Welsh Cottage Cakes Handicap Hurdle – Ffos Las

Ffos Las

15:50

Welsh Cottage Cakes Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-05-22

Distance 1m7f182y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,225

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1	John Betjeman Bay J:Fergus Gillard(3) T:Mark Gillard	J:Fergus Gillard(3) T:Mark Gillard	168	b	72312-	112	114	107	—	—	—	+14	37.8	5/2 29%
Gained all three wins over C&D and returns here in good form; respected
2	Nibras Gold Bay J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	165	t	2125-	109	109	63	258d	—	—	+11	30.5	7/2 22%
Took well to hurdling last summer; absent since underwhelming handicap debut in September
8	Cumhacht Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Rebecca Curtis	J:Harry Cobden T:Rebecca Curtis	150	t	97843-	94	114	87	36d	—	—	0	19.7	10/3 23%
Made the frame on both hurdling starts and is open to improvement in handicaps
NR	Gavin Bay J:Ben Jones T:Peter Bowen	J:Ben Jones T:Peter Bowen	155	ht	5502-1	99	110	91	13d	—	—	+6	29.4	7/2 22%
Signed off for Joe Ponting with easy win at Fakenham this month; now with new yard
9	Coal Fire Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Peter Bowen	J:Sean Bowen T:Peter Bowen	148	—	7008-	92	112	58	119d	—	—	+2	13.8	13/2 13%
Showed first glimmer of promise in C&D novice in January; makes handicap debut today
10	Good Impression Bay J:Ellis Collier(7) T:Bernard Llewellyn	J:Ellis Collier(7) T:Bernard Llewellyn	144	—	1355-7	88	119	90	13d	—	—	+2	12.6	15/2 12%
Needs to better his recent efforts but won over C&D off today's mark in October
NR	Karannelle Bay J:Lorcan Williams T:David Rees	J:Lorcan Williams T:David Rees	158	t	3522-4	102	111	96	7d	—	—	-1	18.6	10 10%
Dual winner last summer and made pleasing reappearance last week; shortlisted
6	Turpin Gold Bay J:Sean Houlihan T:Robert Stephens	J:Sean Houlihan T:Robert Stephens	157	—	/3214-	101	110	64	223d	—	—	+17	25.4	11 9%
Stratford novice winner in September; may have improvement to come in handicaps this year
3	Tiger Voice Bay J:Robert Williams(3) T:Bernard Llewellyn	J:Robert Williams(3) T:Bernard Llewellyn	159	tp	945P6-	103	104	75	37d	—	—	+9	15	12 8%
Useful in his prime but in poor form for new stable this year
5	Loukarak Bay J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	157	—	F532P-	107	-	-	25d	—	—	+15	18.4	40 3%
Showed ability in France last year but was pulled up on recent stable debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
John Betjeman	5/2	3	3	9/4	3
Nibras Gold	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Cumhacht	4	10/3	10/3	3	3
Gavin	SP	7/2	10/3	4	SP
Coal Fire	11/2	13/2	13/2	6	6
Good Impression	8	15/2	7	7	7
Karannelle	10	10	9	10	10
Turpin Gold	11	9	10	10	10
Tiger Voice	12	12	11	12	12
Loukarak	40	33	22	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

John Betjeman

37.8

OR: 15.5 Form: 15 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Nibras Gold

30.5

OR: 14.8 Form: 10 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Gavin

29.4

OR: 12.3 Form: 10 Odds: 7.1

7/2

Turpin Gold

25.4

OR: 12.8 Form: 10.4 Odds: 2.2

Cumhacht

19.7

OR: 11 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Karannelle

18.6

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 5.6

Loukarak

18.4

OR: 14.3 Form: 3.2 Odds: 1

Tiger Voice

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Coal Fire

13.8

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Good Impression

12.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
John Betjeman	112	114	107
Nibras Gold	109	109	63
Loukarak	107	—	—
Tiger Voice	103	104	75
Karannelle	102	111	96
Turpin Gold	101	110	64
Gavin	99	110	91
Cumhacht	94	114	87
Coal Fire	92	112	58
Good Impression	88	119	90

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Karannelle	7d ago	Quick return
Gavin	13d ago	Quick return
Good Impression	13d ago	Quick return
Loukarak	25d ago	Fit
Cumhacht	36d ago	Fit
Tiger Voice	37d ago	Fit
Coal Fire	119d ago	Long break
Turpin Gold	223d ago	Long break
Nibras Gold	258d ago	Long break
John Betjeman	—	—