At The Races App Form Study Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

14:00

At The Races App Form Study Handicap

Date 2023-04-18

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 1m 25.04s (slow by 3.04s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	The Toff (IRE) Kieran Shoemark · Charles Hills	100/30	Won
2nd	Albert Cee (FR) J F Egan · Peter Chapple-Hyam	5/4F	.75
3rd	Aurora Dawn (IRE) Ross Coakley · Ed Walker	12/1	1.75
4th	Topo Chico (IRE) Harry Burns · Joseph Parr	15/2	0.3
5th	Ferensby (GB) Jamie Spencer · Richard Hannon	20/1	.75
6th	Trilby (GB) Connor Planas · George Boughey	5/1	1.5
7th	Mister X (IRE) Luke Catton · Stuart Williams	14/1	0.05

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (2)	Albert Cee b/br J:J F Egan T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	J:J F Egan T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	131	—	6034-2	68	84	76	13d	—	—	-14	20.2	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Improved on first run for current trainer last time; up 3lb but claims back over 7f
7 (4)	The Toff Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charles Hills	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charles Hills	130	b	65-542	67	80	59	20d	—	—	-8	9.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Ran well last time but looking exposed and may find one or two too good once again
2 (6)	Trilby Bay J:Connor Planas(5) T:George Boughey	J:Connor Planas(5) T:George Boughey	133	—	062-4	70	81	60	17d	—	—	-7	10	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has shown similar level of form over 6f on AW; should appreciate 7f on handicap debut
6 (7)	Topo Chico Grey J:Harry Burns(3) T:Joseph Parr	J:Harry Burns(3) T:Joseph Parr	130	p	23-422	67	86	79	6d	—	—	-3	7.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Yet to win but largely consistent; should go well but may find one or two too good
4 (5)	Aurora Dawn Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Ed Walker	J:Ross Coakley T:Ed Walker	131	—	6-53	68	78	50	83d	—	—	-1	6.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Has improved with every start and type to do better now handicapping; interesting
1 (3)	Ferensby Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Richard Hannon	J:Jamie Spencer T:Richard Hannon	135	—	82-4	72	80	58	38d	—	—	+1	7.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Not at best latest; claims on handicap debut if Wolverhampton November run is reproduced
5 (1)	Mister X Bay J:Luke Catton(5) T:Stuart Williams	J:Luke Catton(5) T:Stuart Williams	131	t	-42615	68	80	69	20d	—	—	+9	14.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Decent strike-rate on AW but will have to put a below-par C&D run behind him

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Albert Cee	6/4	6/4	6/4	11/8	11/8
The Toff	4	4	10/3	7/2	7/2
Trilby	7/2	4	4	7/2	9/2
Topo Chico	15/2	15/2	7	15/2	8
Aurora Dawn	12	12	11	11	11
Ferensby	14	12	12	12	12
Mister X	18	16	16	16	14

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Albert Cee

20.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 5 Odds: 10.7

6/4

2nd

Mister X

14.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.4

3rd

Trilby

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

The Toff

9.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Topo Chico

7.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Ferensby

7.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Aurora Dawn

6.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ferensby	72	80	58
Trilby	70	81	60
Albert Cee	68	84	76
Aurora Dawn	68	78	50
Mister X	68	80	69
The Toff	67	80	59
Topo Chico	67	86	79

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Topo Chico	6d ago	Quick return
Albert Cee	13d ago	Quick return
Trilby	17d ago	Fit
The Toff	20d ago	Fit
Mister X	20d ago	Fit
Ferensby	38d ago	Fit
Aurora Dawn	83d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 7f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.