ward	11/2	0.3
4th	Beyond Equal (GB) Dougie Costello · Stuart Kittow	18/1	0.2
5th	Sergeant Tibbs (GB) William Cox · John Flint	12/1	.5
6th	Indian Creak (IRE) David Probert · Jack Channon	13/2	4.25
7th	Lil Guff (GB) Dylan Hogan · Daniel & Claire Kubler	11/2	.5
8th	Cuban Breeze (GB) Pat Cosgrave · David Evans	8/1	14
9th	Media Guest (FR) Luke Morris · George Margarson	20/1	2.25
10th	Crimson Sand (IRE) Darragh Keenan · Simon Earle	20/1	4.25

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (2)	Capotes Dream Brown J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	129	—	85478-	79	98	77	178d	—	—	-3	11.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
All five wins came in 2021 and he didn't make a serious impact last term; others preferred
2 (10)	Cuban Breeze Bay J:Pat Cosgrave T:David Evans	J:Pat Cosgrave T:David Evans	135	v	557-75	85	101	92	16d	—	—	+1	11.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Five wins last year and latest was off today's mark over C&D; interesting back on turf
5 (3)	Lil Guff Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Dylan Hogan T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	131	—	5606-3	81	103	95	16d	—	—	+3	13.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Triple turf winner who went close on AW on her recent return; key player
3 (9)	Tyger Bay Bay J:Neil Callan T:Conrad Allen	J:Neil Callan T:Conrad Allen	132	tb	-23445	82	93	54	45d	—	—	-2	14.9	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Has done well on AW since November and his turf win came on soft; possibilities
1 (11)	Crimson Sand Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Simon Earle	J:Darragh Keenan T:Simon Earle	135	h	242-92	85	95	86	32d	—	—	+3	11.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
All three wins have been on AW but he's run near his best over 6f on turf; respected
11 (1)	Coco Bear Brown J:Saffie Osborne T:Patrick Chamings	J:Saffie Osborne T:Patrick Chamings	117	—	00266-	67	96	78	182d	—	—	-2	10.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Triple 6f winner who has plenty of form when fresh and is suited by slow ground; dangerous
NR (6)	El Hibri Bay J:Mollie Phillips(3) T:Tony Carroll	J:Mollie Phillips(3) T:Tony Carroll	117	—	83203-	67	95	82	196d	—	—	+7	12	4.75/1	20 5%
Inconsistent maiden who was well below form in final two runs last season; opposable
4 (8)	Beyond Equal Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Stuart Kittow	J:Dougie Costello T:Stuart Kittow	131	—	0483-5	81	99	90	16d	—	—	+5	9	5.25/1	22 5%
His turf wins have come on good/good to firm and has some work to do back in this sphere
6 (7)	Indian Creak Bay J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	131	—	04030-	81	101	89	178d	—	—	+1	13.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
His last three wins have come over C&D including on soft; needs a close look on return
8 (4)	Sergeant Tibbs Bay J:William Cox T:John Flint	J:William Cox T:John Flint	123	—	00553-	73	99	99	126d	—	—	+4	10.5	2.75/1	12 8%
His win came off 4lb higher and interesting to see how he figures in market for new yard
9 (5)	Media Guest b/br J:Luke Morris T:George Margarson	J:Luke Morris T:George Margarson	121	—	3406-8	71	99	88	90d	—	—	+2	6.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Returns to turf off a dangerous mark but he's 1-18 and needs a major revival

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Capotes Dream	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Cuban Breeze	13/2	13/2	6	13/2	6
Lil Guff	13/2	7	13/2	7	7
Tyger Bay	4	4	7/2	4	4
Crimson Sand	9	17/2	8	8	8
Coco Bear	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
El Hibri	20	20	18	20	20
Beyond Equal	22	22	16	22	22
Indian Creak	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Sergeant Tibbs	12	12	12	12	12
Media Guest	18	18	14	18	18

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tyger Bay

14.9

OR: 8 Form: 1.9 Odds: 5

7/2

2nd

Lil Guff

13.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

13/2

3rd

Indian Creak

13.2

OR: 7.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.3

11/2

El Hibri

OR: 4.3 Form: 6.4 Odds: 1.4

Cuban Breeze

11.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Capotes Dream

11.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Crimson Sand

11.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Sergeant Tibbs

10.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

Coco Bear

10.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Beyond Equal

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Media Guest

6.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cuban Breeze	85	101	92
Crimson Sand	85	95	86
Tyger Bay	82	93	54
Lil Guff	81	103	95
Beyond Equal	81	99	90
Indian Creak	81	101	89
Capotes Dream	79	98	77
Sergeant Tibbs	73	99	99
Media Guest	71	99	88
Coco Bear	67	96	78
El Hibri	67	95	82

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cuban Breeze	16d ago	Fit
Lil Guff	16d ago	Fit
Beyond Equal	16d ago	Fit
Crimson Sand	32d ago	Fit
Tyger Bay	45d ago	Fit
Media Guest	90d ago	Fresh
Sergeant Tibbs	126d ago	Long break
Capotes Dream	178d ago	Long break
Indian Creak	178d ago	Long break
Coco Bear	182d ago	Long break
El Hibri	196d ago	Long break