Alice's 70th Birthday Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

14:55

Alice's 70th Birthday Handicap

Date 2023-05-08

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,574

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (1)	First Impression Bay J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	137	—	414-68	82	89	81	—	—	—	-4	13	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Last at Newcastle but creditable hurdles 6th since; this C&D winner can't be dismissed
6 (2)	Highwaygrey Bay J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:Tim Easterby	132	—	7530-3	77	93	76	9d	—	—	-3	15	0.88/1	7/2 22%
C&D scorer; promising Haydock 3rd on return; merits serious consideration off same mark
7 (6)	Morning Sun Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Keith Dalgleish	J:Billy Garritty T:Keith Dalgleish	129	—	3463-3	74	89	78	21d	—	—	-3	14	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Encouraging third for new yard at Redcar; few miles on the clock so very much in the mix
9 (7)	Glasses Up Chestnut J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	125	—	597-74	70	95	59	8d	—	—	-6	9.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Fair Musselburgh fourth eight days ago so this five-time C&D winner can't be ruled out
2 (11)	Val Bassett Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	136	—	5/00-7	81	88	54	18d	—	—	+2	9.9	2.25/1	10 10%
Fairly useful winner in France; beat only one on yard debut at Ripon though so more needed
3 (9)	Snapius Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:J A Nash	J:Paul Mulrennan T:J A Nash	135	p	460/1-	80	91	85	—	—	—	+11	20	2.50/1	11 9%
Fair 1m2f winner who also scored over hurdles; this Irish challenger is no forlorn hope
NR (10)	Busby Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Philip Kirby	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Philip Kirby	125	p	12-653	70	92	73	74d	—	—	-9	11	3.75/1	16 6%
In very good form on AW over the winter; weighted to go well back on turf after a break
10 (4)	Sophiesticate Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Jim Goldie	J:Joe Fanning T:Jim Goldie	124	—	0079-4	69	92	77	1d	—	—	0	6.7	3.25/1	14 7%
C&D winner in August; ended 2022 under a cloud; respectable Hamilton 4th on Sunday
4 (3)	Society Red Chestnut J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	134	p	56-682	79	93	71	18d	—	—	+4	8.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Back on track in cheekpieces with Ripon 2nd; needs considering with headgear retained
5 (5)	Zahee Bay J:Cillian McConnell(7) T:John C Mcconnell	J:Cillian McConnell(7) T:John C Mcconnell	132	ht	4274-9	77	92	79	16d	—	—	+2	8.5	3.75/1	16 6%
Not disgraced after 8 months off when ninth at Limerick 16 days ago; unreliable, however
NR (8)	Great Colaci Bay J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Gillian Boanas	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Gillian Boanas	119	—	3721/6	64	88	49	3d	—	—	0	4.8	9.75/1	40 3%
Not given a hard time after 20 months off when Musselburgh 6h; no forlorn hope

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
First Impression	4	4	4	7/2	4
Highwaygrey	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3
Morning Sun	9/2	4/1	4	4	4
Glasses Up	9/2	5	9/2	9/2	9/2
Val Bassett	10	9	9/1	10	9
Snapius	15/2	10	10	8	11
Busby	16	16	16	16	16
Sophiesticate	14	14	10	12	12
Society Red	18	16	16	16	16
Zahee	16	14	11	14	14
Great Colaci	40	40	33	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Snapius

OR: 7.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.5

2nd

Highwaygrey

OR: 6.8 Form: 3 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Morning Sun

OR: 6 Form: 3 Odds: 5

9/2

First Impression

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Busby

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 6

Val Bassett

9.9

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Glasses Up

9.4

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Society Red

8.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Zahee

8.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Sophiesticate

6.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Great Colaci

4.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
First Impression	82	89	81
Val Bassett	81	88	54
Snapius	80	91	85
Society Red	79	93	71
Highwaygrey	77	93	76
Zahee	77	92	79
Morning Sun	74	89	78
Glasses Up	70	95	59
Busby	70	92	73
Sophiesticate	69	92	77
Great Colaci	64	88	49

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sophiesticate	1d ago	Quick return
Great Colaci	3d ago	Quick return
Glasses Up	8d ago	Quick return
Highwaygrey	9d ago	Quick return
Zahee	16d ago	Fit
Val Bassett	18d ago	Fit
Society Red	18d ago	Fit
Morning Sun	21d ago	Fit
Busby	74d ago	Fresh
First Impression	—	—
Snapius	—	—