Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

15:00

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

Date 2023-05-03

Distance 1m1f104y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,245

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (7)	Man Made Of Smoke Grey J:Rossa Ryan T:David Evans	J:Rossa Ryan T:David Evans	134	v	262792	56	65	58	36d	—	—	-6	13.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Still to win after 19 starts; ran to his best over C&D latest but has been nudged up 2lb
2 (2)	Lillistar Grey J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry & Roger Charlton	135	h	8-89	57	63	32	75d	—	—	-13	7.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Well held in three 7f runs over the winter, and the market will be the best guide
8 (3)	Bailar Contigo Bay J:Connor Planas(5) T:Stuart Williams	J:Connor Planas(5) T:Stuart Williams	130	—	97-66	52	68	44	16d	—	—	-12	5.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
This stiffer test should suit on pedigree; is another in here likely capable of better
6 (6)	Stolen Encounter Brown J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	131	p	008	53	64	14	74d	—	—	-8	4.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Starts handicap life at a lowly level in first-time headgear; market will tell a tale
3 (5)	Zakram Grey J:Jason Watson T:David Omeara	J:Jason Watson T:David Omeara	135	—	225-04	57	66	46	16d	—	—	-6	4.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Run poorly in two starts back; this is the furthest he's been and he has it to prove now
1 (8)	Schumann Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	135	—	76-59	57	64	29	26d	—	—	-6	4.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
This is weaker than Bath and he can't be ruled out going up in distance again
NR (4)	Finn Star Bay J:TBC T:Sylvester Kirk	J: T:Sylvester Kirk	130	t	6-8780	52	64	39	2d	—	—	-3	1.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Didn't look to see out 1m in a couple of tries, so today's longer trip would be a concern
5 (1)	Cantalupo Bella Bay J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	133	—	06-0	55	63	52	31d	—	—	-2	2.6	3.75/1	16 6%
This is far more realistic now handicapping off a lowly mark; watch the market

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Man Made Of Smoke	7/2	10/3	10/3	3	3
Lillistar	3	10/3	3	3	3
Bailar Contigo	5	9/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Stolen Encounter	6	6	6	11/2	11/2
Zakram	6	13/2	13/2	6	6
Schumann	13/2	7	7	7	13/2
Finn Star	16	16	16	16	16
Cantalupo Bella	16	16	16	16	16

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Man Made Of Smoke

13.7

OR: 1.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Lillistar

7.9

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

3rd

Bailar Contigo

5.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Zakram

4.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Schumann

4.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Stolen Encounter

4.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Cantalupo Bella

2.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Finn Star

1.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lillistar	57	63	32
Zakram	57	66	46
Schumann	57	64	29
Man Made Of Smoke	56	65	58
Cantalupo Bella	55	63	52
Stolen Encounter	53	64	14
Bailar Contigo	52	68	44
Finn Star	52	64	39

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Finn Star	2d ago	Quick return
Bailar Contigo	16d ago	Fit
Zakram	16d ago	Fit
Schumann	26d ago	Fit
Cantalupo Bella	31d ago	Fit
Man Made Of Smoke	36d ago	Fit
Stolen Encounter	74d ago	Fresh
Lillistar	75d ago	Fresh