CAA Stellar Handicap – Chester

Chester

13:30

CAA Stellar Handicap

Date 2023-05-11

Distance 5f15y

Class Class 2

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £20,384

Runners (8)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (8)	Kings Lynn Bay J:Ryan Moore T:Andrew Balding	J:Ryan Moore T:Andrew Balding	137	—	7040-8	107	117	102	40d	—	—	-1	20.9	16/5 24%
Very smart on his day; C&D form at this meeting the last 2 years; acts on all ground
3 (3)	Nymphadora Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	127	—	/225-0	97	120	101	20d	—	—	-1	17	7/2 22%
Fair weights chance, including on C&D form, but might prefer a stiffer test at 5f
8 (2)	Lihou Chestnut J:Hayley Turner T:David Evans	J:Hayley Turner T:David Evans	116	—	131131	86	114	107	16d	—	—	+17	34.7	9/2 18%
Got up late to win at Epsom (5f, soft); more to do from out of weights in better race
2 (7)	Look Out Louis Bay J:Barry McHugh T:Julie Camacho	J:Barry McHugh T:Julie Camacho	129	p	1010-7	99	116	106	75d	—	—	+1	16.7	9/2 18%
Progressive 5f handicapper; won all three handicaps here, including this race last year
5 (1)	Night On Earth Bay J:David Egan T:Ian Williams	J:David Egan T:Ian Williams	118	p	0166-0	88	119	116	22d	—	—	+1	12.8	11/2 15%
C&D winner; 3rd to Look Out Louis here last May and big weights turnaround; aids return
4 (4)	Harrys Bar Chestnut J:William Buick T:Adrian Mcguinness	J:William Buick T:Adrian Mcguinness	121	tp	44-135	91	118	54	34d	—	—	+5	12.4	10 10%
Multiple AW winner; 0-14 on turf but does act on grass; wouldn't want to see much rain
NR (6)	Mokaatil Brown J:Joe Fanning T:Ian Williams	J:Joe Fanning T:Ian Williams	116	p	5634-9	86	117	105	23d	—	—	+6	10	25 4%
Course form, including when 4th here last May, suggests others more at home on this track
NR (5)	Navello Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:George Boughey	J:NON-RUNNER T:George Boughey	116	t	758-57	86	116	-	31d	—	—	+1	12	15/2 12%
Useful C&D record; quite well treated back on turf in first-time tongue-tie

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Kings Lynn	16/5	3	3	11/4	11/4
Nymphadora	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2
Lihou	9/2	4	4	9/2	9/2
Look Out Louis	9/2	9/2	9/2	4	9/2
Night On Earth	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Harrys Bar	10	10	9	10	10
Mokaatil	25	22	22	22	22
Navello	15/2	7	15/2	7	7

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lihou

34.7

OR: 9 Form: 20.7 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Kings Lynn

20.9

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

16/5

3rd

Nymphadora

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Look Out Louis

16.7

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Night On Earth

12.8

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Harrys Bar

12.4

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Navello

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 3

15/2

Mokaatil

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kings Lynn	107	117	102
Look Out Louis	99	116	106
Nymphadora	97	120	101
Harrys Bar	91	118	54
Night On Earth	88	119	116
Lihou	86	114	107
Mokaatil	86	117	105
Navello	86	116	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lihou	16d ago	Fit
Nymphadora	20d ago	Fit
Night On Earth	22d ago	Fit
Mokaatil	23d ago	Fit
Navello	31d ago	Fit
Harrys Bar	34d ago	Fit
Kings Lynn	40d ago	Fit
Look Out Louis	75d ago	Fresh