Warren Handicap – Epsom · The Final Fence

Epsom

16:45

Warren Handicap

Date 2023-04-25

Distance 1m113y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £7,328

Winning Time 1m 55.81s (slow by 12.91s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Expressionless (GB) Kyle Strydom · Dylan Cunha	9/2	Won
2nd	Alpha Crucis (IRE) Jason Watson · Gary Moore	15/8F	1.75
3rd	Gifted Angel (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Tom Dascombe	8/1	4.5
4th	Irezumi (GB) Mohammed Tabti · Jim Boyle	22/1	9
5th	Serious Look (IRE) William Buick · George Boughey	7/2	2.25
6th	Rule Of Thumb (FR) Benoit De La Sayette · David Menuisier	20/1	2.5
7th	Buy The Dip (GB) Hollie Doyle · Jim Boyle	11/2	1.25
8th	Sea Urchin (FR) David Egan · Ian Williams	14/1	32

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (1)	Alpha Crucis Bay J:Jason Watson T:Gary Moore	J:Jason Watson T:Gary Moore	133	—	883-1	78	90	82	8d	—	—	-3	26.1	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Respected under a penalty for last week's Windsor win; open to further progress
1 (8)	Serious Look Grey J:William Buick T:George Boughey	J:William Buick T:George Boughey	135	—	2147-5	80	83	81	20d	—	—	-5	12.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
2yo win came at this venue; interesting back here with reappearance under his belt
7 (6)	Expressionless Bay J:Kyle Strydom T:Dylan Cunha	J:Kyle Strydom T:Dylan Cunha	129	—	9437-1	74	88	67	20d	—	—	+6	20	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won going away at Nottingham on reappearance; may well improve further
10 (5)	Buy The Dip Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Jim Boyle	J:Hollie Doyle T:Jim Boyle	118	—	00-53	63	86	-	27d	—	—	-6	6.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Made an encouraging handicap debut at Lingfield last time; not ruled out
6 (7)	Gifted Angel Grey J:Richard Kingscote T:Tom Dascombe	J:Richard Kingscote T:Tom Dascombe	129	v	2090-4	74	85	77	20d	—	—	-2	9.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Record is 0-10; chance partly depends on whether the first-time visor helps
NR (9)	Desfondado Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Simon Dow	J:Oisin Murphy T:Simon Dow	123	—	655-36	68	85	61	24d	—	—	-2	7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Yard won this race in 2017 and 2018; could go well with Oisin Murphy booked
5 (2)	Sea Urchin Bay J:David Egan T:Ian Williams	J:David Egan T:Ian Williams	130	—	4457-6	75	84	40	21d	—	—	+1	8.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Ex-French; sixth in 7f event on British debut; may do better now upped in trip
3 (4)	Rule Of Thumb Chestnut J:Benoit De La Sayette(3) T:David Menuisier	J:Benoit De La Sayette(3) T:David Menuisier	132	—	956-	77	80	38	216d	—	—	+3	8.1	4.75/1	20 5%
Looks open to improvement now handicapping; note the market signals
NR (3)	Ludos Landing Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Charlie Johnston	J:Tom Marquand T:Charlie Johnston	132	—	13844-	77	87	68	160d	—	—	+6	10.9	4.75/1	20 5%
On a handy mark but looks more exposed than most of these rivals
9 (10)	Irezumi Bay J:Mohammed Tabti(7) T:Jim Boyle	J:Mohammed Tabti(7) T:Jim Boyle	119	—	040-	64	81	79	186d	—	—	+1	4.6	8.00/1	33 3%
Not solid judged on 2yo efforts but is bred to do better still

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Alpha Crucis	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Serious Look	7/2	4	7/2	10/3	4
Expressionless	11/2	5	9/2	5	5
Buy The Dip	6	6	5	11/2	11/2
Gifted Angel	8	15/2	13/2	13/2	17/2
Desfondado	8	17/2	15/2	8	8
Sea Urchin	14	12	10	12	12
Rule Of Thumb	16	18	14	18	20
Ludos Landing	20	20	16	20	20
Irezumi	33	25	18	22	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Alpha Crucis

26.1

OR: 7 Form: 10 Odds: 9.1

7/4

2nd

Expressionless

OR: 6 Form: 10 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Serious Look

12.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Ludos Landing

10.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 2.9 Odds: 1.2

Gifted Angel

9.1

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

17/2

Sea Urchin

8.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Rule Of Thumb

8.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Desfondado

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Buy The Dip

6.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Irezumi

4.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Serious Look	80	83	81
Alpha Crucis	78	90	82
Rule Of Thumb	77	80	38
Ludos Landing	77	87	68
Sea Urchin	75	84	40
Expressionless	74	88	67
Gifted Angel	74	85	77
Desfondado	68	85	61
Irezumi	64	81	79
Buy The Dip	63	86	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Alpha Crucis	8d ago	Quick return
Serious Look	20d ago	Fit
Expressionless	20d ago	Fit
Gifted Angel	20d ago	Fit
Sea Urchin	21d ago	Fit
Desfondado	24d ago	Fit
Buy The Dip	27d ago	Fit
Ludos Landing	160d ago	Long break
Irezumi	186d ago	Long break
Rule Of Thumb	216d ago	Long break