Octagon Consultancy Handicap – Bath

Bath

17:35

Octagon Consultancy Handicap

Date 2023-05-26

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,245

Winning Time 1m 37.95s (slow by 0.45s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	My Ambition (IRE) Rob Hornby · Denis Coakley	14/1	Won
2nd	Mabre (IRE) Olivia Tubb · David Evans	100/30	2.5
3rd	Havana Goldrush (GB) Charles Bishop · J S Moore	100/30	.5
4th	Ermin Street (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Mark Loughnane	5/1	2
5th	Eye Of The Water (IRE) Kevin Stott · Ronald Harris	3/1F	0.3
6th	Sisters In The Sky (GB) Millie Wonnacott · Grace Harris	50/1	1.5
7th	Trans Montana (GB) John Fahy · Clive Cox	8/1	3
8th	Keeper's Choice (IRE) Finley Marsh · Adrian Wintle	10/1	5

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (3)	Mabre Grey J:Olivia Tubb(7) T:David Evans	J:Olivia Tubb(7) T:David Evans	137	b	712391	67	81	73	7d	—	—	+1	27.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Avoids a penalty for recent Newbury success, but fast ground would be a worry
6 (6)	Havana Goldrush Bay J:Charles Bishop T:J S Moore	J:Charles Bishop T:J S Moore	134	b	-72127	64	78	51	22d	—	—	+1	18.5	0.75/1	4 25%
Two good efforts over C&D on good to soft lately, but quick ground here would be a concern
7 (1)	Eye Of The Water Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Ronald Harris	J:Kevin Stott T:Ronald Harris	133	p	185313	63	79	51	10d	—	—	+3	19.8	0.75/1	4 25%
Best form on good and softer including C&D win, but has run well on fast ground
1 (4)	Ermin Street Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Mark Loughnane	137	t	07-755	67	76	60	9d	—	—	-8	9.3	0.75/1	4 25%
1-14 and out of the frame in all six starts for this yard; may need further than this now
NR (8)	Revolutionary Man Bay J:Connor Planas(5) T:Robyn Brisland	J:Connor Planas(5) T:Robyn Brisland	126	—	02-212	56	79	54	2d	—	—	-10	5.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
5-26 on the AW and 0-10 on turf, but only beaten a head at Yarmouth on Wednesday
4 (9)	Keepers Choice Chestnut J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	136	—	24004-	66	80	77	165d	—	—	-1	7.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Three-time C&D winner on good and faster ground; has gone well fresh in the past
5 (2)	Trans Montana Bay J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	134	v	2222-0	64	79	57	23d	—	—	-2	5.6	2.50/1	11 9%
0-12 and will need to fare better than on her return from a lengthy absence this month
9 (5)	My Ambition Chestnut J:Rob Hornby T:Denis Coakley	J:Rob Hornby T:Denis Coakley	125	—	1684-0	55	77	66	35d	—	—	-3	3	3.25/1	14 7%
Well behind two of these on his return from a 177-day absence over C&D last month
2 (7)	Sisters In The Sky Chestnut J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:Grace Harris	J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:Grace Harris	137	p	250008	67	76	44	10d	—	—	+2	5	9.75/1	40 3%
Has lost his way lately including in three starts for this yard; hard to recommend

Horse	bet365	Coral
Mabre	9/4	5/2
Havana Goldrush	4	4
Eye Of The Water	4	4
Ermin Street	4	4
Revolutionary Man	9/2	9/2
Keepers Choice	12	10
Trans Montana	11	11
My Ambition	14	12
Sisters In The Sky	40	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mabre

27.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 15 Odds: 8

5/2

2nd

Eye Of The Water

19.8

OR: 3.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 5

3rd

Havana Goldrush

18.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 10 Odds: 5

Ermin Street

9.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

Keepers Choice

7.1

OR: 4 Form: 1 Odds: 2.1

Revolutionary Man

5.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Trans Montana

5.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Sisters In The Sky

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

My Ambition

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mabre	67	81	73
Ermin Street	67	76	60
Sisters In The Sky	67	76	44
Keepers Choice	66	80	77
Havana Goldrush	64	78	51
Trans Montana	64	79	57
Eye Of The Water	63	79	51
Revolutionary Man	56	79	54
My Ambition	55	77	66

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Revolutionary Man	2d ago	Quick return
Mabre	7d ago	Quick return
Ermin Street	9d ago	Quick return
Eye Of The Water	10d ago	Quick return
Sisters In The Sky	10d ago	Quick return
Havana Goldrush	22d ago	Fit
Trans Montana	23d ago	Fit
My Ambition	35d ago	Fit
Keepers Choice	165d ago	Long break