Naas Racecourse Business Club Blackwater Handicap

Naas

19:40

Date 2023-04-24

Distance 1m

Class

Going Soft To Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize €26,550

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (3)	Something Nice Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Michael Mulvany	J:Declan McDonogh T:Michael Mulvany	131	—	44-21	86	99	83	16d	—	—	-9	17	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Ready winner of 7f Cork maiden and second went close off 78 next time; trip should be fine
6 (4)	Immutable Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	128	—	4212-	83	99	96	180d	—	—	+6	30	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Closely matched with Trachonitus on 1m Curragh nursery form; handles testing ground well
7 (7)	Rhythm King Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:Mark Fahey	J:Gavin Ryan T:Mark Fahey	125	—	0127-1	80	100	79	18d	—	—	+8	21.5	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Bolted up in lesser contest at Bellewstown and now 14lb higher; likes it heavy
1 (5)	Spirit Genie Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	138	—	27127-	93	98	81	206d	—	—	+12	23.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Curragh nursery second (7f, heavy) brings him into it; held in AW Listed contest latest
NR (2)	National Emblem Bay J:TBC T:Mrs John Harrington	J: T:Mrs John Harrington	134	—	81-	89	88	40	236d	—	—	+12	22.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Overlooked by Foley but his Gowran maiden win (7f, good to firm) has worked out well
5 (8)	Trachonitus Bay J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	130	t	5951-4	85	97	95	29d	—	—	0	12.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Narrowly beat Immutable in 1m Curragh nursery and now 3lb worse off; fourth over 7f here
9 (9)	Blue News Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	121	—	5222-6	76	99	68	10d	—	—	+2	8.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Runner-up three times in AW contests last year; well held in visor back at Dundalk latest
NR (1)	Betterdaysrcoming Bay J:TBC T:A Oliver	J: T:A Oliver	134	v	2210-0	89	95	87	22d	—	—	+2	12.7	6.00/1	25 4%
Won 7f maiden here in September but heavy defeats on testing ground last twice
8 (6)	Miss Caruso Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian Mcguinness	J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian Mcguinness	123	—	6415	78	93	-	52d	—	—	+10	15.4	4.25/1	18 6%
AW maiden winner over this trip; fair fifth in Listed contest at Dundalk; ground a worry

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Something Nice	9/4	9/4	5/2	9/4	2
Immutable	11/4	11/4	9/4	11/4	5/2
Rhythm King	6	11/2	13/2	6	6
Spirit Genie	7	13/2	11/2	13/2	7
National Emblem	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Trachonitus	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Blue News	12	10	10	11	11
Betterdaysrcoming	25	25	25	22	25
Miss Caruso	18	16	14	16	18

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Immutable

OR: 8.3 Form: 14.5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

2nd

Spirit Genie

23.6

OR: 10.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

National Emblem

22.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 10 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Rhythm King

21.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 10 Odds: 4

13/2

Something Nice

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

Miss Caruso

15.4

OR: 7 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4

Betterdaysrcoming

12.7

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3

Trachonitus

12.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Blue News

8.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Spirit Genie	93	98	81
National Emblem	89	88	40
Betterdaysrcoming	89	95	87
Something Nice	86	99	83
Trachonitus	85	97	95
Immutable	83	99	96
Rhythm King	80	100	79
Miss Caruso	78	93	—
Blue News	76	99	68

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Blue News	10d ago	Quick return
Something Nice	16d ago	Fit
Rhythm King	18d ago	Fit
Betterdaysrcoming	22d ago	Fit
Trachonitus	29d ago	Fit
Miss Caruso	52d ago	Fresh
Immutable	180d ago	Long break
Spirit Genie	206d ago	Long break
National Emblem	236d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Naas over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 3 draws with historical results at this course and distance.