Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

5:00

Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 Handicap

Date 2023-05-04

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,873

Runners (8)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (8)	Totnes b J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	136	—	8-15	71	81	68	29d	—	—	-14	13.7	17/8 32%
Picked up nicely in 7f novice; not clear run on handicap debut; back at 1m; new surface
4 (2)	Ashmore b J:Neil Callan T:David Menuisier	J:Neil Callan T:David Menuisier	134	—	00-5	69	67	-	29d	—	—	-8	10	9/2 18%
Low-key form as 2yo; late headway when upped to 1m last month; more to come in handicaps
3 (3)	Phenomenon b J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Richard Spencer	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Richard Spencer	134	p	53-4	69	75	72	56d	—	—	-5	8.8	9/2 18%
Promising 2yo form at 7f and 1m; slightly deflating return; might pay to forgive him that
8 (6)	Mysterious Maestro b J:Harry Burns(3) T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Burns(3) T:Simon & Ed Crisford	127	v	967-	62	71	-	240d	—	—	-8	7.4	11/2 15%
140,000gns 2yo; modest 2yo form; now goes handicapping with visor fitted
5 (4)	Butterfly Effect gr J:Benoit De La Sayette(3) T:George Scott	J:Benoit De La Sayette(3) T:George Scott	134	b	447-25	69	78	54	16d	—	—	-3	7.6	17/2 11%
Lost ground start latest; previously strong-finishing 2nd over C&D; blinkers fitted
6 (5)	Climate Precedent ch J:Luke Morris T:Michael Bell	J:Luke Morris T:Michael Bell	133	—	854-52	68	82	56	35d	—	—	-2	6.9	17/2 11%
Race didn't quite go his way at Wolverhampton in March (1m); capable of more
2 (1)	Bear Force b J:George Rooke T:Jonathan Portman	J:George Rooke T:Jonathan Portman	135	—	7935-8	70	75	67	17d	—	—	+2	6	22 5%
Hampered on handicap debut (AW) as 2yo; can improve but lifeless return to action on turf
7 (7)	Ravigill b J:Cieren Fallon T:Alan King	J:Cieren Fallon T:Alan King	129	—	7503-5	64	76	-	22d	—	—	+1	4.3	33 3%
Acts on Polytrack; promising handicap debut on turf in the autumn; modest return

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Totnes	15/8	2	17/8	2	2
Ashmore	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Phenomenon	9/2	5	9/2	9/2	9/2
Mysterious Maestro	11/2	5	5	9/2	9/2
Butterfly Effect	8	17/2	15/2	8	8
Climate Precedent	8	17/2	8	8	17/2
Bear Force	20	22	22	22	22
Ravigill	28	33	25	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Totnes

13.7

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

17/8

2nd

Ashmore

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

3rd

Phenomenon

8.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Butterfly Effect

7.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Mysterious Maestro

7.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Climate Precedent

6.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Bear Force

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ravigill

4.3

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Totnes Top Rated	71	81	68
Bear Force	70	75	67
Ashmore	69	67	—
Phenomenon	69	75	72
Butterfly Effect	69	78	54
Climate Precedent	68	82	56
Ravigill	64	76	—
Mysterious Maestro	62	71	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Butterfly Effect	16d ago	Fit
Bear Force	17d ago	Fit
Ravigill	22d ago	Fit
Totnes	29d ago	Fit
Ashmore	29d ago	Fit
Climate Precedent	35d ago	Fit
Phenomenon	56d ago	Fresh
Mysterious Maestro	240d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Mysterious Maestro	Prominent
Ashmore	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 8 runners classified.