Sky Bet Sunday Series 3YO Mile Handicap – Musselburgh

Musselburgh

17:45

Sky Bet Sunday Series 3YO Mile Handicap

Date 2023-04-30

Distance 1m2y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £15,462

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (8)	Gincident Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	135	—	1-1312	82	93	79	22d	—	—	+3	20	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Runner-up in good C&D handicap three weeks ago and holds solid claims off the same mark
3 (7)	Urban Sprawl Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	137	—	12411-	84	91	77	239d	—	—	+19	33	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won final two nurseries last year and he's in good hands to continue to progress
7 (3)	Prairie Falcon Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	133	—	3519-4	80	91	78	19d	—	—	-2	11.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Kept on to win 7f nursery at Glorious Goodwood & this first crack at 1m is well worth a go
2 (1)	Out Of Shadows Bay J:Ben Curtis T:Marco Botti	J:Ben Curtis T:Marco Botti	138	p	2363-1	85	90	69	20d	—	—	+10	22.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Did it nicely on reappearance at Wolverhampton and he's respected up 5lb
9 (10)	Spioradalta Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Mark Walford	J:Dougie Costello T:Mark Walford	130	—	222-32	77	92	62	10d	—	—	-1	9.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Placed on both starts this spring and he might not be far away
11 (2)	No Barrier Bay J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	123	—	045-43	70	91	73	68d	—	—	-3	8.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Ran well in February last time out and gelded since; open to further improvement; chance
NR (6)	Solutre Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Hugo Palmer	J:NON-RUNNER T:Hugo Palmer	133	—	2125-6	80	93	-	25d	—	—	-34	27.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Case can be made on best 2yo form but he needs to get back on track
5 (11)	Venetian Bay J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	31351-	80	91	53	174d	—	—	+17	24.8	2.50/1	10/1 9%
2 2yo wins; gelded since; attractive pedigree provides optimism he still has more to offer
NR (5)	Theme Park Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	139	—	21-5	86	87	51	20d	—	—	+5	10.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Well beaten 3 weeks ago on stable debut but this 200,000gns purchase is not written off
10 (4)	El Montejean Bay J:Billy Loughnane(5) T:Mark Walford	J:Billy Loughnane(5) T:Mark Walford	128	—	4627-	75	87	63	180d	—	—	+4	11.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Has shown promise but he was down the field in his sole handicap; others more compelling
8 (9)	Bajan Bandit Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	132	—	144-	79	85	65	220d	—	—	+10	13.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Market check advised on stable debut but he returns with something to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Gincident	4/1	7/2	7/2	4/1	7/2
Urban Sprawl	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Prairie Falcon	5	11/2	5	5	5
Out Of Shadows	13/2	11/2	11/2	6	6
Spioradalta	13/2	13/2	6/1	13/2	13/2
No Barrier	6/1	13/2	6/1	13/2	15/2
Solutre	12	11	10	10	11
Venetian	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1	9
Theme Park	14	14	12	14	14
El Montejean	10/1	10	9	10	10
Bajan Bandit	40/1	28	22/1	28	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Urban Sprawl

OR: 8.5 Form: 20.5 Odds: 4

9/2

2nd

Solutre

27.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 20

3rd

Venetian

24.8

OR: 7.5 Form: 15.1 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Out Of Shadows

22.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 10 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Gincident

OR: 8 Form: 7 Odds: 5

4/1

Bajan Bandit

13.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0.9

40/1

El Montejean

11.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Prairie Falcon

11.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Theme Park

10.6

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Spioradalta

9.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

No Barrier

8.1

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Theme Park	86	87	51
Out Of Shadows	85	90	69
Urban Sprawl	84	91	77
Gincident	82	93	79
Prairie Falcon	80	91	78
Solutre	80	93	—
Venetian	80	91	53
Bajan Bandit	79	85	65
Spioradalta	77	92	62
El Montejean	75	87	63
No Barrier	70	91	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Spioradalta	10d ago	Quick return
Prairie Falcon	19d ago	Fit
Out Of Shadows	20d ago	Fit
Theme Park	20d ago	Fit
Gincident	22d ago	Fit
Solutre	25d ago	Fit
No Barrier	68d ago	Fresh
Venetian	174d ago	Long break
El Montejean	180d ago	Long break
Bajan Bandit	220d ago	Long break
Urban Sprawl	239d ago	Long break