BDN Construction Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Market Rasen

17:08

Date 2023-05-12

Distance 2m125y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type NH Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-5yo

Prize £2,722

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Choccabloc Bay J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	156	—	32-	-	122	85	76d	—	—	-35	27.1	0.09/1	4/11 73%
Placed on both starts last season and sets a good form standard here
NR	Mistral Blue Bay J:Connor Brace T:Fergal Obrien	J:Connor Brace T:Fergal Obrien	149	—	5-0	-	111	54	1d	—	—	-14	6	1.00/1	5 20%
Quite promising at Fakenham but only 11th of 16 when 14-1 at Huntingdon (good) yesterday.
3	Illico De Nuit Chestnut J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Out of a half-sister to a French Grade 2 chase winner; stable does well in bumpers
6	Gustoso Bay J:Miss Alice Stevens(7) T:Henry Daly	J:Miss Alice Stevens(7) T:Henry Daly	150	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	2.75/1	12 8%
£1,000 yearling; dam of little account but is half-sister to useful hurdler Kilgeel Hill
2	Il Cima Bay J:Adam Wedge T:L J Morgan	J:Adam Wedge T:L J Morgan	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Not an easy newcomer to get a handle on pedigree-wise but yard has very good bumper record
4	Scrumpy Brown J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Henry Daly	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Henry Daly	156	—	5-	-	90	50	178d	—	—	-5	1.7	4.25/1	18 6%
Beaten about 38l on debut at Hereford in November and not seen again since
5	Diamond Koda Bay J:Charlie Hammond T:Nick Kent	J:Charlie Hammond T:Nick Kent	150	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	6.75/1	28 4%
Out of a useful Flat/hurdle winner but other newcomers look more interesting
7	James Baie Bay J:Ben Poste T:Harriet Dickin	J:Ben Poste T:Harriet Dickin	150	—	56-	-	104	97	33d	—	—	-2	0.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Not beaten far when sixth over C&D last month but others make a lot more appeal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Choccabloc	4/11	1/3	3/10	1/3	1/3
Mistral Blue	5	5	5	5	5
Illico De Nuit	7	13/2	6/1	6	11/2
Gustoso	12	11	11	10	10
Il Cima	14	14	12	12	12
Scrumpy	14	16	16	14	18
Diamond Koda	25	28	28	28	28
James Baie	33	40	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Choccabloc

27.1

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 20

4/11

2nd

Mistral Blue

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6

3rd

Illico De Nuit

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Gustoso

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Scrumpy

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Il Cima

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Diamond Koda

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

James Baie

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Choccabloc	—	122	85
Mistral Blue	—	111	54
Illico De Nuit	—	—	—
Gustoso	—	—	—
Il Cima	—	—	—
Scrumpy	—	90	50
Diamond Koda	—	—	—
James Baie	—	104	97

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mistral Blue	1d ago	Quick return
James Baie	33d ago	Fit
Choccabloc	76d ago	Fresh
Scrumpy	178d ago	Long break
Illico De Nuit	—	—
Gustoso	—	—
Il Cima	—	—
Diamond Koda	—	—