Owenstown Stud Stakes (Listed Race) – Naas

Naas

15:15

Owenstown Stud Stakes (Listed Race)

Date 2023-05-21

Distance 7f

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €23,600

Winning Time 1m 26.46s (slow by 3.86s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Cosmic Vega (IRE) Ronan Whelan · M Halford & T Collins	14/1	Won
2nd	Young Champion (IRE) Ben Coen · J P Murtagh	6/1	0.1
3rd	New Energy (IRE) Robbie Colgan · Ms Sheila Lavery	5/2F	1.5
4th	Panic Alarm (IRE) Shane Foley · Mrs John Harrington	9/2	0.05
5th	Mutasarref (GB) Colin Keane · G M Lyons	7/2	1.5
6th	Monaasib (GB) Chris Hayes · Kevin Prendergast	16/1	.5
7th	Yerwanthere (IRE) Declan McDonogh · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	13/2	0.3
8th	Villanova Queen (IRE) Scott McCullagh · Mrs John Harrington	25/1	0.3
9th	La Dolce Vita (IRE) Killian Leonard · Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	50/1	1
10th	American Kestrel (IRE) Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	33/1	0.2
11th	Smile Of Love (IRE) Mark Enright · G M Lyons	28/1	.75

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (10)	Lord Massusus Brown J:TBC T:Joseph G Murphy	J: T:Joseph G Murphy	126	—	113-11	106	116	86	15d	—	—	+1	19.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Improving sort who is worth a shot at this following a recent 6f course handicap success
1 (7)	Mutasarref Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	140	—	56111-	109	114	85	282d	—	—	+23	42.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Completed a hat-trick of 7f wins when taking a Listed race at Cork last August, respected
4 (2)	New Energy Chestnut J:Robbie Colgan T:Ms Sheila Lavery	J:Robbie Colgan T:Ms Sheila Lavery	137	—	8726-4	112	115	97	14d	—	—	-1	22.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Second in last year's Irish 2,000 Guineas, capable of much better than on seasonal debut
10 (1)	Panic Alarm Brown J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	126	—	311-33	94	109	77	33d	—	—	+2	14.6	1.00/1	5 20%
Won twice at two including over C&D, appears held by Lord Massusus on Gowran running
8 (3)	Yerwanthere Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	132	—	11-	93	107	80	170d	—	—	+19	31.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Joined this stable after debut win last June, Dundalk winner in December, jumps in class
11 (12)	Sharlouk Chestnut J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	126	—	7-41	-	97	93	14d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-7	2.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won a maiden over this trip at Leopardstown, rise in class may be a bit much for him
3 (6)	Monaasib Bay J:Chris Hayes T:Kevin Prendergast	J:Chris Hayes T:Kevin Prendergast	137	t	5220-3	103	112	83	31d	—	—	+13	17.5	4.75/1	20 5%
Two wins were as a juvenile, overall profile suggests he is flattered by his 103 rating
7 (8)	Villanova Queen Chestnut J:Scott McCullagh T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Scott McCullagh T:Mrs John Harrington	132	—	/38-16	100	110	50	14d	—	—	+9	13.7	4.75/1	20 5%
Did not handle testing conditions on latest, this should be more suitable at least
2 (11)	Cosmic Vega Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:M Halford & T Collins	J:Ronan Whelan T:M Halford & T Collins	137	—	151-03	103	112	93	35d	—	—	+10	14.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Useful form last season when won twice over 1m, solid third in Curragh Group 3 on latest
6 (5)	Smile Of Love Bay J:Mark Enright T:G M Lyons	J:Mark Enright T:G M Lyons	132	t	/2113-	94	106	52	198d	—	—	+25	28.5	6.75/1	28 4%
Progressive in her four starts last year, not in the same league as stablemate Mutasarref
5 (4)	American Kestrel Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	132	h	/6525-	96	100	61	210d	—	—	+13	15.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Went close to winning at this level in France last September, more needed on Irish debut
12 (9)	La Dolce Vita Grey J:Killian Leonard T:Donnacha Aidan Obrien	J:Killian Leonard T:Donnacha Aidan Obrien	121	—	3675-0	96	106	88	49d	—	—	+10	12.2	12.25/1	50 2%
Fifth in the Moyglare on final start at two, in rear in a Group 3 event on seasonal debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lord Massusus	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Mutasarref	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	3
New Energy	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Panic Alarm	5	5	5	5	5
Yerwanthere	5	11/2	6	6	11/2
Sharlouk	8	15/2	7	15/2	15/2
Monaasib	20	16	16	16	16
Villanova Queen	20	18	18	18	18/1
Cosmic Vega	16	16	16	16	16/1
Smile Of Love	28	25	25	25	25
American Kestrel	28	28	28	28	28
La Dolce Vita	50	33	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mutasarref

42.5

OR: 14.8 Form: 22 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Yerwanthere

31.4

OR: 10.8 Form: 17 Odds: 3.6

11/2

3rd

Smile Of Love

28.5

OR: 11 Form: 16.5 Odds: 1

New Energy

22.8

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Lord Massusus

19.2

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Monaasib

17.5

OR: 13.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

American Kestrel

15.9

OR: 11.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.9

Panic Alarm

14.6

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

Cosmic Vega

14.6

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Villanova Queen

13.7

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

La Dolce Vita

12.2

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Sharlouk

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
New Energy	112	115	97
Mutasarref	109	114	85
Lord Massusus	106	116	86
Monaasib	103	112	83
Cosmic Vega	103	112	93
Villanova Queen	100	110	50
American Kestrel	96	100	61
La Dolce Vita	96	106	88
Panic Alarm	94	109	77
Smile Of Love	94	106	52
Yerwanthere	93	107	80
Sharlouk	—	97	93

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
New Energy	14d ago	Fit
Sharlouk	14d ago	Fit
Villanova Queen	14d ago	Fit
Lord Massusus	15d ago	Fit
Monaasib	31d ago	Fit
Panic Alarm	33d ago	Fit
Cosmic Vega	35d ago	Fit
La Dolce Vita	49d ago	Fresh
Yerwanthere	170d ago	Long break
Smile Of Love	198d ago	Long break
American Kestrel	210d ago	Long break
Mutasarref	282d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Naas over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.