Racing TV Club Members Handicap – Naas

Naas

20:10

Racing TV Club Members Handicap

Date 2023-04-24

Distance 1m

Class

Going Soft To Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €6,195

Winning Time 1m 52.88s (slow by 17.68s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Persian Queen (IRE) Conor Stone-Walsh · Ms Joanna Morgan	17/2	Won
2nd	Golden Spangle (IRE) Rory Cleary · J S Bolger	5/1	.75
3rd	Stay Local (IRE) Wayne Lordan · Aidan Anthony Howard	3/1F	3.25
4th	Rockbury Lad (GB) Colin Keane · M D O'Callaghan	11/2	1.5
5th	Numidia (IRE) Seamie Heffernan · Peter Lawlor	5/1	1.5
6th	Thunder Canyon (IRE) Chris Hayes · Luke Comer	50/1	6
7th	Stepdance (IRE) Jack Kearney · Andrew McNamara	66/1	5.5
8th	Cozy Cartel (IRE) Killian Leonard · Patrick Michael Verling	150/1	1.75
9th	Srowland Jack (IRE) Adam Caffrey · Adrian Sexton	33/1	7.5
10th	Hello Power (IRE) Dean Curran · D J Bunyan	11/1	1.25
11th	Wee Pablo (IRE) Siobhan Rutledge · H Rogers	6/1	1.75
12th	Snow Lion (IRE) Declan McDonogh · Chris Timmons	16/1	4.25
13th	Khattaat (IRE) Luke McAteer · Paul W Flynn	12/1	22
14th	Burgoo Beauty (IRE) Scott McCullagh · W J Lanigan	150/1	12

