Betfred Nifty Fifty Great Metropolitan Handicap

Epsom

15:35

Date 2023-04-25

Distance 1m4f6y

Class Class 3

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £10,308

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (3)	Neandra Grey J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	128	—	13186-	83	104	74	200d	—	—	0	22.8	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Open to further progress back at 1m4f; trainer has won this race three times; respected
3 (13)	Flyin Solo Brown J:Rossa Ryan T:David Menuisier	J:Rossa Ryan T:David Menuisier	132	—	37/2-6	87	104	72	23d	—	—	0	18.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Ran well at Ascot on sole start last year; seemed to need his 2023 reappearance
1 (5)	Sir Rumi Chestnut J:William Buick T:Richard Hannon	J:William Buick T:Richard Hannon	135	—	152-20	90	103	54	15d	—	—	0	14	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Generally consistent on turf; versatile regarding trip/ground; should go well
12 (2)	Saligo Bay Bay J:Jason Watson T:Gary Moore	J:Jason Watson T:Gary Moore	122	—	256/3-	77	100	81	—	—	—	+2	12.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Finished well over 1m2f when last seen on Flat; return to 1m4f looks ideal
4 (7)	Haseefah Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Alan King	J:Hollie Doyle T:Alan King	131	—	11238-	86	103	93	179d	—	—	+11	21.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won at Chester and Goodwood last May; should take well to Epsom; interesting
NR (11)	Wonder Starelzaam Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Denis Coakley	J:George Bass(3) T:Denis Coakley	125	—	1715-1	80	97	88	48d	—	—	+11	19.9	1.75/1	8 13%
5-10 for current stable; has possibilities provided he stays this new trip
10 (1)	Madame Ambassador Chestnut J:Richard Kingscote T:Charlie Johnston	J:Richard Kingscote T:Charlie Johnston	127	p	61314-	82	100	91	185d	—	—	+15	21.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Consistent filly who scored twice at Newmarket last season; not dismissed
7 (14)	Open Champion Bay J:James Doyle T:Alan King	J:James Doyle T:Alan King	129	—	2165-6	84	102	71	24d	—	—	+3	10.6	2.50/1	11 9%
Latest effort needs marking up; good chance off same mark granted better luck
13 (10)	The Conqueror Bay J:Mohammed Tabti(7) T:Jim Boyle	J:Mohammed Tabti(7) T:Jim Boyle	122	—	1455-4	77	97	-	15d	—	—	+3	8.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Ex-German; not crying out for this new trip on second British start
5 (9)	Tashi Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:Tom Ward	J:Tom Marquand T:Tom Ward	131	—	84090-	86	101	73	170d	—	—	+5	10.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Record of just 1-21 for Sheila Lavery; opposed on debut for new yard
NR (6)	Captain Kane Chestnut J:Benoit De La Sayette(3) T:George Scott	J:Benoit De La Sayette(3) T:George Scott	130	—	1135-6	85	101	88	59d	—	—	+5	10.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Had a very productive 2022 campaign; 1-1 under Benoit De La Sayette
NR (12)	Alpine Stroll Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Ed De Giles	J:Trevor Whelan T:Ed De Giles	120	b	034-03	75	99	91	18d	—	—	+2	7.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Respectable third at Bath last time but faces a harder task in this field
NR (8)	Dark Pine Bay J:David Egan T:David Loughnane	J:David Egan T:David Loughnane	135	b	244-70	90	101	-	71d	—	—	+8	10.8	9.75/1	40 3%
This year's two AW efforts put a question mark over his current form
8 (4)	State Legend Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Ian Williams	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Ian Williams	128	—	1493-7	83	100	83	—	—	—	+7	8.7	24.75/1	100 1%
Holds weak claims on his Flat/hurdles form for current yard

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Neandra	11/4	3	5/2	11/4	3
Flyin Solo	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Sir Rumi	6	11/2	9/2	11/2	11/2
Saligo Bay	7	7	7	7	7/1
Haseefah	15/2	15/2	13/2	15/2	15/2
Wonder Starelzaam	8	8	8	8	SP
Madame Ambassador	12	11	11	12	12
Open Champion	11	10/1	10/1	10/1	9
The Conqueror	18	14/1	14	16	16/1
Tashi	14	14	14	14	14
Captain Kane	14	14	14	14	14
Alpine Stroll	12	12	14	14	14
Dark Pine	33	40	28	33	33
State Legend	100	66	80	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Neandra

22.8

OR: 8.3 Form: 7.9 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Haseefah

21.5

OR: 9 Form: 9.6 Odds: 2.9

15/2

3rd

Madame Ambassador

21.4

OR: 8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.9

Wonder Starelzaam

19.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.4

Flyin Solo

18.2

OR: 9.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Sir Rumi

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Saligo Bay

12.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.9

7/1

Dark Pine

10.8

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Open Champion

10.6

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Tashi

10.4

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Captain Kane

10.4

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

State Legend

8.7

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100

The Conqueror

8.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Alpine Stroll

7.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sir Rumi	90	103	54
Dark Pine	90	101	—
Flyin Solo	87	104	72
Haseefah	86	103	93
Tashi	86	101	73
Captain Kane	85	101	88
Open Champion	84	102	71
Neandra	83	104	74
State Legend	83	100	83
Madame Ambassador	82	100	91
Wonder Starelzaam	80	97	88
Saligo Bay	77	100	81
The Conqueror	77	97	—
Alpine Stroll	75	99	91

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sir Rumi	15d ago	Fit
The Conqueror	15d ago	Fit
Alpine Stroll	18d ago	Fit
Flyin Solo	23d ago	Fit
Open Champion	24d ago	Fit
Wonder Starelzaam	48d ago	Fresh
Captain Kane	59d ago	Fresh
Dark Pine	71d ago	Fresh
Tashi	170d ago	Long break
Haseefah	179d ago	Long break
Madame Ambassador	185d ago	Long break
Neandra	200d ago	Long break
Saligo Bay	—	—
State Legend	—	—