Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

18:05

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

Date 2023-05-04

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,873

Runners (7)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (3)	Buraback Bay J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	126	p	-68842	61	86	76	8d	—	—	-17	19.5	11/8 42%
3lb lower than for 7f win in October; close 2nd over C&D last week; cheekpieces on
4 (2)	Revolutionary Man Bay J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Robyn Brisland	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Robyn Brisland	131	—	0202-2	66	85	74	29d	—	—	-8	16.3	11/4 27%
C&D winner; good 2nd after break to subsequent winner; B Loughnane's claim a plus
NR (5)	Fiftyshadesofred Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Kevin Frost	J:NON-RUNNER T:Kevin Frost	137	—	940-03	72	82	-	21d	—	—	-6	10.3	—
Won yard debut over 7f on Tapeta last March; difficult after; better latest; non-runner
1 (1)	Lilkian Chestnut J:Liam Wright(7) T:Darryll Holland	J:Liam Wright(7) T:Darryll Holland	137	—	423326	72	83	76	8d	—	—	+1	16.8	4 25%
Reliable since 6f win in March; 7f winner earlier in career; first run at trip for 2 years
5 (6)	Porfin Bay J:Molly Presland(7) T:Phil Mcentee	J:Molly Presland(7) T:Phil Mcentee	130	—	848263	65	83	59	12d	—	—	+3	11.8	17/2 11%
Established as a sprinter now but has won over 7f; improvement needed on recent runs
3 (7)	Rainbow Mirage Chestnut J:David Probert T:Shaun Lycett	J:David Probert T:Shaun Lycett	132	—	63177-	67	83	50	224d	—	—	+5	12.1	16 6%
Course winner at 1m/7f; new yard and off since September but D Probert won twice on her
7 (4)	Dazzerling Chestnut J:Mollie Phillips(3) T:Laura Mongan	J:Mollie Phillips(3) T:Laura Mongan	117	b	4209-0	52	83	68	10d	—	—	-2	1.4	33 3%
Out of sorts in recent starts and takes on some well-treated rivals back at 7f

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Buraback	5/4	11/8	6/5	5/4	11/8
Revolutionary Man	11/4	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Fiftyshadesofred	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Lilkian	4	4	4	4	4
Porfin	9	17/2	8	8	17/2
Rainbow Mirage	16	16	10	16	16
Dazzerling	33	33	22/1	25	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Buraback

19.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 5 Odds: 11.8

11/8

2nd

Lilkian

16.8

OR: 5.5 Form: 6.9 Odds: 4.4

3rd

Revolutionary Man

16.3

OR: 4 Form: 5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Rainbow Mirage

12.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 5.9 Odds: 1.9

Porfin

11.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Fiftyshadesofred

10.3

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.8

—

Dazzerling

1.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fiftyshadesofred	72	82	—
Lilkian	72	83	76
Rainbow Mirage	67	83	50
Revolutionary Man	66	85	74
Porfin	65	83	59
Buraback	61	86	76
Dazzerling	52	83	68

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Buraback	8d ago	Quick return
Lilkian	8d ago	Quick return
Dazzerling	10d ago	Quick return
Porfin	12d ago	Quick return
Fiftyshadesofred	21d ago	Fit
Revolutionary Man	29d ago	Fit
Rainbow Mirage	224d ago	Long break