Earl & The Pharaoh Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div I)

Newbury

15:15

Date 2023-05-19

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £6,480

Winning Time 1m 26.37s (slow by 3.57s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Good Karma (GB) Daniel Muscutt · James Ferguson	5/1	Won
2nd	Chelsea Square (IRE) Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett	20/1	1.5
3rd	Resolute Man (GB) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	4/6F	0.05
4th	Oliver Show (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Sir Michael Stoute	11/2	1.25
5th	Believe You Me (IRE) Marco Ghiani · Heather Main	66/1	3.75
6th	Shaaden (IRE) Dane O'Neill · Marcus Tregoning	25/1	2.25
7th	English Oak (GB) Saffie Osborne · Ed Walker	15/2	1
8th	Decisive Call (IRE) George Rooke · Roger Teal	28/1	2
9th	Fantastic Artist (IRE) Finley Marsh · Ali Stronge	200/1	2.25
10th	Two Plus Two (IRE) Trevor Whelan · Ed de Giles	300/1	7
11th	Charlatan (IRE) Hayley Turner · David Simcock	100/1	2.25

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (9)	Resolute Man Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	137	—	1-	-	92	56	221d	—	—	-20	25	0.23/1	10/11 52%
Yarmouth winner with a St James's Palace entry; packs plenty of potential.
NR (3)	Fox Island Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Hannon	J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Hannon	125	—	44-	-	-	-	283d	—	—	-15	6.6	—	—
Beaten about 4l in maidens; probably best watched with a view to when she enters handicaps
1 (2)	Good Karma Grey J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	137	—	01-	-	89	14	171d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-2	15	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Penalised for his win at Wolverhampton but won that by 4l and could be useful.
8 (11)	Oliver Show Chestnut J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	130	—	7-	-	79	-	218d	—	—	-10	4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Struggled as fav on the AW in Oct; interesting to see if there's any confidence behind him
6 (4)	English Oak Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	1.50/1	7 14%
200,000gns yearling; lacks experience but is bred to be above average.
12 (8)	Shaaden Bay J:Dane O'Neill T:Marcus Tregoning	J:Dane O'Neill T:Marcus Tregoning	125	—	3-6	-	90	77	15d	—	—	-2	3.7	3.75/1	16 6%
Upset in the stalls on reappearance; remains a smart prospect based on her initial effort.
4 (7)	Chelsea Square Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	4.25/1	18 6%
75,000gns yearling and dam is related to some very useful types.
5 (6)	Decisive Call Bay J:George Rooke T:Roger Teal	J:George Rooke T:Roger Teal	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	4.75/1	20 5%
£17,000 yearling; 14th foal; more than likely best watched on debut.
3 (12)	Charlatan Chestnut J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	130	—	6-8	-	49	19	21d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Beaten 20l and 17l in his first two runs; will earn a mark after this.
7 (1)	Fantastic Artist Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Ali Stronge	J:Finley Marsh T:Ali Stronge	130	—	97-	-	62	-	163d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Has a lot to find on the form he showed in two 1m novices at Kempton last backend.
10 (5)	Believe You Me Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Heather Main	J:Marco Ghiani T:Heather Main	125	p	67-	-	68	-	156d	—	—	-1	0.3	31.00/1	125 1%
Comfortably held in her two races last season, both at Kempton over 7f and 1m.
9 (10)	Two Plus Two Chestnut J:Trevor Whelan T:Ed De Giles	J:Trevor Whelan T:Ed De Giles	130	—	—	-	42	-	16d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.25/1	150 1%
Went off 80-1 at Kempton (7f) and was always in rear after starting slowly.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Resolute Man	5/6	10/11	10/11	10/11	10/11
Fox Island	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Good Karma	4	9/2	4	4	4
Oliver Show	13/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
English Oak	7	11/2	6	6	6
Shaaden	14	16	14	14	16
Chelsea Square	16	18	16	16	16
Decisive Call	20	12	14	16	16
Charlatan	100	100	80	80	80
Fantastic Artist	150	150	150	150	150
Believe You Me	66	125	125	125	125
Two Plus Two	150	150	150	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Resolute Man

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 15

10/11

2nd

Good Karma

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Fox Island

6.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.6

—

Oliver Show

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Shaaden

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

English Oak

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

Decisive Call

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Chelsea Square

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Charlatan

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Fantastic Artist

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Believe You Me

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125

Two Plus Two

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Resolute Man	—	92	56
Fox Island	—	—	—
Good Karma	—	89	14
Oliver Show	—	79	—
English Oak	—	—	—
Shaaden	—	90	77
Chelsea Square	—	—	—
Decisive Call	—	—	—
Charlatan	—	49	19
Fantastic Artist	—	62	—
Believe You Me	—	68	—
Two Plus Two	—	42	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Shaaden	15d ago	Fit
Two Plus Two	16d ago	Fit
Charlatan	21d ago	Fit
Believe You Me	156d ago	Long break
Fantastic Artist	163d ago	Long break
Good Karma	171d ago	Long break
Oliver Show	218d ago	Long break
Resolute Man	221d ago	Long break
Fox Island	283d ago	Long break
English Oak	—	—
Chelsea Square	—	—
Decisive Call	—	—