tote.co.uk Bet £5 Get £20 Ormonde Stakes (Group 3)

Chester

15:15

Date 2023-05-11

Distance 1m5f84y

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £67,224

Winning Time 3m 6.02s (slow by 14.82s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Hamish (GB) Tom Marquand · William Haggas	7/4	Won
2nd	Lone Eagle (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	10/1	1.25
3rd	Changingoftheguard (IRE) Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien	11/10F	2.5
4th	Sunchart (GB) Andrew Slattery · Andrew Slattery	40/1	1.25
5th	Enemy (GB) Richard Kingscote · Ian Williams	16/1	.75
6th	Max Vega (IRE) Rob Hornby · Ralph Beckett	11/1	0.3

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (4)	Changingoftheguard Bay J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	128	—	/1151-	109	126	118	328d	—	—	+8	44.2	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Absent since 2022 Royal Ascot win (hairline fracture); a leading contender if in good form
1 (7)	Hamish Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	131	—	/1212-	117	123	123	201d	—	—	+13	43.7	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Better than ever last term, kicking off with a ready win in this race; strong candidate
NR (1)	Israr Bay J:Jim Crowley T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Jim Crowley T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	13310-	106	115	118	187d	—	—	+20	27.6	2.00/1	9 11%
One to consider despite this move out of handicaps and into a Group race
NR (3)	Old Harrovian Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	128	—	7-11	94	114	-	31d	—	—	+4	13.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Far more strength to today's opposition but it's hard to pin down just how good he is
2 (8)	Max Vega Chestnut J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	131	—	6071-3	110	118	91	19d	—	—	+13	20.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Bit below form at Newbury last month, whereas winning this appears to require a new high
6 (5)	Lone Eagle Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	128	b	/357-5	107	117	104	19d	—	—	+10	16	3.25/1	14 7%
Below par since returning last term from injury; bit better on latest return, for new yard
4 (2)	Enemy Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	128	—	80-128	112	121	114	47d	—	—	+13	16.5	8.00/1	33 3%
Hit new heights on first two runs this year (Dubai and Saudi Arabia); form dipped latest
8 (6)	Sunchart Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	128	—	572-24	103	119	105	19d	—	—	+12	13.6	19.75/1	80 1%
Nine 2nds, including in five Listed races and a Group 3, but win record on Flat is 1-20

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Changingoftheguard	6/4	6/4	6/4	5/4	5/4
Hamish	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Israr	9	9	9	9	9
Old Harrovian	8	8	15/2	7	7
Max Vega	10	10	10	10	10
Lone Eagle	12	12	14	12	12
Enemy	30	28	33	28	28
Sunchart	66	66	80	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Changingoftheguard

44.2

OR: 14.8 Form: 18 Odds: 11.4

6/4

2nd

Hamish

43.7

OR: 16.8 Form: 17.5 Odds: 9.4

7/4

3rd

Israr

27.6

OR: 14 Form: 11.4 Odds: 2.2

Max Vega

20.1

OR: 15 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

Enemy

16.5

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Lone Eagle

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Old Harrovian

13.7

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Sunchart

13.6

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hamish	117	123	123
Enemy	112	121	114
Max Vega	110	118	91
Changingoftheguard	109	126	118
Lone Eagle	107	117	104
Israr	106	115	118
Sunchart	103	119	105
Old Harrovian	94	114	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Max Vega	19d ago	Fit
Lone Eagle	19d ago	Fit
Sunchart	19d ago	Fit
Old Harrovian	31d ago	Fit
Enemy	47d ago	Fresh
Israr	187d ago	Long break
Hamish	201d ago	Long break
Changingoftheguard	328d ago	Long break