Allen Davis Memorial Handicap Chase – Southwell

Southwell

17:10

Allen Davis Memorial Handicap Chase

Date 2023-04-28

Distance 2m4f88y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £4,859

Winning Time 5m 20.67s (slow by 16.67s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Quid Pro Quo (IRE) Fergus Gillard · Dan Skelton	100/30F	Won
2nd	Cenotice (GB) Peter Kavanagh · Donald McCain	16/1	4
3rd	Fabrique En France (FR) William Kennedy · Olly Murphy	8/1	5
4th	Here We Have It (IRE) Kevin Brogan · L J Morgan	9/2	6
5th	Joly Maker (IRE) Jonjo O'Neill Jr · Jonjo O'Neill	4/1	1.75
6th	Luckofthedraw (FR) Niall Houlihan · Toby Bulgin	4/1	2.5
7th	Commander Of Ten (IRE) Luca Morgan · Michael Scudamore	5/1	4.5

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Grow Nasa Grow (IRE) John Kington · Peter Winks	100/1

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Joly Maker Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo Oneill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo Oneill	162	—	24-141	109	120	107	27d	—	—	-1	21.4	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Stratford winner latest (heavy) despite drift to 25-1; up 4lb, but no trip/ground issues.
3	Luckofthedraw Grey J:Niall Houlihan(3) T:Toby Bulgin	J:Niall Houlihan(3) T:Toby Bulgin	166	—	6P9213	113	124	93	18d	—	—	+17	32.4	0.75/1	4 25%
Another 2m4f win last month and fair third over further since, despite errors; chance.
2	Quid Pro Quo Chestnut J:Fergus Gillard(3) T:Dan Skelton	J:Fergus Gillard(3) T:Dan Skelton	167	—	147PP3	114	94	69	16d	—	—	+5	22.2	0.75/1	4 25%
RPRs of up to 132 over hurdles last summer; no chasing form yet, bleeding here latest.
7	Commander Of Ten Bay J:Luca Morgan T:Michael Scudamore	J:Luca Morgan T:Michael Scudamore	158	p	4-3860	105	-	-	17d	—	—	0	19.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Beaten 39l on handicap hurdle debut latest; may take to chasing, but others likelier.
5	Here We Have It Bay J:Kevin Brogan T:L J Morgan	J:Kevin Brogan T:L J Morgan	161	v	P-31PP	108	122	111	41d	—	—	+5	18.1	1.50/1	7 14%
Versatile winner at 2m; Newcastle flop latest took Rules record over 2m4f-plus to 64PP.
NR	Somekindofstar Chestnut J:Lilly Pinchin(3) T:Charlie Longsdon	J:Lilly Pinchin(3) T:Charlie Longsdon	168	t	-23157	115	123	101	150d	—	—	+7	30.2	2.00/1	9 11%
Trip, ground, mark and absence all of no concern, but error-free round not guaranteed.
6	Fabrique En France Bay J:William Kennedy T:Olly Murphy	J:William Kennedy T:Olly Murphy	158	tp	13433P	105	123	92	19d	—	—	+10	18.8	2.25/1	10 10%
8lb below last June's winning chase mark; almost immediately in trouble last time out.
8	Cenotice Bay J:Peter Kavanagh(5) T:Donald Mccain	J:Peter Kavanagh(5) T:Donald Mccain	156	tp	-4403P	103	123	101	34d	—	—	+8	16.1	2.75/1	12 8%
11lb below his last winning mark now; not sure a return to this sort of trip is a plus.
9	Grow Nasa Grow Chestnut J:John Kington T:Peter Winks	J:John Kington T:Peter Winks	142	—	711/P-	89	-	-	663d	—	—	+8	10.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Four-time chase winner at up to 2m6f (good); no show on only start since November 2018.

Horse	bet365	Coral
Joly Maker	11/4	10/3
Luckofthedraw	4	4
Quid Pro Quo	4	4
Commander Of Ten	9/2	4
Here We Have It	7	7
Somekindofstar	9	9
Fabrique En France	10	9
Cenotice	12	12
Grow Nasa Grow	50	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Luckofthedraw

32.4

OR: 15.8 Form: 12.2 Odds: 4.4

2nd

Somekindofstar

30.2

OR: 16.3 Form: 6.9 Odds: 7

3rd

Quid Pro Quo

22.2

OR: 16 Form: 1.2 Odds: 5

Joly Maker

21.4

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Commander Of Ten

19.5

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

9/2

Fabrique En France

18.8

OR: 13.8 Form: 2.7 Odds: 2.4

Here We Have It

18.1

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

Cenotice

16.1

OR: 13.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.2

Grow Nasa Grow

10.5

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Somekindofstar	115	123	101
Quid Pro Quo	114	94	69
Luckofthedraw	113	124	93
Joly Maker	109	120	107
Here We Have It	108	122	111
Commander Of Ten	105	—	—
Fabrique En France	105	123	92
Cenotice	103	123	101
Grow Nasa Grow	89	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Quid Pro Quo	16d ago	Fit
Commander Of Ten	17d ago	Fit
Luckofthedraw	18d ago	Fit
Fabrique En France	19d ago	Fit
Joly Maker	27d ago	Fit
Cenotice	34d ago	Fit
Here We Have It	41d ago	Fit
Somekindofstar	150d ago	Long break
Grow Nasa Grow	663d ago	Long break