Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

15:45

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

Date 2023-04-18

Distance 5f6y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,402

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (8)	Master Sully Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Roger Teal	J:Hollie Doyle T:Roger Teal	123	p	8-1576	48	72	65	22d	—	—	-14	5.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
C&D winner on stable debut in January; less good since and now tried in cheekpieces
1 (1)	Suanni Grey J:Liam Wright(7) T:Darryll Holland	J:Liam Wright(7) T:Darryll Holland	137	tb	13999-	62	72	60	117d	—	—	-6	10.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
None too consistent but he's talented on his day and is well drawn to attack; chance
5 (2)	Fair And Square Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Ronald Harris	J:Richard Kingscote T:Ronald Harris	129	b	2-5446	54	73	62	21d	—	—	-8	9.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
31-race maiden; often placed and should run his race but likely to find something stronger
6 (3)	Battle Point Bay J:William Carson T:Michael Attwater	J:William Carson T:Michael Attwater	124	p	394335	49	74	69	22d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-7	8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Exposed maiden but conditions to suit and he holds each-way claims again
4 (6)	Storm Melody Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Ali Stronge	J:Robert Havlin T:Ali Stronge	131	b	-34819	56	72	63	18d	—	—	+1	12.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Veteran who won well over C&D last month; less good in Class 5 latest; big player today
3 (4)	Sparked Bay J:Pat Cosgrave T:Jim Boyle	J:Pat Cosgrave T:Jim Boyle	131	—	3015-9	56	72	42	15d	—	—	-6	4.4	2.00/1	9 11%
C&D winner; low-key return two weeks ago but she's better than that
2 (5)	Im Mable Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Michael Attwater	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Michael Attwater	133	—	6-6885	58	58	48	38d	—	—	-2	3.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Dropped 11lb since joining this yard but little sign of taking advantage
8 (7)	Pacopash Bay J:J F Egan T:Lisa Williamson	J:J F Egan T:Lisa Williamson	121	v	780-79	46	55	44	33d	—	—	-2	0.8	12.25/1	50 2%
Unplaced in all 18 starts, including two for this yard last month

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Master Sully	3	10/3	10/3	3	7/2
Suanni	4	9/2	7/2	4	4
Fair And Square	4	7/2	7/2	7/2	4
Battle Point	5	5	9/2	9/2	4
Storm Melody	13/2	6	6	6	6
Sparked	15/2	8	8	8	9
Im Mable	16	14	14	14	14
Pacopash	50	40	40	40	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Storm Melody

12.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 7.6 Odds: 3.3

13/2

2nd

Suanni

10.9

OR: 3 Form: 2.9 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Fair And Square

9.5

OR: 1 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5

7/2

Battle Point

OR: 0 Form: 3.6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Master Sully

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Sparked

4.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

Im Mable

3.6

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Pacopash

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Suanni	62	72	60
Im Mable	58	58	48
Storm Melody	56	72	63
Sparked	56	72	42
Fair And Square	54	73	62
Battle Point	49	74	69
Master Sully	48	72	65
Pacopash	46	55	44

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sparked	15d ago	Fit
Storm Melody	18d ago	Fit
Fair And Square	21d ago	Fit
Master Sully	22d ago	Fit
Battle Point	22d ago	Fit
Pacopash	33d ago	Fit
Im Mable	38d ago	Fit
Suanni	117d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Suanni	Prominent
Battle Point	Prominent
Storm Melody	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 8 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 5f6y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.