BetVictor Gamble Responsibly Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

Perth

16:40

Date 2023-04-27

Distance 2m47y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,697

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Thistlebuffs Bay J:Patrick Wadge(5) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Patrick Wadge(5) T:Lucinda Russell	165	t	44	95	104	68	27d	—	—	-1	16.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Tongue tied for this handicap debut; at such early stage of career, should bring potential
3	Duyfken Bay J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	163	—	4342	101	96	78	34d	—	—	+7	24.5	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Second of 13 at Musselburgh (2m1f, good to soft) five weeks ago on handicap hurdle debut
10	El Jefe Bay J:Thomas Dowson T:Andrew Hamilton	J:Thomas Dowson T:Andrew Hamilton	149	ht	909774	79	102	67	13d	—	—	-4	11.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Needs to better this season's form but he has been finishing closer with each run
11	My Macho Man Chestnut J:Emma Smith-Chaston(3) T:Katie Scott	J:Emma Smith-Chaston(3) T:Katie Scott	147	tb	534533	77	106	74	47d	—	—	+5	15.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
0-22 hurdling; recent runs give a place chance, however; cheekpieces replaced by blinkers
12	More To Follow Bay J:Conor O'Farrell T:Daragh Bourke	J:Conor O'Farrell T:Daragh Bourke	142	h	877P87	72	97	73	114d	—	—	-1	7.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Going handicapping on last three starts has not greatly boosted his fortunes
8	Jack Yeats Bay J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	155	—	-7235P	85	101	91	187d	—	—	+4	12.6	2.00/1	9 11%
Pulled up early on chase debut in October latest; place chance on hurdles form last summer
9	Darkest Day Bay J:Dylan Johnston(7) T:William Young Jnr	J:Dylan Johnston(7) T:William Young Jnr	152	tp	0-PP61	82	102	67	52d	—	—	+2	10.5	2.00/1	9 11%
Back up 4lb but old form was a fair bit better and there was more in the tank last time
NR	Lord Caprio Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Ben Haslam	J:NON-RUNNER T:Ben Haslam	168	t	-23336	98	102	91	63d	—	—	+11	20.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Finished lame in February on latest start; that was itself after three months off
4	Jackhammer Bay J:Henry Brooke T:Dianne Sayer	J:Henry Brooke T:Dianne Sayer	162	—	-17486	92	97	63	34d	—	—	+8	14.2	2.75/1	12 8%
2-3 here and won this race last year; four months off before latest start (66-1)
5	Just Dottie b/br J:William Shanahan(7) T:R Mike Smith	J:William Shanahan(7) T:R Mike Smith	162	h	0-5U55	92	99	87	37d	—	—	+7	11.9	4.25/1	18 6%
More was needed to make an impact on handicap debut last time and it was not forthcoming
NR	Jessica Rabbit Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Susan Corbett	J:NON-RUNNER T:Susan Corbett	159	t	-1265P	89	103	97	212d	—	—	0	16.4	6.00/1	25 4%
First go since sold out of Fergal O'Brien's for £4,000 in October; not the percentage call
7	Ingleby Mackenzie Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:Ewan Whillans	J:Danny McMenamin T:Ewan Whillans	158	t	484639	88	103	91	19d	—	—	+8	12.8	9.75/1	40 3%
There's been no revival on his six starts for this stable; well down the weights

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Thistlebuffs	4	4	7/2	10/3	7/2
Duyfken	4	4	10/3	4	4
El Jefe	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
My Macho Man	7	15/2	7	7	7
More To Follow	8	17/2	8	8	17/2
Jack Yeats	9	9	8	9	9
Darkest Day	15/2	9	9	9	9
Lord Caprio	9	17/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Jackhammer	12	11	12	11	11
Just Dottie	16	18	16	18	18
Jessica Rabbit	25	18	14	16	16
Ingleby Mackenzie	40	40	16	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Duyfken

24.5

OR: 12.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5.2

10/3

2nd

Lord Caprio

20.1

OR: 12 Form: 5.5 Odds: 2.6

17/2

3rd

Thistlebuffs

16.5

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Jessica Rabbit

16.4

OR: 9.8 Form: 2 Odds: 4.6

My Macho Man

15.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 5.7 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Jackhammer

14.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 2 Odds: 1.7

Ingleby Mackenzie

12.8

OR: 9.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

Jack Yeats

12.6

OR: 8.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.4

Just Dottie

11.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

El Jefe

11.7

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Darkest Day

10.5

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

More To Follow

7.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Duyfken	101	96	78
Lord Caprio	98	102	91
Thistlebuffs	95	104	68
Jackhammer	92	97	63
Just Dottie	92	99	87
Jessica Rabbit	89	103	97
Ingleby Mackenzie	88	103	91
Jack Yeats	85	101	91
Darkest Day	82	102	67
El Jefe	79	102	67
My Macho Man	77	106	74
More To Follow	72	97	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
El Jefe	13d ago	Quick return
Ingleby Mackenzie	19d ago	Fit
Thistlebuffs	27d ago	Fit
Duyfken	34d ago	Fit
Jackhammer	34d ago	Fit
Just Dottie	37d ago	Fit
My Macho Man	47d ago	Fresh
Darkest Day	52d ago	Fresh
Lord Caprio	63d ago	Fresh
More To Follow	114d ago	Long break
Jack Yeats	187d ago	Long break
Jessica Rabbit	212d ago	Long break