Guinness Apprentice Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

5:30

Guinness Apprentice Handicap

Date 2023-05-24

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7 (10)	Bulls Aye ch J:Sophie Clements(3) T:Iain Jardine	J:Sophie Clements(3) T:Iain Jardine	132	v	-38237	57	70	57	1d	—	—	-8	13.1	11/4 27%
Placed twice in a row this month then didn't enjoy a clear run here yesterday
9 (4)	Hostelry ch J:Alex Jary(3) T:Ruth Carr	J:Alex Jary(3) T:Ruth Carr	129	—	77-252	54	74	62	9d	—	—	-12	6.4	7/2 22%
Sole win came off 3lb higher; creditable second at Musselburgh last time; in the mix
1 (5)	Shine On Brendan b J:Archie Young(7) T:Jim Goldie	J:Archie Young(7) T:Jim Goldie	141	—	86-922	66	75	19	17d	—	—	-8	9	7/2 22%
Creditable second the last twice; threatening to regain the winning thread; respected
NR (8)	Cosa Sara b J:Curtis Wilson-Ruddock(7) T:Jim Goldie	J:Curtis Wilson-Ruddock(7) T:Jim Goldie	131	—	37-017	56	72	53	9d	—	—	-7	4.8	15/2 12%
Three-time C&D winner, most recently beating Bulls Aye on penultimate outing
5 (9)	Engles Rock b J:William Pyle(3) T:Lucinda Russell	J:William Pyle(3) T:Lucinda Russell	137	p	64-550	62	75	39	24d	—	—	-4	5.9	15/2 12%
Interesting back at Ayr having gained last two wins over C&D (including off 2lb higher)
2 (6)	Super Stars b J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	140	—	63383-	65	71	60	—	—	—	+3	11.4	12 8%
0-12 on Flat and all of his place form is over further than 1m
6 (1)	Big Dream b J:Shane Markey(7) T:Anthony Mccann	J:Shane Markey(7) T:Anthony Mccann	134	tp	0097-0	59	72	63	138d	—	—	-4	4.5	9 11%
Far from consistent since sole win but current mark is workable
10 (3)	Retirement Beckons b J:Alex Fielding(3) T:Linda Perratt	J:Alex Fielding(3) T:Linda Perratt	128	—	035-50	53	74	-	5d	—	—	-4	2.5	12/1 8%
Suited by Ayr but has a question mark over current form
3 (2)	Rogue Force b J:Elle-May Croot(3) T:R Mike Smith	J:Elle-May Croot(3) T:R Mike Smith	140	—	7-5546	65	73	38	20d	—	—	0	5.1	20/1 5%
Turf record isn't solid but this drop in class may help; second run for new yard
4 (7)	Esticky End b J:Gianluca Sanna T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Gianluca Sanna T:David & Nicola Barron	138	—	01046-	63	73	67	317d	—	—	+4	7.2	25 4%
Goes well fresh; needs a close look on return from ten-month absence

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Bulls Aye	3	11/4	3	3	11/4
Hostelry	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Shine On Brendan	4	4	7/2	4	4
Cosa Sara	7	8	15/2	8	8
Engles Rock	8	15/2	13/2	15/2	15/2
Super Stars	10	10	12	10/1	10/1
Big Dream	9	9	9	9	9
Retirement Beckons	12/1	12	11	12	12
Rogue Force	20/1	18	14	18	18
Esticky End	25	25	20	25	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bulls Aye

13.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 5.2 Odds: 6.2

11/4

2nd

Super Stars

11.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 5.4 Odds: 2.2

3rd

Shine On Brendan

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Esticky End

7.2

OR: 3.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1

Hostelry

6.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Engles Rock

5.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Rogue Force

5.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Cosa Sara

4.8

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Big Dream

4.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Retirement Beckons

2.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Shine On Brendan Top Rated	66	75	19
Super Stars	65	71	60
Rogue Force	65	73	38
Esticky End	63	73	67
Engles Rock	62	75	39
Big Dream	59	72	63
Bulls Aye	57	70	57
Cosa Sara	56	72	53
Hostelry	54	74	62
Retirement Beckons	53	74	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bulls Aye	1d ago	Quick return
Retirement Beckons	5d ago	Quick return
Hostelry	9d ago	Quick return
Cosa Sara	9d ago	Quick return
Shine On Brendan	17d ago	Fit
Rogue Force	20d ago	Fit
Engles Rock	24d ago	Fit
Big Dream	138d ago	Long break
Esticky End	317d ago	Long break
Super Stars	—	—