At The Races App Expert Tips Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:00

At The Races App Expert Tips Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2023-05-02

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,104

Winning Time 1m 27.54s (slow by 3.74s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Covey (GB) Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden	1/16F	Won
2nd	Keeponbelieving (IRE) Billy Garritty · Liam Bailey	16/1	4.75
3rd	Dancing Cloud (IRE) Connor Beasley · Gemma Tutty	9/1	.5
4th	Noble Captain (GB) Sam James · Katie Scott	40/1	8
5th	Mane Man Boris (GB) Callum Rodriguez · Stella Barclay	150/1	30

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (2)	Covey Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	137	h	21	-	94	20	14d	—	—	-38	33.5	0.02/1	1/10 91%
Ready Newmarket maiden winner (7f) a fortnight ago; penalised but impossible to oppose.
2 (4)	Dancing Cloud Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Gemma Tutty	J:Connor Beasley T:Gemma Tutty	130	—	08-	-	78	-	196d	—	—	-5	1.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Ex-Joseph O'Brien; sold for 31,000gns; looks the likeliest threat to Covey
5 (1)	Keeponbelieving Grey J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	125	—	4-3	-	72	47	19d	—	—	-2	4.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Third of five over 1m here recently; faces a tough task on these terms; unlikely.
4 (5)	Noble Captain Chestnut J:Sam James T:Katie Scott	J:Sam James T:Katie Scott	130	—	0-5	-	65	32	110d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Showed some promise on AW for Stuart Williams in January; sold 8,000gns since
3 (3)	Mane Man Boris Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Stella Barclay	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Stella Barclay	130	—	65	-	33	-	21d	—	—	-1	0.3	24.75/1	100 1%
Triple-figure odds and soundly beaten on both AW starts (5f/8.5f); impossible to consider.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Covey

33.5

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 20

1/10

2nd

Keeponbelieving

4.9

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

3rd

Dancing Cloud

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Noble Captain

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Mane Man Boris

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Covey	—	94	20
Dancing Cloud	—	78	—
Keeponbelieving	—	72	47
Noble Captain	—	65	32
Mane Man Boris	—	33	—

Last Run