British Racing School 40th Anniversary Commonwealth Cup Trial Stakes (Group 3)

Ascot

15:50

Date 2023-05-03

Distance 6f

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £45,368

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (7)	Bradsell Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	129	—	114-	114	122	111	270d	—	—	+10	36	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Won the Coventry then sustained an injury in Curragh Group 1; retains high potential
1 (1)	Mischief Magic Bay J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	133	—	11141-	113	120	95	180d	—	—	+23	41	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Largely progressive 2yo campaign ended with a success at the Breeders' Cup; big player
5 (5)	Desert Cop Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	129	—	9211	104	118	-	26d	—	—	+23	37	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Turf debutant; progressive on AW this year and he's 2-2 since dropped to 6f
4 (8)	Cold Case Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	129	—	12311-	106	120	107	214d	—	—	+26	40	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Continued his progress to win the Two Year Old Trophy at Redcar; should go well
6 (2)	Marbaan Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Jamie Spencer T:Charlie Fellowes	129	—	11165-	110	117	91	207d	—	—	+19	27.2	2.25/1	10 10%
Crying out for this drop back in class but possibly not for the drop back in trip
2 (9)	Trillium Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	130	—	21118-	111	119	107	221d	—	—	+25	33.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Gained her Group wins over 5f; raced too freely back at 6f on final 2yo start
9 (4)	Magical Sunset Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Richard Hannon	J:Kevin Stott T:Richard Hannon	126	—	6411-5	100	116	91	11d	—	—	+9	13.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Good filly but needs to bounce back from Fred Darling effort (beaten favourite)
7 (3)	Rousing Encore Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Richard Fahey	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Richard Fahey	129	—	5524-0	102	111	98	26d	—	—	+11	13.7	12.25/1	50 2%
Useful last term (second in Mill Reef) but his limitations are rather exposed
8 (6)	The X O Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John Ryan	J:Robert Havlin T:John Ryan	129	—	-13153	94	106	-	26d	—	—	+21	22.3	24.75/1	100 1%
Ran well behind Desert Cop on latest AW start; bottom of this pack on ratings

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Bradsell	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Mischief Magic	4	7/2	4	7/2	7/2
Desert Cop	6	11/2	5	11/2	11/2
Cold Case	9/2	5	5	5	5
Marbaan	9	10	17/2	9	9
Trillium	8	8	17/2	8	8
Magical Sunset	16	16	16	16	16
Rousing Encore	50	40	40	40	40
The X O	100	80	80	66	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mischief Magic

OR: 15.8 Form: 20 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

Cold Case

OR: 14 Form: 22 Odds: 4

9/2

3rd

Desert Cop

OR: 13.5 Form: 19.5 Odds: 4

11/2

Bradsell

OR: 16 Form: 12 Odds: 8

9/4

Trillium

33.8

OR: 15.3 Form: 16 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Marbaan

27.2

OR: 15 Form: 10 Odds: 2.2

The X O

22.3

OR: 11 Form: 10.9 Odds: 0.4

100

Magical Sunset

13.9

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Rousing Encore

13.7

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bradsell	114	122	111
Mischief Magic	113	120	95
Trillium	111	119	107
Marbaan	110	117	91
Cold Case	106	120	107
Desert Cop	104	118	—
Rousing Encore	102	111	98
Magical Sunset	100	116	91
The X O	94	106	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Magical Sunset	11d ago	Quick return
Desert Cop	26d ago	Fit
Rousing Encore	26d ago	Fit
The X O	26d ago	Fit
Mischief Magic	180d ago	Long break
Marbaan	207d ago	Long break
Cold Case	214d ago	Long break
Trillium	221d ago	Long break
Bradsell	270d ago	Long break