Cheltenham Pony Racing Authority Graduates Handicap Hurdle (Conditional Jockeys' & Amateur Riders')

Cheltenham

17:00

Date 2023-04-19

Distance 2m179y

Class Class 3

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £8,143

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Black Poppy Bay J:Luca Morgan T:Kerry Lee	J:Luca Morgan T:Kerry Lee	159	—	12-273	119	128	95	46d	—	—	+4	22.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Returned to something approaching his best when a close third at Newbury; reliable.
11	By Your Side Bay J:Ben Bromley(5) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Ben Bromley(5) T:Gordon Elliott	152	—	033421	120	136	109	20d	—	—	+20	37.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Three Flat wins and jumped better when getting up late on in a Naas maiden.
6	Mayhem Mya Bay J:Finn Lambert(5) T:Chris Honour	J:Finn Lambert(5) T:Chris Honour	159	—	0-U421	119	133	104	43d	—	—	+5	22.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
May be better on softer ground ideally; only 4lb higher than when well on top at Sandown.
7	Ballygeary Brown J:Theo Gillard T:Donald Mccain	J:Theo Gillard T:Donald Mccain	159	—	-22111	119	132	93	25d	—	—	+35	44.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Got away with his double penalty in a weakish novice at Kelso (2m, soft) 25 days ago.
NR	Ashington Bay J:Tom Midgley(5) T:Mark Walford	J:Tom Midgley(5) T:Mark Walford	164	v	352B32	124	134	118	80d	—	—	+21	29.2	2.50/1	11 9%
Running well but will need to pick up where he left off after an 80-day break.
12	Lively Citizen Bay J:Lilly Pinchin(3) T:D J Jeffreys	J:Lilly Pinchin(3) T:D J Jeffreys	149	—	6-0780	109	135	93	72d	—	—	+9	17.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Has won handicaps here and was second in last year's Imperial Cup.
1	Martator Bay J:Miss Lucy Turner(5) T:Venetia Williams	J:Miss Lucy Turner(5) T:Venetia Williams	168	—	43-80P	128	133	90	43d	—	—	+15	21.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Placed in Grade 1s when trained in France; it's been a quiet start for this yard.
9	Elham Valley Grey J:Liam Harrison(3) T:Fergal Obrien	J:Liam Harrison(3) T:Fergal Obrien	158	tb	134120	118	129	108	—	—	—	+22	27.5	4.25/1	18 6%
Last hurdle run was forgettable and he finished last on the AW two weeks ago.
3	Fransham Bay J:Mr Jack Andrews(3) T:Pam Sly	J:Mr Jack Andrews(3) T:Pam Sly	166	—	-25463	126	135	109	19d	—	—	+19	24.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Ran better last time at Wetherby but still beaten 12l and remains below his best form.
4	Walhaan Grey J:Fergus Gillard(3) T:Ciaran Murphy	J:Fergus Gillard(3) T:Ciaran Murphy	165	—	4419	125	127	97	20d	—	—	+23	26.8	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Won a decent Leopardstown maiden hurdle and would have found the going too testing at Naas
2	Gumball Grey J:Miss Fern O'Brien(7) T:Fergal Obrien	J:Miss Fern O'Brien(7) T:Fergal Obrien	167	t	2P-456	127	136	43	37d	—	—	+16	20.3	5.25/1	22 5%
Seems to have developed his own ideas about the game and isn't in much form.
14	Samtara Bay J:Harry Atkins(10) T:Martin Keighley	J:Harry Atkins(10) T:Martin Keighley	147	h	5FP541	107	131	101	26d	—	—	+21	24.5	6.00/1	25 4%
Off the mark at the 22nd attempt when well backed at Hereford last month; this is tougher.
13	Red Force One Grey J:Toby Wynne(5) T:Philip Kirby	J:Toby Wynne(5) T:Philip Kirby	148	—	6P-557	108	129	86	65d	—	—	+12	15.4	6.75/1	28 4%
Most recent wins have been on the Flat and he's been uninspiring back over hurdles.
10	Boston Emery Chestnut J:Miss Roisin Leech(7) T:Sophie Leech	J:Miss Roisin Leech(7) T:Sophie Leech	156	ht	1F-658	116	-	-	74d	—	—	+15	17.1	9.75/1	40 3%
Has won six of his 11 starts in France, four hurdles and two chases; UK debut.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Black Poppy	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2	7/2
By Your Side	9/2	4	7/2	4	4/1
Mayhem Mya	4	4	7/2	4	7/2
Ballygeary	7	7	7	7	15/2
Ashington	10	11	SP	11	11
Lively Citizen	10	9	17/2	9	17/2
Martator	14	12	12	12	12
Elham Valley	14	18	18	18	16/1
Fransham	14	18/1	16	16	18
Walhaan	20	18	18	20	20/1
Gumball	18	22	22	22	22
Samtara	25	25	25	25	25
Red Force One	28	25	22	28	28
Boston Emery	40	40	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ballygeary

44.4

OR: 17.3 Form: 24.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

2nd

By Your Side

37.5

OR: 17.5 Form: 15 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Ashington

29.2

OR: 18.5 Form: 8.6 Odds: 2.1

Elham Valley

27.5

OR: 17 Form: 9.1 Odds: 1.4

Walhaan

26.8

OR: 18.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Samtara

24.5

OR: 14.3 Form: 9.3 Odds: 1

Fransham

24.4

OR: 19 Form: 4 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Black Poppy

22.7

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Mayhem Mya

22.3

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Martator

21.1

OR: 19.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Gumball

20.3

OR: 19.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Lively Citizen

17.1

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Boston Emery

17.1

OR: 16.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Red Force One

15.4

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Martator	128	133	90
Gumball	127	136	43
Fransham	126	135	109
Walhaan	125	127	97
Ashington	124	134	118
By Your Side	120	136	109
Black Poppy	119	128	95
Mayhem Mya	119	133	104
Ballygeary	119	132	93
Elham Valley	118	129	108
Boston Emery	116	—	—
Lively Citizen	109	135	93
Red Force One	108	129	86
Samtara	107	131	101

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fransham	19d ago	Fit
By Your Side	20d ago	Fit
Walhaan	20d ago	Fit
Ballygeary	25d ago	Fit
Samtara	26d ago	Fit
Gumball	37d ago	Fit
Mayhem Mya	43d ago	Fit
Martator	43d ago	Fit
Black Poppy	46d ago	Fresh
Red Force One	65d ago	Fresh
Lively Citizen	72d ago	Fresh
Boston Emery	74d ago	Fresh
Ashington	80d ago	Fresh
Elham Valley	—	—