Racehorse Lotto 'Draw Results Now Live' Handicap (Jockey Club Grassroots Mile Series Qualifier)

Newmarket

17:05

Date 2023-05-19

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £5,234

Runners (16)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
10 (2)	Aurora Dawn Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Ed Walker	J:Hollie Doyle T:Ed Walker	132	—	6-533	67	77	-	31d	—	—	-4	7.3	8 13%
Four runs on AW, showing clear promise; good test at 7f should suit; more to come
7 (1)	Oriental Dancer Chestnut J:Liam Keniry T:Richard Hannon	J:Liam Keniry T:Richard Hannon	133	—	7982-	68	79	73	227d	—	—	+1	12.8	13/2 13%
Promising nursery debut when last seen (7f, good); more to come this year; interesting
1 (9)	Abbadia Bay J:Ben Curtis T:George Boughey	J:Ben Curtis T:George Boughey	137	p	5642	72	79	56	30d	—	—	+3	13.4	15/2 12%
Improved for headgear/handicaps when close 2nd at Beverley last month; up 3lb; chance
4 (3)	Ravens Applause Bay J:James Doyle T:Ed Dunlop	J:James Doyle T:Ed Dunlop	135	—	734	70	78	31	15d	—	—	-1	10.2	15/2 12%
Promise in three quick runs this spring; likely improver now handicapping
2 (12)	Carvetii Chestnut J:Harrison Shaw T:Declan Carroll	J:Harrison Shaw T:Declan Carroll	135	—	343-82	70	78	47	20d	—	—	-2	7.7	15/2 12%
Good 2nd at Leicester latest (7f, soft); back up in weights but drying ground no problem
5 (7)	Wadi Bani Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Seamus Durack	J:Jamie Spencer T:Seamus Durack	134	t	88-372	69	77	56	11d	—	—	-2	7.3	9 11%
Second over 6f 11 days ago; still to prove he stays 7f but returning tongue-tie can help
12 (4)	Miss Gallagher Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:William Jarvis	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Jarvis	132	—	47420-	67	76	62	227d	—	—	+2	10	11 9%
Bits of form at two that give her claims; reportedly failed to stay 7f latest
15 (13)	Chalk Mountain Grey J:Harry Davies(3) T:Stuart Kittow	J:Harry Davies(3) T:Stuart Kittow	129	—	0450-1	64	76	60	24d	—	—	+8	15.6	12 8%
Off the mark at Wolverhampton on his 3yo return; 4lb higher but still has more to come
3 (5)	Liberty Mountain Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Joseph Parr	J:Ray Dawson T:Joseph Parr	135	—	5531-5	70	77	67	17d	—	—	+1	6.6	16 6%
7f AW winner last season; encouraging seasonal return; unraced on slower than good
6 (6)	Hurricane Kiko Grey J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	134	—	321-6	69	72	48	51d	—	—	+1	6.4	20 5%
1m AW winner last season; well held on return; looks too high in the weights
13 (11)	So Chic Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charles Hills	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charles Hills	131	—	242194	66	78	-	24d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+6	12.1	14 7%
In good form over 7f on AW this year; not at best over 1m the last twice; yard in form
16 (14)	Mysterious Maestro Bay J:Harry Burns(3) T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Burns(3) T:Simon & Ed Crisford	126	v	967-5	61	75	50	15d	—	—	0	3.8	22 5%
Better run on handicap debut latest; return to 7f can help; still has more to come
11 (15)	Mister X Bay J:Luke Catton(5) T:Stuart Williams	J:Luke Catton(5) T:Stuart Williams	132	t	426157	67	76	67	31d	—	—	+8	11.2	28 4%
Four handicap wins already but his last two runs have been underwhelming
8 (16)	Muy Muy Guapo Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	133	—	35-674	68	78	59	51d	—	—	+1	5.7	22 5%
Not looked ahead of his mark on AW this year; hopes pined on this return to turf reviving
14 (10)	Topo Chico Grey J:Joey Haynes T:Joseph Parr	J:Joey Haynes T:Joseph Parr	131	p	3-4224	66	79	-	31d	—	—	+4	7	33 3%
Ten-race maiden but often placed; behind Aurora Dawn latest; each-way claims again
9 (8)	House Of Dragons Bay J:Laura Pearson(3) T:Seamus Durack	J:Laura Pearson(3) T:Seamus Durack	132	—	534-	67	75	-	211d	—	—	+4	7.1	28 4%
Best run for former yard came over 8.5f; opening mark no obvious gift on stable debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Aurora Dawn	8	13/2	6	13/2	13/2
Oriental Dancer	6	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Abbadia	15/2	7	7	7	7
Ravens Applause	6	15/2	15/2	7	7
Carvetii	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Wadi Bani	15/2	9	9	9	9
Miss Gallagher	11	10	10	10	10
Chalk Mountain	12	11/1	10	9	9
Liberty Mountain	16	14	14	14	14
Hurricane Kiko	20	12	12	14	14
So Chic	12	14	12	14	14
Mysterious Maestro	18	22	20	22	22
Mister X	28	25	22	25	25
Muy Muy Guapo	20	22	20	22	22
Topo Chico	33	22	22	25	25
House Of Dragons	28	25	25	28	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Chalk Mountain

15.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

2nd

Abbadia

13.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

3rd

Oriental Dancer

12.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

So Chic

12.1

OR: 4 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.6

Mister X

11.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 6 Odds: 1

Ravens Applause

10.2

OR: 5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Miss Gallagher

OR: 4.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.2

Carvetii

7.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Aurora Dawn

7.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Wadi Bani

7.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

House Of Dragons

7.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.8

Topo Chico

OR: 4 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

Liberty Mountain

6.6

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Hurricane Kiko

6.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Muy Muy Guapo

5.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Mysterious Maestro

3.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Abbadia	72	79	56
Ravens Applause	70	78	31
Carvetii	70	78	47
Liberty Mountain	70	77	67
Wadi Bani	69	77	56
Hurricane Kiko	69	72	48
Oriental Dancer	68	79	73
Muy Muy Guapo	68	78	59
Aurora Dawn	67	77	—
Miss Gallagher	67	76	62
Mister X	67	76	67
House Of Dragons	67	75	—
So Chic	66	78	—
Topo Chico	66	79	—
Chalk Mountain	64	76	60
Mysterious Maestro	61	75	50

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Wadi Bani	11d ago	Quick return
Ravens Applause	15d ago	Fit
Mysterious Maestro	15d ago	Fit
Liberty Mountain	17d ago	Fit
Carvetii	20d ago	Fit
Chalk Mountain	24d ago	Fit
So Chic	24d ago	Fit
Abbadia	30d ago	Fit
Aurora Dawn	31d ago	Fit
Mister X	31d ago	Fit
Topo Chico	31d ago	Fit
Hurricane Kiko	51d ago	Fresh
Muy Muy Guapo	51d ago	Fresh
House Of Dragons	211d ago	Long break
Oriental Dancer	227d ago	Long break
Miss Gallagher	227d ago	Long break