Runners (23)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (13)	Stay Local Chestnut J:Wayne Lordan T:Aidan Anthony Howard	J:Wayne Lordan T:Aidan Anthony Howard	134	—	04/32-	57	71	60	—	—	—	-14	8.4	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Beaten favourite on only two starts last season but showed a respectable standard of form
15 (5)	Golden Spangle Chestnut J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	127	—	860-33	64	73	53	5d	—	—	-6	7.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Set for her third outing in quick succession, two good displays, holds an obvious chance
R21 (20)	Rockbury Lad Grey J:Colin Keane T:M D Ocallaghan	J:Colin Keane T:M D Ocallaghan	140	—	3406-4	63	71	54	10d	—	—	-7	7.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
First reserve, met some trouble in running when fourth at Dundalk recently, merits respect
NR (19)	Shona Mea Bay J:TBC T:Mrs John Harrington	J: T:Mrs John Harrington	134	v	9335-4	57	76	60	6d	—	—	-8	5.8	2.00/1	9 11%
Third reserve, coped well enough with soft ground last week but would prefer better going
10 (1)	Numidia Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:Peter Lawlor	J:Seamie Heffernan T:Peter Lawlor	131	—	7-1384	54	73	53	19d	—	—	-8	4.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won over this trip at Dundalk in February, form of Leopardstown fourth gives him a chance
NR (4)	Cleopatras Needle Chestnut J:TBC T:H Rogers	J: T:H Rogers	128	t	7860-4	51	72	49	26d	—	—	-7	3	2.50/1	11 9%
Form of last month's Navan fourth has been boosted by the winner, holds leading chance
3 (2)	Wee Pablo Grey Roan J:Siobhan Rutledge(5) T:H Rogers	J:Siobhan Rutledge(5) T:H Rogers	140	—	95449-	63	75	62	166d	—	—	-4	6.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Not one of his best efforts on final start last year, fair form previously on heavy ground
NR (3)	Barnhill Rose Bay J:TBC T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J: T:Denis Gerard Hogan	132	—	826-39	55	76	66	6d	—	—	-5	3.6	2.50/1	11 9%
Started the season well with Leopardstown third, behind Persian Queen at Gowran last week
6 (17)	Khattaat Brown J:Luke McAteer(3) T:Paul W Flynn	J:Luke McAteer(3) T:Paul W Flynn	136	t	5706-2	59	69	22	101d	—	—	+1	9.6	2.50/1	11 9%
Beaten 5l when second over 7f at Dundalk in January, very soft ground could be a problem
5 (6)	Hello Power Bay J:Dean Curran(7) T:D J Bunyan	J:Dean Curran(7) T:D J Bunyan	137	—	42434-	60	69	63	175d	—	—	+1	8	3.25/1	14 7%
Consistent in four outings for the now-retired Ger O'Leary last season, could go well
NR (22)	Super Cub Bay J:TBC T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J: T:Denis Gerard Hogan	141	—	24-805	64	75	63	10d	—	—	-9	8.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Often placed last year, has failed to win since his early days, fair recent Dundalk run
NR (16)	Slieve Bearnagh Bay J:TBC T:M Halford & T Collins	J: T:M Halford & T Collins	131	p	96876-	54	74	64	—	—	—	-10	5.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Failed to win last season, ordinary form over hurdles on his final three starts in 2022
4 (15)	Persian Queen Bay J:Conor Stone-Walsh(7) T:Ms Joanna Morgan	J:Conor Stone-Walsh(7) T:Ms Joanna Morgan	138	t	500-06	61	74	45	6d	—	—	-3	5.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
1m2f course winner, showed signs of a return to form at Gowran last week, more needed
NR (14)	Pride Of Pimlico Chestnut J:TBC T:Brendan W Duke	J: T:Brendan W Duke	124	p	8000-0	47	73	43	—	—	—	-11	4.4	9.75/1	40 3%
Twice a 1m winner at Dundalk in 2021, most recent AW form has been weak
NR (12)	Init Together Bay J:TBC T:Seamus Fahey	J: T:Seamus Fahey	124	—	080	47	68	-	6d	—	—	-8	3.1	9.75/1	40 3%
Second reserve, moderate form over hurdles, no better since switched to the Flat
12 (7)	Snow Lion Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Christopher David Timmons	J:Declan McDonogh T:Christopher David Timmons	130	p	7747-7	53	70	21	108d	—	—	-3	2.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Out of the money in two Dundalk handicaps, will need to improve, first-time cheekpieces
7 (23)	Thunder Canyon Bay J:Chris Hayes T:Luke Comer	J:Chris Hayes T:Luke Comer	135	—	807/	58	75	-	564d	—	—	0	2.8	9.75/1	40 3%
Did not show enough in three maiden outings in 2021 to suggest he can win off opening mark
14 (8)	Stepdance Chestnut J:Jack Kearney(7) T:Andrew Mcnamara	J:Jack Kearney(7) T:Andrew Mcnamara	128	—	60-0	65	66	24	30d	—	—	+2	4.5	8.00/1	33 3%
Ran in good company at Gowran on the first of three maiden outings, may find her level
NR (18)	Carlas Kodi Bear Bay J:TBC T:Sarah Dawson	J: T:Sarah Dawson	124	—	0800-0	47	72	61	96d	—	—	-13	5.1	12.25/1	50 2%
Lost form after Navan second 12 months ago, down 13lb in the ratings since then
NR (9)	It Might Be You Grey J:TBC T:Thomas Coyle	J: T:Thomas Coyle	124	—	09-090	47	75	72	8d	—	—	-7	2.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Still a maiden after 22 starts, placed only twice, no improvement on recent stable debut
16 (21)	Srowland Jack Bay J:Adam Caffrey(7) T:Adrian Sexton	J:Adam Caffrey(7) T:Adrian Sexton	126	p	500-09	49	71	29	39d	—	—	-2	0.7	19.75/1	80 1%
Moderate form at Dundalk, hard to fancy on the evidence of last season's turf form
20 (10)	Cozy Cartel Chestnut J:Killian Leonard T:Patrick Michael Verling	J:Killian Leonard T:Patrick Michael Verling	119	—	008-90	56	53	30	16d	—	—	0	1.9	37.25/1	150 1%
Finished last on his first four starts, beat only two rivals last time, up against it
1 (11)	Burgoo Beauty Bay J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:W J Lanigan	J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:W J Lanigan	142	—	56600-	65	68	45	124d	—	—	+3	4.1	49.75/1	200 1%
Finished last on her only handicap start in Britain, same fate in a Dundalk maiden

