Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Middleton Fillies' Stakes (Group 2)

York

14:25

Date 2023-05-18

Distance 1m2f56y

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £87,787

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (6)	Free Wind Bay J:Frankie Dettori T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Frankie Dettori T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	211/1-	115	129	74	320d	—	—	-3	40.4	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Absent since winning Lancashire Oaks last July but holds leading form claims
1 (4)	Aristia Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	131	—	/2921-	111	124	90	270d	—	—	+19	34.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Second in this last year and won French Group 1 in August; strong contender on return
6 (3)	Sea Silk Road Bay J:William Buick T:William Haggas	J:William Buick T:William Haggas	128	—	11243-	106	120	102	237d	—	—	+17	27.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Last year's Ribblesdale runner-up; lightly raced and could be set for a fine campaign
8 (2)	Stay Alert Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Hughie Morrison	J:Oisin Murphy T:Hughie Morrison	128	—	21510-	108	125	112	215d	—	—	+16	29.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Settled better for Group 3 win at Newbury last September; slow going against her next time
7 (1)	State Occasion Bay J:Ryan Moore T:Ralph Beckett	J:Ryan Moore T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	21148-	103	122	105	223d	—	—	+17	24.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Underwhelming end to last term but highly progressive in h'caps previously; not ruled out
NR (7)	Toskana Belle Chestnut J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	131	—	11312-	112	118	48	243d	—	—	+29	36.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Last year's German Oaks winner; improvement necessary, but possible from lightly raced 4yo
5 (8)	Rogue Millennium Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Tom Clover	J:Jack Mitchell T:Tom Clover	128	—	270-23	104	118	64	18d	—	—	+11	14.6	5.25/1	22 5%
Third in recent French Group 3 but career best needed if she's to threaten today
4 (5)	Poptronic Bay J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	128	—	11274-	104	120	90	237d	—	—	+19	21.9	8.00/1	33 3%
C&D Listed runner-up last July but probably vulnerable in this line-up

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Free Wind	1	11/10	11/10	1	1
Aristia	11/2	5	4	5	5
Sea Silk Road	8	7	7	15/2	15/2
Stay Alert	11/2	5	11/2	5	5
State Occasion	12	11	11	11	11
Toskana Belle	12	10	9	11	9
Rogue Millennium	22	22	22	22	20
Poptronic	33	33	28	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Free Wind

40.4

OR: 16.3 Form: 10 Odds: 14.2

11/10

2nd

Toskana Belle

36.1

OR: 15.5 Form: 18.5 Odds: 2.1

3rd

Aristia

34.7

OR: 15.3 Form: 15 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Stay Alert

29.1

OR: 14.5 Form: 11 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Sea Silk Road

27.4

OR: 14 Form: 10.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

State Occasion

24.2

OR: 13.3 Form: 9 Odds: 1.9

Poptronic

21.9

OR: 13.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 0.9

Rogue Millennium

14.6

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Free Wind	115	129	74
Toskana Belle	112	118	48
Aristia	111	124	90
Stay Alert	108	125	112
Sea Silk Road	106	120	102
Rogue Millennium	104	118	64
Poptronic	104	120	90
State Occasion	103	122	105

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rogue Millennium	18d ago	Fit
Stay Alert	215d ago	Long break
State Occasion	223d ago	Long break
Sea Silk Road	237d ago	Long break
Poptronic	237d ago	Long break
Toskana Belle	243d ago	Long break
Aristia	270d ago	Long break
Free Wind	320d ago	Long break