At The Races App Form Study Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

16:45

At The Races App Form Study Handicap

Date 2023-05-08

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,245

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (4)	Wildfell Chestnut J:J F Egan T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	J:J F Egan T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	134	—	035-11	59	71	57	21d	—	—	-25	15.6	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Twice won easily on Polytrack this spring; handicapper may well still be playing catch-up
4 (2)	Mr Gloverman Chestnut J:Ben Curtis T:Kevin Frost	J:Ben Curtis T:Kevin Frost	135	—	720-55	60	70	60	39d	—	—	-5	5.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Things didn't fall his way last time; too soon to write him off for a trainer in good form
3 (6)	Aurora Glory Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ollie Pears	J:James Sullivan T:Ollie Pears	135	—	9563-6	60	63	-	26d	—	—	-7	6.1	1.25/1	6 17%
Better since handicapping; is one of the more interesting runners on her AW debut
8 (10)	Ticket To Alaska Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Clive Cox	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Clive Cox	132	—	0734-2	57	69	71	21d	—	—	-1	9.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Only one backed against Wildfell on his comeback; is at least entitled to close the gap
1 (5)	South Dakota Sioux Bay J:Jason Watson T:David Omeara	J:Jason Watson T:David Omeara	136	h	454641	61	69	52	6d	—	—	+6	15.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Got it together back in the hood last Tuesday; is only 4lb higher under the penalty
7 (9)	All Dunn Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	132	—	112134	57	68	58	65d	—	—	+6	14.7	2.25/1	10 10%
Has to prove this mark within range following two expensive defeats (pulled hard latest)
2 (3)	Victory House Bay J:Mikkel Mortensen(7) T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Mikkel Mortensen(7) T:Charlie Fellowes	135	p	-27553	60	64	49	13d	—	—	+3	7.7	6.00/1	25 4%
Up to winning at this level when things fall right but there are risks involved
6 (1)	Native Melody Bay J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Gay Kelleway	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Gay Kelleway	133	p	330-0	58	65	-	23d	—	—	0	2.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Poor handicap debut when tailed off on soft ground three weeks ago; headgear goes on
10 (8)	Skyblue Expert Bay J:Shariq Mohd(7) T:Alice Haynes	J:Shariq Mohd(7) T:Alice Haynes	122	p	-52879	47	66	50	24d	—	—	0	2	12.25/1	50 2%
Has been running poorly over further since returning from a short break; fully exposed
9 (7)	Rhea Of The Year Bay J:Andrea Atzeni T:Robert Eddery	J:Andrea Atzeni T:Robert Eddery	131	—	868-6	56	66	62	14d	—	—	0	1.9	16.25/1	66 2%
Didn't see out 8.1f on heavy ground on her comeback; is still to get involved in a finish

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Wildfell	1	5/4	6/5	11/10	11/10
Mr Gloverman	7	6	13/2	13/2	13/2
Aurora Glory	6	5	5	5	5
Ticket To Alaska	8	8	15/2	15/2	15/2
South Dakota Sioux	8	17/2	8	8	8
All Dunn	10	9	8	9	9
Victory House	25	18	16	20	20
Native Melody	50	50	33	40	40
Skyblue Expert	40	40	40	50	50
Rhea Of The Year	50	50	50	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Wildfell

15.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 13.3

5/4

2nd

South Dakota Sioux

15.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 10 Odds: 2.5

17/2

3rd

All Dunn

14.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 10.6 Odds: 2.4

Ticket To Alaska

9.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Victory House

7.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 4 Odds: 1.2

Aurora Glory

6.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

Mr Gloverman

5.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Native Melody

2.6

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Skyblue Expert

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.5

Rhea Of The Year

1.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
South Dakota Sioux	61	69	52
Mr Gloverman	60	70	60
Aurora Glory	60	63	—
Victory House	60	64	49
Wildfell	59	71	57
Native Melody	58	65	—
Ticket To Alaska	57	69	71
All Dunn	57	68	58
Rhea Of The Year	56	66	62
Skyblue Expert	47	66	50

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
South Dakota Sioux	6d ago	Quick return
Victory House	13d ago	Quick return
Rhea Of The Year	14d ago	Fit
Wildfell	21d ago	Fit
Ticket To Alaska	21d ago	Fit
Native Melody	23d ago	Fit
Skyblue Expert	24d ago	Fit
Aurora Glory	26d ago	Fit
Mr Gloverman	39d ago	Fit
All Dunn	65d ago	Fresh