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Stay Local	11/4	11/4	10/3	11/4	3
Golden Spangle	6	11/2	6	11/2	11/2
Rockbury Lad	11/2	5	5	5	9/2
Shona Mea	9	9	9	9	9
Numidia	6	11/2	6	6	5
Cleopatras Needle	10	10	10	10	11
Wee Pablo	15/2	7	7	15/2	15/2
Barnhill Rose	9	9	10	11	10
Khattaat	9	9	11	9	8
Hello Power	14	12	10	12	14
Super Cub	18	14	14	14	16
Slieve Bearnagh	SP	18	16	18	18
Persian Queen	8	17/2	8	17/2	17/2
Pride Of Pimlico	25	40	40	28	40
Init Together	40	33	33	33	33
Snow Lion	12	16	18	16	16
Thunder Canyon	40	40	25	40	40
Stepdance	28	33	28	33	33
Carlas Kodi Bear	50	50	50	50	50
It Might Be You	50	40	40	40	40
Srowland Jack	80	66	80	80	80
Cozy Cartel	150	100	50	100	125
Burgoo Beauty	200	150	150	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Khattaat

9.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

2nd

Super Cub

8.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.1

3rd

Stay Local

8.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Hello Power

OR: 2.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.9

Rockbury Lad

7.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Golden Spangle

7.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Wee Pablo

6.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Shona Mea

5.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.1

Slieve Bearnagh

5.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

Persian Queen

5.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Carlas Kodi Bear

5.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.1

Numidia

4.6

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Stepdance

4.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Pride Of Pimlico

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

Burgoo Beauty

4.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200

Barnhill Rose

3.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.3

Init Together

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Cleopatras Needle

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.8

Thunder Canyon

2.8

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

It Might Be You

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Snow Lion

2.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Cozy Cartel

1.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Srowland Jack

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Stepdance	65	66	24
Burgoo Beauty	65	68	45
Golden Spangle	64	73	53
Super Cub	64	75	63
Rockbury Lad	63	71	54
Wee Pablo	63	75	62
Persian Queen	61	74	45
Hello Power	60	69	63
Khattaat	59	69	22
Thunder Canyon	58	75	—
Stay Local	57	71	60
Shona Mea	57	76	60
Cozy Cartel	56	53	30
Barnhill Rose	55	76	66
Numidia	54	73	53
Slieve Bearnagh	54	74	64
Snow Lion	53	70	21
Cleopatras Needle	51	72	49
Srowland Jack	49	71	29
Pride Of Pimlico	47	73	43
Init Together	47	68	—
Carlas Kodi Bear	47	72	61
It Might Be You	47	75	72

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Golden Spangle	5d ago	Quick return
Shona Mea	6d ago	Quick return
Barnhill Rose	6d ago	Quick return
Persian Queen	6d ago	Quick return
Init Together	6d ago	Quick return
It Might Be You	8d ago	Quick return
Rockbury Lad	10d ago	Quick return
Super Cub	10d ago	Quick return
Cozy Cartel	16d ago	Fit
Numidia	19d ago	Fit
Cleopatras Needle	26d ago	Fit
Stepdance	30d ago	Fit
Srowland Jack	39d ago	Fit
Carlas Kodi Bear	96d ago	Long break
Khattaat	101d ago	Long break
Snow Lion	108d ago	Long break
Burgoo Beauty	124d ago	Long break
Wee Pablo	166d ago	Long break
Hello Power	175d ago	Long break
Thunder Canyon	564d ago	Long break
Stay Local	—	—
Slieve Bearnagh	—	—
Pride Of Pimlico	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Naas over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

Based on 3 draws with historical results at this course and distance.