Racing Welfare Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

18:15

Racing Welfare Handicap

Date 2023-04-27

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £6,621

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (3)	Barging Thru Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	132	v	6-8414	82	97	83	21d	—	—	-7	14.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Two solid efforts over C&D this spring; is a straightforward sort who enters the equation
5 (1)	Lord Rapscallion Grey J:Sean Levey T:Stuart Williams	J:Sean Levey T:Stuart Williams	131	tv	1-4835	81	98	80	43d	—	—	+3	19.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Currently 2-2 over C&D after two narrow wins in the winter,; not as good since though
6 (4)	Priscillas Wish Bay J:Aidan Keeley(5) T:Philip Mcbride	J:Aidan Keeley(5) T:Philip Mcbride	130	—	1110-1	80	96	80	7d	—	—	+8	21.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Surprise winner over C&D in a race run to suit last week; could be up to defying a penalty
3 (6)	Business Bay J:James Doyle T:Sean Curran	J:James Doyle T:Sean Curran	133	h	097-16	83	95	85	26d	—	—	-2	12.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Ran better than his final position latest; is one to consider back down in trip
NR (7)	Spirit Of Nguru Bay J:TBC T:William Haggas	J: T:William Haggas	137	v	2-2385	87	98	76	7d	—	—	+2	17.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Expensive to follow in handicaps; pulled hard back from a short break over C&D last week
2 (2)	Gdaay Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Joseph Parr	J:Oisin Murphy T:Joseph Parr	135	hb	31155-	85	97	83	129d	—	—	+6	21.8	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Record over C&D since handicapping reads 123115 but is 3lb above his highest winning mark
7 (5)	Spirited Guest Bay J:Luke Morris T:George Margarson	J:Luke Morris T:George Margarson	127	—	8560-2	77	95	83	14d	—	—	+3	15.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Claims on comeback second but was patchy last season and hasn't won in almost two years

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Barging Thru	3	3	3	3	11/4
Lord Rapscallion	4	4	4	4	7/2
Priscillas Wish	5	5	5	5	9/2
Business	5	5	9/2	5	5
Spirit Of Nguru	11/2	5	4	5	9/2
Gdaay	5/1	9/2	5/1	9/2	5
Spirited Guest	6/1	6	11/2	6	6

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gdaay

21.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 8.6 Odds: 4.4

5/1

2nd

Priscillas Wish

21.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 10 Odds: 4

9/2

3rd

Lord Rapscallion

19.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 7 Odds: 5

7/2

Spirit Of Nguru

17.2

OR: 9.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Spirited Guest

15.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Barging Thru

14.2

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Business

12.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Spirit Of Nguru	87	98	76
Gdaay	85	97	83
Business	83	95	85
Barging Thru	82	97	83
Lord Rapscallion	81	98	80
Priscillas Wish	80	96	80
Spirited Guest	77	95	83

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Priscillas Wish	7d ago	Quick return
Spirit Of Nguru	7d ago	Quick return
Spirited Guest	14d ago	Fit
Barging Thru	21d ago	Fit
Business	26d ago	Fit
Lord Rapscallion	43d ago	Fit
Gdaay	129d ago	Long break