Howden Handicap – Newmarket

Newmarket

4:50

Howden Handicap

Date 2023-05-07

Distance 1m

Class Class 3

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £15,462

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (1)	Kadovar b J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	129	t	26-831	87	106	91	12d	—	—	-5	15.4	11/4 27%
Latest Epsom romp advertised by the 2nd; 9lb rise could underestimate him; suited by soft
2 (5)	Legend Of Leros b J:Andrea Atzeni T:Marco Botti	J:Andrea Atzeni T:Marco Botti	134	—	41-3	92	101	67	27d	—	—	-1	19.7	10/3 23%
7f win at Doncaster at 2 (soft); promising return at Kempton; in warm race for h'cap debut
1 (8)	Hectic b J:Ryan Moore T:Richard Hannon	J:Ryan Moore T:Richard Hannon	135	—	168-2	93	102	69	16d	—	—	+4	20.8	9/2 18%
Travelled strongly when 2nd on h'cap debut last month (7f, soft); up 6lb but more to come
NR (7)	Defence Of Fort ch J:TBC T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	J: T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	130	—	147-	88	99	92	197d	—	—	+4	18.9	9/2 18%
Looked promising at Ascot on debut; yet to kick on but still early days; has been gelded
9 (2)	Saxon King b J:William Buick T:Charles Hills	J:William Buick T:Charles Hills	123	—	8321-	81	96	81	205d	—	—	+14	26.4	11/2 15%
Made all to record game win in 1m novice (heavy) in October; not obviously well treated
3 (6)	Metal Merchant b J:Ronan Whelan T:Jack Channon	J:Ronan Whelan T:Jack Channon	132	—	5115-7	90	94	83	53d	—	—	+3	12.9	13/2 13%
Impressed at Ayr on nursery debut; well held in better races since and still 14lb higher
NR (3)	Gulmarg b J:TBC T:S Woods	J: T:S Woods	126	—	253-33	84	104	93	18d	—	—	-2	12.5	9/2 18%
Placed off this mark twice this year, over C&D latest; more needed in a stronger race
10 (10)	Gareeb br J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	120	—	343-1	78	99	74	23d	—	—	+11	19.2	10 10%
Improved for 1m when winning at Southwell on return; this is tougher but she's unexposed
NR (9)	Just Bring It ch J:TBC T:Clive Cox	J: T:Clive Cox	127	—	553-17	85	102	38	32d	—	—	-23	24.6	16 6%
Flopped on soft last time but progressive over 1m beforehand; this is a rise in class
4 (4)	Dark Thirty b J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	131	—	967-74	89	101	54	16d	—	—	+5	11.5	12 8%
Highly tried after debut win last season; others look open to greater progress

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Kadovar	3	3	11/4	3	3
Legend Of Leros	10/3	11/4	10/3	3	3
Hectic	9/2	9/2	4	7/2	4
Defence Of Fort	5	9/2	SP	4	4
Saxon King	5	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Metal Merchant	13/2	7	7	7	7
Gulmarg	5	5	9/2	5	SP
Gareeb	10	9	10	9	9
Just Bring It	16	16	SP	16	16
Dark Thirty	12	12	11	11	12

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Saxon King

26.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 15 Odds: 3.6

11/2

2nd

Just Bring It

24.6

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 15.9

3rd

Hectic

20.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 5 Odds: 5

9/2

Legend Of Leros

19.7

OR: 10.5 Form: 3 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Gareeb

19.2

OR: 7 Form: 10 Odds: 2.2

Defence Of Fort

18.9

OR: 9.5 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Kadovar

15.4

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Metal Merchant

12.9

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Gulmarg

12.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Dark Thirty

11.5

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hectic Top Rated	93	102	69
Legend Of Leros	92	101	67
Metal Merchant	90	94	83
Dark Thirty	89	101	54
Defence Of Fort	88	99	92
Kadovar	87	106	91
Just Bring It	85	102	38
Gulmarg	84	104	93
Saxon King	81	96	81
Gareeb	78	99	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kadovar	12d ago	Quick return
Hectic	16d ago	Fit
Dark Thirty	16d ago	Fit
Gulmarg	18d ago	Fit
Gareeb	23d ago	Fit
Legend Of Leros	27d ago	Fit
Just Bring It	32d ago	Fit
Metal Merchant	53d ago	Fresh
Defence Of Fort	197d ago	Long break
Saxon King	205d ago	Long break