Ard Erin Stud Handicap – Limerick

Limerick

15:20

Ard Erin Stud Handicap

Date 2023-04-22

Distance 1m

Class

Going Yielding

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €7,375

Winning Time 1m 49.25s (slow by 9.55s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Any Dream Will Do (IRE) Jessica Maye · W McCreery	22/1	Won
2nd	Shawaamekh (GB) Donagh O'Connor · J F Levins	11/1	1.5
3rd	Big Island (IRE) Scott McCullagh · W J Lanigan	18/1	0.05
4th	Lord Vader (GB) Leigh Roche · Emmet Mullins	20/1	0.1
5th	Starting Monday (IRE) Nathan Crosse · Gillian Scott	7/1	0.3
6th	Gradulations (GB) Gary Carroll · A Oliver	12/1	1.5
7th	Karlsberg (IRE) Jake Coen · Shane Crawley	2/1F	0.3
8th	Rick Dalton (IRE) Colin Keane · G M Lyons	9/2	0.3
9th	Zahee (IRE) Cillian McConnell · John C McConnell	28/1	0.05
10th	Safari Quest (IRE) Robbie Colgan · A J Martin	40/1	3
11th	Sirjack Thomas (IRE) Adam Caffrey · Adrian McGuinness	17/2	1
12th	Broad Daylight (IRE) Rory Cleary · J S Bolger	40/1	0.3
13th	Pralognan (FR) Mark Enright · A J Martin	50/1	0.3
14th	Jaafel (IRE) Cian MacRedmond · Adrian McGuinness	12/1	.75
15th	Desert Wind (IRE) Declan McDonogh · Luke Comer	25/1	1
16th	Hightimeyouwon (GB) Dylan Browne McMonagle · Adrian McGuinness	16/1	5

Runners (19)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
15 (5)	Karlsberg Bay J:Jake Coen(5) T:Shane Crawley	J:Jake Coen(5) T:Shane Crawley	133	—	6015-2	73	90	79	20d	—	—	-9	19.6	0.25/1	2 50%
Well backed for this month's return when 2nd and that form boosted since; up 2lb
6 (2)	Rick Dalton Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	138	—	3228-2	78	89	69	22d	—	—	+1	16.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Frustrating sort who is still a maiden but placed in 7 of 9 starts; hard to rule out
R17 (14)	Starting Monday Chestnut J:Nathan Crosse T:Gillian Scott	J:Nathan Crosse T:Gillian Scott	132	—	720-59	72	91	71	17d	—	—	-1	8.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Losing run goes back more than two years and on stiff mark on recent achievements; reserve
3 (15)	Sirjack Thomas Grey J:Adam Caffrey(7) T:Adrian Mcguinness	J:Adam Caffrey(7) T:Adrian Mcguinness	140	—	007-05	80	92	71	20d	—	—	+3	9.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Losing run goes back to 2021 Galway Festival but hinted at a revival last time
NR (17)	Monzoon Bay J:TBC T:Ross Osullivan	J: T:Ross Osullivan	132	—	42590-	72	92	79	176d	—	—	0	9.8	4.25/1	18 6%
Last on AW when last seen and still above his last winning turf mark; reserve
5 (3)	Jaafel Bay J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Adrian Mcguinness	J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Adrian Mcguinness	138	t	-36416	78	79	66	29d	—	—	+9	16.7	2.50/1	11 9%
Won 3 on AW this winter; not at his best at 7f latest; could go well but best form on AW
NR (6)	Stormy Jenn Bay J:TBC T:P Cluskey	J: T:P Cluskey	131	—	99310-	71	86	64	173d	—	—	+10	15	5.25/1	22 5%
Finally got a second win in October but on a tough mark now; reserve
2 (4)	Big Island Bay J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:W J Lanigan	J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:W J Lanigan	140	—	10321/	80	87	-	—	—	—	+20	26.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Winner when last seen on Flat and won over hurdles since; feasibly treated; off 173 days
NR (16)	Royal Pippen Bay J:TBC T:S Donohoe	J: T:S Donohoe	138	p	9/008-	78	76	49	185d	—	—	+4	8.3	6.00/1	25 4%
Out of form in three runs last year and has needed previous seasonal reappearances
14 (18)	Lord Vader Chestnut J:Leigh Roche T:Emmet Mullins	J:Leigh Roche T:Emmet Mullins	134	—	2326-0	74	85	26	20d	—	—	+3	7.1	4.75/1	20 5%
Went close on AW in Britain; low-key yard debut on heavy recently; may come on for that
4 (19)	Hightimeyouwon b/br J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Adrian Mcguinness	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Adrian Mcguinness	138	p	3-1430	78	77	62	17d	—	—	+6	10.3	5.25/1	22 5%
In good form on AW over winter; low-key return to turf latest and record over 1m is patchy
13 (13)	Any Dream Will Do Bay J:Jessica Maye(10) T:W Mccreery	J:Jessica Maye(10) T:W Mccreery	134	—	25364-	74	89	60	183d	—	—	+6	9.5	6.75/1	28 4%
0-9; narrowly denied on h'cap bow but couldn't build on that back in maidens; off 183 days
11 (10)	Zahee Bay J:Cillian McConnell(7) T:John C Mcconnell	J:Cillian McConnell(7) T:John C Mcconnell	137	ht	84274-	77	91	74	226d	—	—	+6	10.5	6.75/1	28 4%
Leopardstown winner last term; overall turf record patchy; good run at Laytown last time
9 (11)	Desert Wind Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Luke Comer	J:Declan McDonogh T:Luke Comer	137	tb	007-88	77	91	52	57d	—	—	+4	8	5.25/1	22 5%
All 4 wins on AW and hasn't won since 1m4f success in 2019; well held last on AW latest
12 (8)	Shawaamekh Bay J:Donagh O'Connor T:J F Levins	J:Donagh O'Connor T:J F Levins	135	t	70069-	75	87	84	185d	—	—	+2	7.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Won 4 on turf but all at 7f and wasn't at his best back end of last term
10 (7)	Gradulations Bay J:Gary Carroll T:A Oliver	J:Gary Carroll T:A Oliver	137	—	1008-0	77	91	76	17d	—	—	+2	8.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Sligo winner in May 2022 but struggled since and seemingly needs further
16 (12)	Broad Daylight Chestnut J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	119	—	949-9	73	83	37	14d	—	—	+4	6.5	9.75/1	40 3%
Showed a bit when 4th second time out but struggled either side of that run
1 (9)	Pralognan Bay J:Mark Enright T:A J Martin	J:Mark Enright T:A J Martin	142	t	16/22-	82	82	-	—	—	—	+6	8.7	9.75/1	40 3%
1m winner in France; struggled over hurdles for this yard but claims back on the level
8 (1)	Safari Quest Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:A J Martin	J:Robbie Colgan T:A J Martin	138	t	041/90	78	74	20	17d	—	—	+5	7.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Won maiden on final start for Ger Lyons in 2021; struggled twice since but 1m should help

