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Kempton (AW)

20:30

racingtv.com Handicap

Date 2023-05-10
Distance 7f
Class Class 6
Going Standard To Slow
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo
Prize £3,140

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
4 (2)
Vasilissa
Bay
J:Alec Voikhansky(5)
T:Richard Hannon
J:Alec Voikhansky(5)
T:Richard Hannon
 134 — -44617
64
78
45
 12d — — -10
19.4
0.47/1
15/8
35%
Latest turf effort can be ignored (clipped heels 2f out); should do much better
2 (7)
Gwendolina
Bay
J:Kieran Shoemark
T:Clive Cox
J:Kieran Shoemark
T:Clive Cox
 135 — 062-13
65
73
61
 23d — — -4
6.8
1.63/1
13/2
13%
Better with each start and high on the shortlist back down from 1m
9 (1)
King Kraken
Bay
J:Benoit De La Sayette(3)
T:George Scott
J:Benoit De La Sayette(3)
T:George Scott
 130 — 868-
60
67
-
 326d — — -4
5.2
2.00/1
9
11%
Big prices, well held in three runs last summer; this is more realistic; watch the market
10 (10)
Freetodream
Bay
J:Robert Havlin
T:Amanda Perrett
J:Robert Havlin
T:Amanda Perrett
 127 — 0988-
57
73
-
 264d — — -4
3.9
2.25/1
10
10%
Well held in four runs last summer; has since been gelded and needs marked improvement
6 (4)
Twilight Dancer
Bay
J:Rob Hornby
T:Jonathan Portman
J:Rob Hornby
T:Jonathan Portman
 133 — 66-26
63
71
57
 36d — — -3
5.6
2.00/1
9
11%
Below par on her handicap debut a month ago and needs to find a deal more back up to 7f
1 (14)
Fayasel
Chestnut
J:Daniel Muscutt
T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady
J:Daniel Muscutt
T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady
 136 — -54124
66
74
67
 35d — — +6
15.2
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Better since upped to this trip; stall 14 may mean he has to drop in again
8 (11)
More Than A Grey
Grey
J:Hollie Doyle
T:Marco Botti
J:Hollie Doyle
T:Marco Botti
 132 p -55439
62
72
60
 11d — — 0
7.2
2.50/1
11
9%
Hasn't gone on; tongue-tie comes off for this first venture beyond sprint distances
13 (3)
No News
Bay
J:Marco Ghiani
T:J R Jenkins
J:Marco Ghiani
T:J R Jenkins
 124 — 88-683
54
73
73
 25d — — -4
2.9
2.75/1
12
8%
Plenty of chances for Richard Hughes and current yard; some way down the pecking order
NR (13)
Regal Glory
Bay
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Laura Mongan
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Laura Mongan
 121 — 1-3448
51
75
76
 33d — — +3
9
6.00/1
25
4%
Be happier back on the AW but stall 13 isn't good for one happiest on the sharp end
7 (12)
Captain Wentworth
Grey
J:Luke Morris
T:John Butler
J:Luke Morris
T:John Butler
 132 — 72-730
62
76
61
 11d — — 0
4.1
4.75/1
20
5%
Soft ground may have been behind his latest effort; will need the breaks from stall 12
5 (6)
Havechatma
Bay
J:Nicola Currie
T:Dean Ivory
J:Nicola Currie
T:Dean Ivory
 133 — 55655-
63
74
38
 183d — — +1
4
8.00/1
33
3%
Missed the break a few times and didn't progress last backend; needs to have improved
3 (8)
Nibras Rainbow
Bay
J:Charlie Bennett
T:Ismail Mohammed
J:Charlie Bennett
T:Ismail Mohammed
 134 v 144-00
64
75
64
 12d — — 0
4.7
5.25/1
22
5%
Hasn't always looked the easiest and has run poorly in her two starts back
11 (5)
Earthy Mangold
Bay
J:Rhiain Ingram(3)
T:Roger Ingram
J:Rhiain Ingram(3)
T:Roger Ingram
 126 h 070-
56
63
-
 191d — — -2
2.7
4.75/1
20
5%
Worth a market check going in a first-time hood for her new yard
12 (9)
Musterion
Bay
J:George Wood
T:John Butler
J:George Wood
T:John Butler
 125 — 0886
55
72
55
 23d — — -1
2
8.00/1
33
3%
Yard also saddle Captain Wentworth; the market will be the best guide
Horse bet365 Coral
Vasilissa
 7/4 15/8
Gwendolina
 7 13/2
King Kraken
 9 7
Freetodream
 10 10
Twilight Dancer
 9 9
Fayasel
 8 15/2
More Than A Grey
 11 10
No News
 12 11
Regal Glory
 25 22
Captain Wentworth
 20 20
Havechatma
 33 28
Nibras Rainbow
 16 22
Earthy Mangold
 20 16
Musterion
 28 33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Vasilissa
19.4
OR: 3.5 Form: 7 Odds: 8.9
15/8
2nd Fayasel
15.2
OR: 4 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.7
15/2
3rd Regal Glory
9
OR: 0.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7
25
4 More Than A Grey
7.2
OR: 3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.1
11
5 Gwendolina
6.8
OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1
13/2
6 Twilight Dancer
5.6
OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4
9
7 King Kraken
5.2
OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7
9
8 Nibras Rainbow
4.7
OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2
22
9 Captain Wentworth
4.1
OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1
20
10 Havechatma
4
OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8
33
11 Freetodream
3.9
OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1
10
12 No News
2.9
OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9
12
13 Earthy Mangold
2.7
OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2
20
14 Musterion
2
OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8
33

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Fayasel
66
74
67
Gwendolina
65
73
61
Vasilissa
64
78
45
Nibras Rainbow
64
75
64
Twilight Dancer
63
71
57
Havechatma
63
74
38
More Than A Grey
62
72
60
Captain Wentworth
62
76
61
King Kraken
60
67
 —
Freetodream
57
73
 —
Earthy Mangold
56
63
 —
Musterion
55
72
55
No News
54
73
73
Regal Glory
51
75
76

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
More Than A Grey 11d ago Quick return
Captain Wentworth 11d ago Quick return
Vasilissa 12d ago Quick return
Nibras Rainbow 12d ago Quick return
Gwendolina 23d ago Fit
Musterion 23d ago Fit
No News 25d ago Fit
Regal Glory 33d ago Fit
Fayasel 35d ago Fit
Twilight Dancer 36d ago Fit
Havechatma 183d ago Long break
Earthy Mangold 191d ago Long break
Freetodream 264d ago Long break
King Kraken 326d ago Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.