IPG Association Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

18:10

IPG Association Handicap

Date 2023-04-26

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,402

Winning Time 1m 23.66s (slow by 1.66s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Purple Poppy (GB) Georgia Dobie · Jimmy Fox	18/1	Won
2nd	Buraback (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Michael Appleby	15/8F	0.2
3rd	Inaam (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · John Butler	11/1	.75
4th	Taskheer (IRE) Joshua Bryan · Daniel Steele	10/1	0.2
5th	River Wharfe (GB) Rossa Ryan · Tony Carroll	7/1	1.5
6th	The Nail Gunner (IRE) David Probert · Ivan Furtado	7/1	0.1
7th	Nefarious (IRE) Paddy Bradley · Simon Dow	28/1	0.05
8th	Ajrad (GB) Adam Farragher · Michael Attwater	14/1	.75
9th	Bear To Dream (IRE) William Carson · Michael Attwater	20/1	0.3
10th	Luna Queen (GB) Sean Levey · Conrad Allen	10/1	0.3
11th	Swiss Rowe (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Mark Loughnane	18/1	1.75
12th	Mount Mogan (GB) Luke Morris · Laura Mongan	20/1	.75
13th	Split Elevens (GB) Darragh Keenan · John Butler	12/1	1.75

Runners (14)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
NR (14)	Dulcet Spirit Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Brett Johnson	J:NON-RUNNER T:Brett Johnson	130	—	984-14	60	77	-	74d	—	—	-10	7.8	—
C&D winner in February but less good last time and drawn widest today
8 (4)	Buraback Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Michael Appleby	J:Oisin Murphy T:Michael Appleby	131	h	4-6884	61	79	71	8d	—	—	-14	10	5/2 29%
Promising stable debut last week; two C&D wins to his name; Oisin Murphy on today; player
1 (2)	The Nail Gunner Bay J:David Probert T:Ivan Furtado	J:David Probert T:Ivan Furtado	137	t	-22726	67	78	62	21d	—	—	+2	13.3	13/2 13%
All wins at 6f but he has gone close over C&D; well drawn to attack but others appeal more
4 (12)	River Wharfe Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	134	p	3-6276	64	79	65	30d	—	—	-1	8.3	15/2 12%
Chance on this winter's best but he needs to step up on his last two runs to win
12 (5)	Inaam Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:John Butler	J:Daniel Muscutt T:John Butler	128	—	121513	58	80	71	32d	—	—	+10	18.4	17/2 11%
Three course wins this year; near miss latest; another big run looks on the cards
6 (6)	Taskheer Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Daniel Steele	J:Joshua Bryan T:Daniel Steele	133	ht	09-911	63	81	43	46d	—	—	-4	5.9	17/2 11%
Chasing a hat-trick after two 1m Polytrack wins last month; big player back at 7f
7 (13)	Luna Queen Bay J:Sean Levey T:Conrad Allen	J:Sean Levey T:Conrad Allen	132	—	5-5813	62	77	69	11d	—	—	-3	5.4	11 9%
C&D winner this month and also ran well on turf last time; tricky draw now
13 (9)	Swiss Rowe Bay J:Billy Loughnane(5) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane(5) T:Mark Loughnane	128	v	129-51	58	76	59	47d	—	—	-3	3.9	12 8%
Two wins on AW this winter for B Loughnane; up 6lb so another career best is required
11 (3)	Bear To Dream Bay J:William Carson T:Michael Attwater	J:William Carson T:Michael Attwater	129	—	466-44	59	77	70	32d	—	—	-2	4	16 6%
Fair run over C&D when too free and racing wide; needs to settle better
3 (1)	Ajrad Chestnut J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Michael Attwater	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Michael Attwater	136	—	63187-	66	78	71	125d	—	—	+6	11.5	18 6%
C&D win in November brings him into the reckoning; less good twice since though
14 (8)	Purple Poppy Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Jimmy Fox	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Jimmy Fox	116	—	5950-3	46	77	67	56d	—	—	0	4.2	25 4%
Ran okay at Kempton last month but more will be needed in this field
2 (11)	Split Elevens Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:John Butler	J:Darragh Keenan T:John Butler	136	b	531616	66	77	62	26d	—	—	+12	15.6	22 5%
Two wins this year and he'll appreciate the return to Class 6; yard also run Inaam
5 (7)	Mount Mogan Bay J:Luke Morris T:Laura Mongan	J:Luke Morris T:Laura Mongan	134	—	0-0735	64	77	65	49d	—	—	+1	4.5	25 4%
Two solid efforts over C&D last month but more will be needed if he's to add to his tally
10 (10)	Nefarious Roan J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	130	—	7-0787	60	69	61	9d	—	—	0	3.6	28 4%
Yet to find his best form this winter but last time was a bit more promising

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Dulcet Spirit	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Buraback	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4	9/4
The Nail Gunner	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
River Wharfe	8	15/2	7	7	8
Inaam	8	17/2	8	8	17/2
Taskheer	8	8	8	15/2	17/2
Luna Queen	11	11	10	10	10
Swiss Rowe	12	12	11	11	10
Bear To Dream	14	14	12	11	16
Ajrad	18	16	12	14	16
Purple Poppy	16	22	20	22	25
Split Elevens	20	22	20	22	22
Mount Mogan	25	25	20	22	25
Nefarious	25	25	25	25	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Inaam

18.4

OR: 2 Form: 14 Odds: 2.4

17/2

2nd

Split Elevens

15.6

OR: 4 Form: 10.6 Odds: 1

3rd

The Nail Gunner

13.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 6 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Ajrad

11.5

OR: 4 Form: 5.9 Odds: 1.6

Buraback

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

River Wharfe

8.3

OR: 3.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Dulcet Spirit

7.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.3

—

Taskheer

5.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Luna Queen

5.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Mount Mogan

4.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Purple Poppy

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

Bear To Dream

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Swiss Rowe

3.9

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Nefarious

3.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The Nail Gunner	67	78	62
Ajrad	66	78	71
Split Elevens	66	77	62
River Wharfe	64	79	65
Mount Mogan	64	77	65
Taskheer	63	81	43
Luna Queen	62	77	69
Buraback	61	79	71
Dulcet Spirit	60	77	—
Nefarious	60	69	61
Bear To Dream	59	77	70
Inaam	58	80	71
Swiss Rowe	58	76	59
Purple Poppy	46	77	67

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Buraback	8d ago	Quick return
Nefarious	9d ago	Quick return
Luna Queen	11d ago	Quick return
The Nail Gunner	21d ago	Fit
Split Elevens	26d ago	Fit
River Wharfe	30d ago	Fit
Inaam	32d ago	Fit
Bear To Dream	32d ago	Fit
Taskheer	46d ago	Fresh
Swiss Rowe	47d ago	Fresh
Mount Mogan	49d ago	Fresh
Purple Poppy	56d ago	Fresh
Dulcet Spirit	74d ago	Fresh
Ajrad	125d ago	Long break