Queen Ethelburga's Collegiate Handicap – Ripon

Ripon

15:20

Queen Ethelburga's Collegiate Handicap

Date 2023-04-20

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £6,281

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (11)	Fortamour Bay J:Paul Hanagan T:Ben Haslam	J:Paul Hanagan T:Ben Haslam	137	—	905-05	82	97	85	10d	—	—	-4	13	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Three-time C&D winner, including this race last year; better can be expected today
10 (6)	Sir Winston Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	130	—	23/35-	75	92	64	182d	—	—	-6	11.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Shown promise over 7f but expensive to follow; needs new trip/ground to spark something
7 (4)	Bay Breeze Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	132	—	0429-9	77	93	84	12d	—	—	-3	10.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
2-2 over C&D and made a pleasing return at Musselburgh; strong claims
3 (14)	Muscika Bay J:Mark Winn(5) T:David Omeara	J:Mark Winn(5) T:David Omeara	135	v	601313	80	91	72	26d	—	—	+17	23.9	2.25/1	10 10%
In good form on AW this winter; conditions shouldn't faze him and he's one to consider
15 (3)	Iris Dancer Bay J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Tristan Davidson	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Tristan Davidson	120	—	5189-6	65	93	83	18d	—	—	-2	6.1	2.25/1	10 10%
C&D winner; effective on slow ground and not on a bad mark if coming on for her return
11 (10)	Asadjumeirah Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	129	tv	648824	74	93	92	12d	—	—	+5	11.4	2.75/1	12 8%
On a good mark and latest run easy to forgive; should get a good pace to aim at; chance
5 (8)	Another Investment Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	134	—	752-40	79	93	81	18d	—	—	+2	9.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Still seeking first handicap win; below par on first run on soft ground 18 days ago
13 (7)	Burj Malinka Chestnut J:Connor Murtagh T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Connor Murtagh T:Adrian Nicholls	125	p	3062-3	70	91	77	18d	—	—	+3	9.9	2.50/1	11 9%
Promising return to action at Doncaster and returning to 6f could help; respected
6 (2)	Showtime Mahomes Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	132	—	00007-	77	90	87	174d	—	—	+2	8.5	3.25/1	14 7%
On the same mark as when beating 20 rivals at York last May; contender if handling ground
1 (5)	Marks Choice Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	137	tv	1060-0	82	92	87	18d	—	—	+5	9.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Multiple course winner; sharper for recent return and a more prominent showing expected
9 (13)	Cooperation Bay J:Taylor Fisher(5) T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Taylor Fisher(5) T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	132	h	49234-	77	92	85	180d	—	—	+8	12.4	6.00/1	25 4%
Back to form for this yard in the second half of 2022; mark still fair; not a forlorn hope
8 (15)	Touchwood Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	132	—	22762-	77	90	72	198d	—	—	+9	16.2	5.25/1	22 5%
Expensive to follow for C Hills in 2022; new yard may find the key to him but ground a ?
12 (9)	Prodigious Blue Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	128	—	1668-5	73	90	75	10d	—	—	+3	6.6	8.00/1	33 3%
Poor strike-rate; better for recent reappearance but could do with the ground drying out
4 (1)	Selbys Pride Grey J:Paddy Mathers T:Tony Coyle	J:Paddy Mathers T:Tony Coyle	134	p	70187-	79	91	81	192d	—	—	+10	13	6.75/1	28 4%
Course winner (5f); returns from a 192-day break on a tough-enough mark
14 (12)	Stay Smart Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	121	t	69876-	66	88	-	281d	—	—	+3	4.4	16.25/1	66 2%
Below his best for D O'Meara last year; sold for £1,500 in October; best watched

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Fortamour	9/2	4	4	4	4
Sir Winston	5	9/2	5	9/2	5
Bay Breeze	5	5	11/2	5	5
Muscika	10	10	10	10	10
Iris Dancer	8	9	9	9	10
Asadjumeirah	12	10	11	11	10
Another Investment	10	10	9	10	11
Burj Malinka	10	10	11	11	11
Showtime Mahomes	14	12	11	12	12
Marks Choice	16	18	18	20	18
Cooperation	25	25	25	25	25
Touchwood	20	18	18	16	22
Prodigious Blue	33	25	25	25	28
Selbys Pride	25	28	28	25	25
Stay Smart	66	50	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Muscika

23.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 14.5 Odds: 1.9

2nd

Touchwood

16.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1.9

3rd

Fortamour

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Selbys Pride

OR: 7.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0.8

Cooperation

12.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 4.6 Odds: 1.1

Asadjumeirah

11.4

OR: 6 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

Sir Winston

11.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Bay Breeze

10.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Burj Malinka

9.9

OR: 5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

Another Investment

9.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Marks Choice

9.2

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Showtime Mahomes

8.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Prodigious Blue

6.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Iris Dancer

6.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Stay Smart

4.4

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fortamour	82	97	85
Marks Choice	82	92	87
Muscika	80	91	72
Another Investment	79	93	81
Selbys Pride	79	91	81
Bay Breeze	77	93	84
Showtime Mahomes	77	90	87
Cooperation	77	92	85
Touchwood	77	90	72
Sir Winston	75	92	64
Asadjumeirah	74	93	92
Prodigious Blue	73	90	75
Burj Malinka	70	91	77
Stay Smart	66	88	—
Iris Dancer	65	93	83

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fortamour	10d ago	Quick return
Prodigious Blue	10d ago	Quick return
Bay Breeze	12d ago	Quick return
Asadjumeirah	12d ago	Quick return
Iris Dancer	18d ago	Fit
Another Investment	18d ago	Fit
Burj Malinka	18d ago	Fit
Marks Choice	18d ago	Fit
Muscika	26d ago	Fit
Showtime Mahomes	174d ago	Long break
Cooperation	180d ago	Long break
Sir Winston	182d ago	Long break
Selbys Pride	192d ago	Long break
Touchwood	198d ago	Long break
Stay Smart	281d ago	Long break