Download The At The Races App Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II)

Doncaster

14:50

Date 2023-04-28

Distance 6f2y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,320

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12 (13)	Royal Dress Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	125	—	642-	80	84	71	286d	—	—	-15	25.8	0.28/1	11/10 48%
C&D 2nd when last seen 286 days ago represents strong form; leading contender on return
9 (7)	Talha Chestnut J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	130	—	22-	-	75	74	174d	—	—	-8	15.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Second (beaten about 5l) in both 2yo runs; gelded over the winter; more to come this year
1 (4)	Tyke Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	137	—	1	-	72	-	14d	—	—	0	14	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Backed at big odds when making all at Southwell 2 weeks ago; this tougher under penalty
NR (5)	Elusive Angel Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.8	2.25/1	10 10%
40,000gns half-sister to seven winners; appeal on paper but has a fair standard to aim at
13 (9)	Stormy Denise Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	125	—	53	-	67	-	14d	—	—	-4	5.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Clear promise in two AW runs this year but bred to come into her own over 1m2f+
NR (6)	Ice Cool Harry Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Clive Cox	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Clive Cox	130	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	5	2.50/1	11 9%
Not without interest on pedigree; hooded for debut; betting instructive
7 (1)	Mascani Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	130	—	5	-	57	51	16d	—	—	-4	1.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Ran to just a modest level when fifth of ten at Catterick 16 days ago (7f, heavy)
5 (12)	Charlatan Chestnut J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	130	—	6-	-	41	19	225d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Well beaten in a 1m maiden at Yarmouth last September; risky dropped to 6f
4 (11)	Brother Dave Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	130	—	7	-	53	-	14d	—	—	-1	0.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Down the field on his recent Southwell debut; up against it in this field
2 (2)	Miss Willows Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Simon Whitaker	J:Phil Dennis T:Simon Whitaker	136	h	6/	-	-	-	511d	—	—	-1	0.5	19.75/1	80 1%
Debut effort in December 2021 wasn't without hope; off since; now tried in a hood
10 (8)	Tees George Bay J:Barry McHugh T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Barry McHugh T:Adrian Nicholls	130	—	70	-	60	-	26d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Down the field in two 7f runs this year; handicaps more suitable in time
3 (10)	Beechwood Hugh Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	130	—	0-6	-	50	-	19d	—	—	-1	0.2	74.75/1	300 0%
Second start (19 days ago) was better than his debut effort but he is still hard to fancy
8 (3)	Ray The Hay Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Andi Brown	J:Dylan Hogan T:Andi Brown	130	—	06	-	13	-	17d	—	—	-1	0.2	99.75/1	400 0%
Nothing in his two AW runs this year to make him of interest

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Royal Dress	11/10	11/10	1/1	11/10	11/10
Talha	11/4	11/4	5/2	11/4	11/4
Tyke	9/2	9/2	5	9/2	5
Elusive Angel	10	10	10	10	10
Stormy Denise	15/2	15/2	8	7	15/2
Ice Cool Harry	10	11	11	11	11
Mascani	14	16	14	16	16
Charlatan	20	18	18	18	18
Brother Dave	50	50	40/1	40	40
Miss Willows	66	80	66	50	66
Tees George	150	100	100	100	80
Beechwood Hugh	300	100	100	100	100
Ray The Hay	400	200	200	200	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Royal Dress

25.8

OR: 7.5 Form: 5 Odds: 13.3

11/10

2nd

Talha

15.4

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 6.9

11/4

3rd

Tyke

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 4

9/2

Stormy Denise

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Ice Cool Harry

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

Elusive Angel

2.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.8

Mascani

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Charlatan

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Brother Dave

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Miss Willows

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Tees George

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Beechwood Hugh

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300

Ray The Hay

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

400

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Royal Dress	80	84	71
Talha	—	75	74
Tyke	—	72	—
Elusive Angel	—	—	—
Stormy Denise	—	67	—
Ice Cool Harry	—	—	—
Mascani	—	57	51
Charlatan	—	41	19
Brother Dave	—	53	—
Miss Willows	—	—	—
Tees George	—	60	—
Beechwood Hugh	—	50	—
Ray The Hay	—	13	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tyke	14d ago	Fit
Stormy Denise	14d ago	Fit
Brother Dave	14d ago	Fit
Mascani	16d ago	Fit
Ray The Hay	17d ago	Fit
Beechwood Hugh	19d ago	Fit
Tees George	26d ago	Fit
Talha	174d ago	Long break
Charlatan	225d ago	Long break
Royal Dress	286d ago	Long break
Miss Willows	511d ago	Long break
Elusive Angel	—	—
Ice Cool Harry	—	—