bet365 European Breeders' Fund Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

Newmarket

16:45

Date 2023-04-19

Distance 1m

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £5,400

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
15 (7)	Silver Lady Bay J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-30	15	0.23/1	10/11 52%
Well-bred newcomer from a powerful stable; no surprise to see her feature
6 (1)	Ludmilla Bay J:Frankie Dettori T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Frankie Dettori T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	3-	-	101	59	172d	—	—	-15	11	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Hugely promising debut over 7f here in October; yard has a fine record in this race
7 (12)	Mubhijah Chestnut J:Jim Crowley T:Roger Varian	J:Jim Crowley T:Roger Varian	128	—	6323-2	82	93	63	13d	—	—	+7	15.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Placed in her last 4 starts, including upped to 1m latest; needs more to win though
14 (14)	Sea Claret Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	3.75/1	16 6%
180,000euros yearling; dam a Group 2 winner; yard won this in 2019; check the betting
9 (16)	Never Ending Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	4-	-	74	-	134d	—	—	-4	1.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Green when keeping-on 4th in a Southwell novice in December (7f); bred to do much better
1 (2)	Awesome Georgie Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:William Stone	J:Hollie Doyle T:William Stone	128	—	2	-	80	49	14d	—	—	+1	6.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Promising 2nd at Nottingham two weeks ago (1m, soft); this will demand further progress
11 (8)	Rising Bay Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	128	—	8-	-	72	-	161d	—	—	-2	0.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Shaped with much more promise than the result suggests on debut in November (1m, AW)
8 (10)	Mysterious Love Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:David Menuisier	J:Kieran Shoemark T:David Menuisier	128	—	425-	92	97	48	161d	—	—	+12	14.7	8.00/1	33 3%
Showed pretty useful peak form among three runs in France last autumn; commands respect
13 (3)	Rowayeh Bay J:Dane O'Neill T:Owen Burrows	J:Dane O'Neill T:Owen Burrows	128	h	6-	-	78	-	182d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Couldn't reward market support on her Kempton debut last October; bred to do better
10 (13)	Pillarsofcreation Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	128	—	53	-	77	-	58d	—	—	+1	3.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Similar form in two 1m AW runs in February; looks the stable second string this time
2 (9)	Dancing Chestnut J:Kevin Stott T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Kevin Stott T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	128	—	07-	-	54	17	163d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Well beaten in two 7f runs for Richard Hannon last autumn; a huge step forward is required
12 (4)	Rocha Do Leao Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Marco Ghiani T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Half-sister to a useful middle-distance winner; this looks a tough starting point
4 (15)	Lady Claypoole Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	128	p	48-	-	77	40	182d	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Stepping up in trip/addition of headgear can help but significant progress is required
3 (5)	Greysful Storm Grey J:Liam Wright(7) T:Darryll Holland	J:Liam Wright(7) T:Darryll Holland	128	—	557-	-	81	47	172d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.25/1	150 1%
Clear promise as a 2yo but her form lags well behind some of her rivals
5 (6)	Lady Rascal Brown J:Callum Shepherd T:George Boughey	J:Callum Shepherd T:George Boughey	128	—	6-8	-	78	45	25d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.25/1	150 1%
Two runs six months apart contained promise but she's still easy enough to swerve today
16 (11)	Who Loves You Baby Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:John Ryan	J:Darragh Keenan T:John Ryan	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	99.75/1	400 0%
3,500gns 2yo; half-sister to a winner in Italy; unlikely winner this time

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Silver Lady	10/11	10/11	1	10/11	10/11
Ludmilla	5/2	9/4	9/4	9/4	5/2
Mubhijah	8	17/2	15/2	9	9
Sea Claret	16	14	12	14	14/1
Never Ending	14	20	16	20	20/1
Awesome Georgie	18	18	14	16	16/1
Rising Bay	33	28	22	25	28/1
Mysterious Love	33	33	33	33	33
Rowayeh	25	28	22	28	28
Pillarsofcreation	33	33	28	28/1	33
Dancing	100	80	80	80	80
Rocha Do Leao	80	100	80	100	80/1
Lady Claypoole	100	100	66	66	100/1
Greysful Storm	150	80	50	66	125/1
Lady Rascal	150	150	100	125	125/1
Who Loves You Baby	400	150	150	150	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mubhijah

15.5

OR: 8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

2nd

Silver Lady

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 15

10/11

3rd

Mysterious Love

14.7

OR: 10.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.7

Ludmilla

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 8

5/2

Awesome Georgie

6.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

Pillarsofcreation

3.9

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.9

Sea Claret

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Never Ending

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Rising Bay

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Rowayeh

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Dancing

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Rocha Do Leao

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Greysful Storm

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Lady Claypoole

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Lady Rascal

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Who Loves You Baby

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

400

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mysterious Love	92	97	48
Mubhijah	82	93	63
Silver Lady	—	—	—
Ludmilla	—	101	59
Sea Claret	—	—	—
Never Ending	—	74	—
Awesome Georgie	—	80	49
Rising Bay	—	72	—
Rowayeh	—	78	—
Pillarsofcreation	—	77	—
Dancing	—	54	17
Rocha Do Leao	—	—	—
Lady Claypoole	—	77	40
Greysful Storm	—	81	47
Lady Rascal	—	78	45
Who Loves You Baby	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mubhijah	13d ago	Quick return
Awesome Georgie	14d ago	Fit
Lady Rascal	25d ago	Fit
Pillarsofcreation	58d ago	Fresh
Never Ending	134d ago	Long break
Rising Bay	161d ago	Long break
Mysterious Love	161d ago	Long break
Dancing	163d ago	Long break
Ludmilla	172d ago	Long break
Greysful Storm	172d ago	Long break
Rowayeh	182d ago	Long break
Lady Claypoole	182d ago	Long break
Silver Lady	—	—
Sea Claret	—	—
Rocha Do Leao	—	—
Who Loves You Baby	—	—