British EBF 40th Anniversary Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Catterick

14:20

Date 2023-04-26

Distance 5f

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,050

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (7)	Changeofmind Chestnut J:Harrison Shaw T:Declan Carroll	J:Harrison Shaw T:Declan Carroll	137	—	1-	-	87	86	305d	—	—	-11	19.4	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Scored in fast time at Chester ten months ago (debut); respected on first run since
5 (1)	High Ovation Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	130	—	424	72	84	-	41d	—	—	-12	18.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Newmarket raider; gelded since last run; major player if transferring his AW form to turf
3 (4)	Erosion Risk Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:David Evans	J:Callum Shepherd T:David Evans	130	v	223227	70	87	87	17d	—	—	+1	17.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Has the form to take a serious hand but is well exposed (0-16)
8 (9)	Whalley Road Bay J:Barry McHugh T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Barry McHugh T:Adrian Nicholls	130	—	6	-	78	41	15d	—	—	-7	2.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Half-brother to two winners for his owner; duly showed promise at Pontefract on debut
7 (6)	Tawalla Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Rowan Scott T:Charlie Fellowes	130	—	6-	-	60	-	139d	—	—	-5	1.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Newmarket raider; should improve on his sole 2yo effort; interesting
4 (5)	Gimcrack Warrior Bay J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	130	—	7	-	58	42	21d	—	—	-3	1	6.75/1	28 4%
Needs to improve plenty on Nottingham debut form
9 (3)	Whisky Mcgonagall Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	130	—	84-	-	79	54	361d	—	—	-2	0.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Gelded since last start 12 months ago (fourth at Thirsk); bred to do better still
6 (2)	Rwenearlytheredad Bay J:Connor Murtagh T:Declan Carroll	J:Connor Murtagh T:Declan Carroll	130	—	5	-	61	41	22d	—	—	-2	0.7	12.25/1	50 2%
Showed some promise at Thirsk on debut; open to improvement
2 (8)	Amerrone Chestnut J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	130	—	60-	-	50	-	162d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Achieved little in two races last year; gelded since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Changeofmind	13/8	7/4	7/4	7/4	13/8
High Ovation	2	15/8	2	2	15/8
Erosion Risk	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	11/2
Whalley Road	9	8	8	8	17/2
Tawalla	11	12	12	12	12
Gimcrack Warrior	28	28	28	28	28
Whisky Mcgonagall	33	28	28	33	28
Rwenearlytheredad	50	40	40	40	50
Amerrone	100	80	80	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Changeofmind

19.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 9.4

7/4

2nd

High Ovation

18.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 9.4

15/8

3rd

Erosion Risk

17.6

OR: 5 Form: 7.9 Odds: 4.7

11/2

Whalley Road

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Tawalla

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Gimcrack Warrior

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Whisky Mcgonagall

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Rwenearlytheredad

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Amerrone

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
High Ovation	72	84	—
Erosion Risk	70	87	87
Changeofmind	—	87	86
Whalley Road	—	78	41
Tawalla	—	60	—
Gimcrack Warrior	—	58	42
Whisky Mcgonagall	—	79	54
Rwenearlytheredad	—	61	41
Amerrone	—	50	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Whalley Road	15d ago	Fit
Erosion Risk	17d ago	Fit
Gimcrack Warrior	21d ago	Fit
Rwenearlytheredad	22d ago	Fit
High Ovation	41d ago	Fit
Tawalla	139d ago	Long break
Amerrone	162d ago	Long break
Changeofmind	305d ago	Long break
Whisky Mcgonagall	361d ago	Long break