Stradivarius At The National Stud Handicap – Newmarket

Newmarket

20:05

Stradivarius At The National Stud Handicap

Date 2023-05-18

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £7,851

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (3)	Connemara Coast Bay J:David Probert T:Richard Hughes	J:David Probert T:Richard Hughes	134	—	31-52	84	96	78	29d	—	—	-14	18.5	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Eyecatching second of 15 here (1m), given how long on the bridle looking for a clear run
6 (8)	Power Of Gold Bay J:James Doyle T:Hugo Palmer	J:James Doyle T:Hugo Palmer	128	—	237-3	78	94	60	14d	—	—	0	14	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Third of eight from off the pace in handicap at Redcar (1m2f, good to soft) two weeks ago
5 (9)	Mindset Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	130	—	713-	80	94	69	211d	—	—	+9	20.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Good chance he can stay 1m2f and he is open to improvement on handicap debut
7 (7)	Fox Journey Grey J:Harry Davies(3) T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Harry Davies(3) T:Sir Michael Stoute	126	—	644-	76	92	81	190d	—	—	-1	9.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Brings potential, particularly for 1m2f+, so is one to note on handicap/seasonal debut
1 (4)	Mighty River Bay J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	136	—	3-1226	86	95	50	46d	—	—	+4	14	2.00/1	9 11%
His only two turf runs have been on soft, so perhaps that is not ideal; not ruled out
3 (5)	Pol Roger Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Michael Dods	J:Phil Dennis T:Michael Dods	133	—	120-57	83	94	60	19d	—	—	+2	10.5	3.25/1	14 7%
Out of form lately but new trip may well be a plus and his yard is among the winners
4 (2)	Cavern Club Chestnut J:Robert Havlin T:Marco Botti	J:Robert Havlin T:Marco Botti	131	p	2331-	81	82	45	150d	—	—	+18	24.8	2.75/1	12 8%
Plenty of ability (won handicap debut) but a few quirks too, as he's been hanging badly
8 (1)	Muir Wood Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	125	—	642-	75	91	41	147d	—	—	+8	12.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Improved results in his three runs as a 2yo; should be open to progress as 3yo
9 (6)	Rhythm And Tyne Bay J:Ray Dawson T:T J Kent	J:Ray Dawson T:T J Kent	121	p	8-49	71	93	-	104d	—	—	+3	6.1	8.00/1	33 3%
Three runs at Dundalk (1m, AW) in the winter for Michael Halford; gelded and cheekpieces

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Connemara Coast	13/8	13/8	7/4	6/4	6/4
Power Of Gold	5	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Mindset	11/2	13/2	6	6	6
Fox Journey	13/2	6	6	6	6
Mighty River	9	8	13/2	7	7
Pol Roger	14	10	17/2	11	11
Cavern Club	12	12	10	12	12
Muir Wood	14	18	14	16	16
Rhythm And Tyne	25	33	25	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cavern Club

24.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 15.1 Odds: 1.9

2nd

Mindset

20.8

OR: 7.5 Form: 10 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Connemara Coast

18.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 10

7/4

Power Of Gold

OR: 7 Form: 3 Odds: 4

11/2

Mighty River

OR: 9 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.9

Muir Wood

12.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

Pol Roger

10.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Fox Journey

9.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Rhythm And Tyne

6.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mighty River	86	95	50
Connemara Coast	84	96	78
Pol Roger	83	94	60
Cavern Club	81	82	45
Mindset	80	94	69
Power Of Gold	78	94	60
Fox Journey	76	92	81
Muir Wood	75	91	41
Rhythm And Tyne	71	93	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Power Of Gold	14d ago	Fit
Pol Roger	19d ago	Fit
Connemara Coast	29d ago	Fit
Mighty River	46d ago	Fresh
Rhythm And Tyne	104d ago	Long break
Muir Wood	147d ago	Long break
Cavern Club	150d ago	Long break
Fox Journey	190d ago	Long break
Mindset	211d ago	Long break