Beverley Beaker Handicap – Beverley

Beverley

14:50

Beverley Beaker Handicap

Date 2023-04-19

Distance 5f

Class Class 3

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £7,731

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (17)	Papa Dont Preach Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Kevin Frost	J:NON-RUNNER T:Kevin Frost	128	—	9-3106	83	-	-	34d	—	—	-4	13.4	—	—
Dual AW winner; return to turf on which he is 0-11 and widest draw tempers enthusiasm
15 (2)	Count Dorsay Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	122	—	8687-7	77	107	99	11d	—	—	-4	11.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
On losing run of 36; well treated and soft ground suits but lack of recent wins concerning
12 (6)	Dandy Dinmont Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	124	—	861-22	79	101	76	33d	—	—	0	10.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Has been running well on AW; return to turf not an issue so plenty of room for optimism
9 (3)	Nelson Gay Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	126	—	0524-4	81	103	93	33d	—	—	0	10.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Shaped okay when fourth on stable debut; may have needed that run and better on cards here
4 (8)	Good Earth Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Herrington	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Herrington	129	—	2645-6	84	103	94	25d	—	—	+2	11.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Successful 2022 campaign but handicapper reacted and he looks high enough in the weights
17 (1)	Ventura Flame Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Keith Dalgleish	J:Joe Fanning T:Keith Dalgleish	119	—	99598-	74	106	98	175d	—	—	-1	8.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Back down to last winning mark and has inside draw; possibilities
3 (14)	Badri Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Ruth Carr	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Ruth Carr	133	—	4-1148	88	106	62	9d	—	—	+3	11.9	2.25/1	10 10%
Not yet as effective on turf as the AW but is more leniently treated in this sphere
13 (4)	The Thin Blue Line b/br J:Sam James T:Keith Dalgleish	J:Sam James T:Keith Dalgleish	123	—	5510-0	78	103	94	94d	—	—	+2	9.1	2.50/1	11 9%
Won over 6f on AW in December; switches back to turf on which he is 1-25; others preferred
7 (9)	Rambuso Creek Bay J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	127	—	20928-	82	101	91	177d	—	—	+8	14.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Decent form last year but disappointing on final start; looks a shade high in the weights
8 (12)	Sound Reason Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	126	—	19686-	81	105	90	189d	—	—	+5	11.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Form dipped after win at Haydock last May; back down to last winning mark; has had wind op
5 (15)	Music Society Grey J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:Tim Easterby	128	—	26731-	83	102	92	176d	—	—	+18	22.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Won over 6f when last seen in October; 2lb higher and this shorter trip may not be ideal
14 (10)	Mr Beaufort Bay J:Jason Watson T:David Omeara	J:Jason Watson T:David Omeara	122	—	1491-9	77	102	95	19d	—	—	+3	8.4	3.75/1	16 6%
4lb higher than when last successful but lightly raced and probably capable of better
10 (16)	King Of Tonga Grey J:Harrison Shaw T:Declan Carroll	J:Harrison Shaw T:Declan Carroll	125	b	01306-	80	101	91	168d	—	—	+9	13.2	6.00/1	25 4%
Won four times last year; makes seasonal reappearance from a tough draw
2 (5)	Night On Earth Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Ian Williams	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Ian Williams	135	—	30166-	90	104	99	154d	—	—	+13	16.7	4.75/1	20 5%
Not at his best since joining current yard but now down to last winning mark
1 (13)	Strong Johnson Bay J:P J McDonald T:Paul Midgley	J:P J McDonald T:Paul Midgley	135	t	4560-7	90	102	83	85d	—	—	+8	10.8	8.00/1	33 3%
First run since coming over from Ireland when last of seven on the AW; bit to prove
11 (7)	Jojo Rabbit Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	125	—	086-80	80	102	95	19d	—	—	+6	8.2	9.75/1	40 3%
Disappointing in two runs this year; best watched until showing signs of return to form
16 (11)	Ernest Rutherford Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	121	t	10/78-	76	97	69	336d	—	—	+5	7	9.75/1	40 3%
Ex-Irish; gelded ahead of his debut for Tim Easterby; tongue tie on; probably best watched

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Papa Dont Preach	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Count Dorsay	9/2	4	5	9/2	9/2
Dandy Dinmont	13/2	7	7	13/2	13/2
Nelson Gay	15/2	7	7	7	7
Good Earth	8	7	7/1	15/2	15/2
Ventura Flame	15/2	17/2	15/2	8	17/2
Badri	10	10	10	8	10
The Thin Blue Line	11	9	9	10	10
Rambuso Creek	11	12	12	12	12
Sound Reason	10	14	12	12	12
Music Society	16	18	18	18	18
Mr Beaufort	12	16	14	14	16
King Of Tonga	25	25	22	16	22
Night On Earth	20	20	20	18	20
Strong Johnson	25	33	28	28	28
Jojo Rabbit	40	33	33/1	28	33
Ernest Rutherford	40	40	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Music Society

22.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 13.1 Odds: 1.2

2nd

Night On Earth

16.7

OR: 10 Form: 5.6 Odds: 1.1

3rd

Rambuso Creek

14.2

OR: 8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.7

Papa Dont Preach

13.4

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

—

King Of Tonga

13.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.2

Badri

11.9

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Sound Reason

11.7

OR: 7.8 Form: 2 Odds: 1.9

Count Dorsay

11.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Good Earth

11.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Strong Johnson

10.8

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Nelson Gay

10.6

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Dandy Dinmont

10.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

The Thin Blue Line

9.1

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Ventura Flame

8.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Mr Beaufort

8.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Jojo Rabbit

8.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ernest Rutherford

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Night On Earth	90	104	99
Strong Johnson	90	102	83
Badri	88	106	62
Good Earth	84	103	94
Papa Dont Preach	83	—	—
Music Society	83	102	92
Rambuso Creek	82	101	91
Nelson Gay	81	103	93
Sound Reason	81	105	90
King Of Tonga	80	101	91
Jojo Rabbit	80	102	95
Dandy Dinmont	79	101	76
The Thin Blue Line	78	103	94
Count Dorsay	77	107	99
Mr Beaufort	77	102	95
Ernest Rutherford	76	97	69
Ventura Flame	74	106	98

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Badri	9d ago	Quick return
Count Dorsay	11d ago	Quick return
Mr Beaufort	19d ago	Fit
Jojo Rabbit	19d ago	Fit
Good Earth	25d ago	Fit
Dandy Dinmont	33d ago	Fit
Nelson Gay	33d ago	Fit
Papa Dont Preach	34d ago	Fit
Strong Johnson	85d ago	Fresh
The Thin Blue Line	94d ago	Long break
Night On Earth	154d ago	Long break
King Of Tonga	168d ago	Long break
Ventura Flame	175d ago	Long break
Music Society	176d ago	Long break
Rambuso Creek	177d ago	Long break
Sound Reason	189d ago	Long break
Ernest Rutherford	336d ago	Long break