Ministry Of Sound Disco 2nd September Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

18:50

Ministry Of Sound Disco 2nd September Handicap

Date 2023-04-27

Distance 1m

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £6,621

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7 (9)	Tiempo Star Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	130	—	1/586-	75	92	-	270d	—	—	-1	19.4	10/3 23%
Has a nine-month absence to overcome but is at least worth a market check
2 (8)	Lucky San Jore Grey J:Neil Callan T:Marco Botti	J:Neil Callan T:Marco Botti	134	—	5114-2	79	93	72	31d	—	—	+3	15.9	11/2 15%
Raced exclusively over 9.5f at Wolverhampton for this yard, often pulling hard; needs more
9 (1)	Hotspur Harry Bay J:Andrea Atzeni T:Robert Eddery	J:Andrea Atzeni T:Robert Eddery	128	—	6290-2	73	91	74	26d	—	—	+3	13.8	13/2 13%
Solid effort on C&D comeback this month; should go well again
6 (7)	Brunel Charm Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hughes	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hughes	132	b	00-282	77	92	77	29d	—	—	-2	10.1	13/2 13%
Does most racing over 7f now; a lot will hinge on how he settles and how the race pans out
10 (5)	Goldsmith Bay J:Thore Hammer Hansen T:Alice Haynes	J:Thore Hammer Hansen T:Alice Haynes	125	—	01-133	70	92	75	16d	—	—	-3	8.1	15/2 12%
Be happier back to Polytrack but the drop in trip, minus the usual hood, is a concern
1 (4)	Phantasy Mac Bay J:James Doyle T:George Boughey	J:James Doyle T:George Boughey	136	p	31-090	81	90	79	20d	—	—	+1	10.4	17/2 11%
Nothing like as good in three runs back this spring and it's hard to back her currently
4 (10)	Hes A Gentleman Grey J:Oisin Murphy T:Hugo Palmer	J:Oisin Murphy T:Hugo Palmer	132	v	41530-	77	93	80	149d	—	—	+6	14.2	10 10%
Just a single win to date; outside stall isn't ideal for one happiest on the sharp end
3 (6)	Dynamic Talent Bay J:David Probert T:Darryll Holland	J:David Probert T:Darryll Holland	133	tb	158-76	78	90	76	28d	—	—	+3	8.4	16 6%
Better chance of seeing it out round here; not consistent but is on his last winning mark
5 (3)	Last Hoorah Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	132	p	5436-7	77	91	62	28d	—	—	+3	8.1	18 6%
No signs of a revival on his comeback, when last of seven behind Dynamic Talent
8 (2)	Balgair Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:Tom Clover	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Tom Clover	130	h	50304-	75	92	75	175d	—	—	+4	9.1	16 6%
Does most racing now over further and is approaching the veteran stage

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Tiempo Star	11/4	10/3	3	3	3
Lucky San Jore	11/2	11/2	6	5	11/2
Hotspur Harry	13/2	13/2	6	13/2	13/2
Brunel Charm	13/2	6	6	6	6
Goldsmith	8	15/2	8	7	7
Phantasy Mac	7	8	17/2	8/1	8
Hes A Gentleman	9	9	10	9	9
Dynamic Talent	16	16	14	14	16
Last Hoorah	16	18	16	16	18
Balgair	16	16	14	14	16

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tiempo Star

19.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 7 Odds: 6.2

10/3

2nd

Lucky San Jore

15.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

3rd

Hes A Gentleman

14.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.4

Hotspur Harry

13.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Phantasy Mac

10.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Brunel Charm

10.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Balgair

9.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

Dynamic Talent

8.4

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Goldsmith

8.1

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Last Hoorah

8.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Phantasy Mac	81	90	79
Lucky San Jore	79	93	72
Dynamic Talent	78	90	76
Brunel Charm	77	92	77
Hes A Gentleman	77	93	80
Last Hoorah	77	91	62
Tiempo Star	75	92	—
Balgair	75	92	75
Hotspur Harry	73	91	74
Goldsmith	70	92	75

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Goldsmith	16d ago	Fit
Phantasy Mac	20d ago	Fit
Hotspur Harry	26d ago	Fit
Dynamic Talent	28d ago	Fit
Last Hoorah	28d ago	Fit
Brunel Charm	29d ago	Fit
Lucky San Jore	31d ago	Fit
Hes A Gentleman	149d ago	Long break
Balgair	175d ago	Long break
Tiempo Star	270d ago	Long break