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Karlsberg	2	2	2	2	2
Rick Dalton	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Starting Monday	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Sirjack Thomas	12	12	11	11	11
Monzoon	16	18	18	16	18
Jaafel	10	10	10	10	11
Stormy Jenn	20	22	22	22	22
Big Island	11	11	11	11	10
Royal Pippen	25	22	22	22	22
Lord Vader	20	20	20	20	18
Hightimeyouwon	22	20	18	20	22
Any Dream Will Do	28	25	25	25	28
Zahee	28	22	20	22	22
Desert Wind	22	20	18	20	22
Shawaamekh	12	14	14	14	14
Gradulations	11	12	10	12	12
Broad Daylight	33	40	40	40	40
Pralognan	40	33	33	33	40
Safari Quest	40	40	33	40	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Big Island

26.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 17 Odds: 1.9

2nd

Karlsberg

19.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 5 Odds: 8.9

3rd

Jaafel

16.7

OR: 7 Form: 7.6 Odds: 2.1

Rick Dalton

16.4

OR: 7 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Stormy Jenn

OR: 5.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.3

Zahee

10.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.2

Hightimeyouwon

10.3

OR: 7 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

Monzoon

9.8

OR: 5.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.8

Any Dream Will Do

9.5

OR: 6 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1

Sirjack Thomas

9.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Gradulations

8.7

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Pralognan

8.7

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Royal Pippen

8.3

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

Starting Monday

8.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Desert Wind

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Shawaamekh

7.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Safari Quest

7.6

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Lord Vader

7.1

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Broad Daylight

6.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Pralognan	82	82	—
Sirjack Thomas	80	92	71
Big Island	80	87	—
Rick Dalton	78	89	69
Jaafel	78	79	66
Royal Pippen	78	76	49
Hightimeyouwon	78	77	62
Safari Quest	78	74	20
Zahee	77	91	74
Desert Wind	77	91	52
Gradulations	77	91	76
Shawaamekh	75	87	84
Lord Vader	74	85	26
Any Dream Will Do	74	89	60
Karlsberg	73	90	79
Broad Daylight	73	83	37
Starting Monday	72	91	71
Monzoon	72	92	79
Stormy Jenn	71	86	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Broad Daylight	14d ago	Fit
Starting Monday	17d ago	Fit
Hightimeyouwon	17d ago	Fit
Gradulations	17d ago	Fit
Safari Quest	17d ago	Fit
Karlsberg	20d ago	Fit
Sirjack Thomas	20d ago	Fit
Lord Vader	20d ago	Fit
Rick Dalton	22d ago	Fit
Jaafel	29d ago	Fit
Desert Wind	57d ago	Fresh
Stormy Jenn	173d ago	Long break
Monzoon	176d ago	Long break
Any Dream Will Do	183d ago	Long break
Royal Pippen	185d ago	Long break
Shawaamekh	185d ago	Long break
Zahee	226d ago	Long break
Big Island	—	—
Pralognan	—	—