Happy Birthday Graham Roberts Handicap – Beverley

Beverley

16:10

Happy Birthday Graham Roberts Handicap

Date 2023-05-16

Distance 1m100y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,527

Winning Time 1m 47.23s (slow by 4.73s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Bulleit (GB) Cieren Fallon · William Jarvis	16/1	Won
2nd	Broctune Red (GB) Jack Garritty · Gillian Boanas	9/2	0.3
3rd	Alibaba (GB) Dylan Hogan · Julia Feilden	7/1	2.5
4th	Ugo Gregory (GB) David Allan · Tim Easterby	9/2	0.3
5th	Kalahari Prince (IRE) Jason Watson · David O'Meara	28/1	.75
6th	Dandy's Angel (IRE) Shane Gray · John Wainwright	15/2	.5
7th	Jazz Samba (IRE) Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	6/1	.75
8th	Simulation Theory (IRE) Zak Wheatley · Declan Carroll	7/2F	5
9th	Under Fox (IRE) Paul Hanagan · Mark Loughnane	16/1	3
10th	Captain Corelli (IRE) Graham Lee · Julie Camacho	25/1	.75
11th	Antagonize (GB) Harry Russell · Bryan Smart	16/1	27

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (5)	Toophan Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:NON-RUNNER T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	134	tb	02-278	69	-	-	75d	—	—	-50	24.8	—	—
Last on yard debut at Chelmsford in March; blinkers go on now so could bounce back
5 (12)	Ugo Gregory Grey J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	131	tp	500-42	66	88	56	15d	—	—	-11	10.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Course winner; very good C&D 2nd latest (form franked) so he merits serious consideration
NR (13)	Forward Flight Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette(3) T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette(3) T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	136	—	00-082	71	83	72	16d	—	—	-6	9.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Back on track for new yard when second at Wetherby 16 days ago; in the mix nudged up 1lb
10 (10)	Jazz Samba Grey J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	129	—	2469-1	64	82	68	15d	—	—	+4	17.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Much improved with breakthrough win over 7.5f here on seasonal debut; big player
6 (1)	Simulation Theory Chestnut J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	131	—	5134-3	66	84	63	17d	—	—	-4	11.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Scored twice last season; resumed with creditable Leicester 3rd; possibilities
9 (4)	Broctune Red Chestnut J:Jack Garritty T:Gillian Boanas	J:Jack Garritty T:Gillian Boanas	129	—	-75712	64	81	-	33d	—	—	+8	18.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won at Newcastle before good 2nd there latest; C&D winner is firmly in the picture
13 (9)	Dandys Angel Bay J:Shane Gray T:John Wainwright	J:Shane Gray T:John Wainwright	119	—	35-264	54	83	72	13d	—	—	-5	3.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Arrives in decent nick, 4th at Pontefract 13 days ago; course scorer is not dismissed
4 (7)	Under Fox Bay J:Paul Hanagan T:Mark Loughnane	J:Paul Hanagan T:Mark Loughnane	133	—	1785-9	68	83	71	120d	—	—	-1	6.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Fair 1m winner for Tim Easterby in 2022 but yet to fire in three runs for his current yard
12 (6)	Bulleit Chestnut J:Cieren Fallon T:William Jarvis	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Jarvis	124	—	5545-4	59	83	61	21d	—	—	-2	4	3.25/1	14 7%
Off 6 months before creditable Yarmouth 4th; he can take a step forward here
7 (3)	Alibaba Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	131	—	324/05	66	84	60	24d	—	—	-1	5.9	2.50/1	11 9%
Hinted at revival (2nd run back after 20 months off) when fifth at Nottingham; considered
11 (11)	Antagonize Bay J:Harry Russell(3) T:Bryan Smart	J:Harry Russell(3) T:Bryan Smart	126	—	420-80	61	84	81	34d	—	—	0	4	4.25/1	18 6%
Yet to fire in 2 runs this spring but C&D winner is slipping in weights; not discounted
3 (8)	Captain Corelli Chestnut J:Graham Lee T:Julie Camacho	J:Graham Lee T:Julie Camacho	134	—	14218-	69	80	61	196d	—	—	+13	17.5	4.75/1	20 5%
C&D winner but off since beating only one at Newcastle in November; has gone well fresh
8 (2)	Kalahari Prince Chestnut J:Jason Watson T:David Omeara	J:Jason Watson T:David Omeara	130	b	10-806	65	83	30	12d	—	—	+2	4.5	9.75/1	40 3%
Visored and best run for current yard when Ayr 6th latest; no forlorn hope in blinkers

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Toophan	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Ugo Gregory	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Forward Flight	4	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Jazz Samba	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Simulation Theory	4	4	4	4	9/2
Broctune Red	13/2	6	6	6	6
Dandys Angel	8	8	15/2	8	8
Under Fox	12/1	12	12	12	11
Bulleit	14	12	11	12	14
Alibaba	11	11	10	11	11
Antagonize	16	18	16	16	16
Captain Corelli	20	18	16	18	18
Kalahari Prince	33	40	28	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Toophan

24.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Broctune Red

18.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 12 Odds: 3.1

13/2

3rd

Jazz Samba

17.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 10 Odds: 4

9/2

Captain Corelli

17.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.2

Simulation Theory

11.4

OR: 4 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Ugo Gregory

10.2

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Forward Flight

9.7

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Under Fox

6.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Alibaba

5.9

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Kalahari Prince

4.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Bulleit

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Antagonize

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Dandys Angel

3.5

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Forward Flight	71	83	72
Toophan	69	—	—
Captain Corelli	69	80	61
Under Fox	68	83	71
Ugo Gregory	66	88	56
Simulation Theory	66	84	63
Alibaba	66	84	60
Kalahari Prince	65	83	30
Jazz Samba	64	82	68
Broctune Red	64	81	—
Antagonize	61	84	81
Bulleit	59	83	61
Dandys Angel	54	83	72

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kalahari Prince	12d ago	Quick return
Dandys Angel	13d ago	Quick return
Ugo Gregory	15d ago	Fit
Jazz Samba	15d ago	Fit
Forward Flight	16d ago	Fit
Simulation Theory	17d ago	Fit
Bulleit	21d ago	Fit
Alibaba	24d ago	Fit
Broctune Red	33d ago	Fit
Antagonize	34d ago	Fit
Toophan	75d ago	Fresh
Under Fox	120d ago	Long break
Captain Corelli	196d ago	Long break