Cartmel Racecourse Open Hunters' Chase – Cartmel

Cartmel

20:20

Cartmel Racecourse Open Hunters' Chase

Date 2023-05-31

Distance 3m1f107y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £3,080

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Time Leader Bay J:Mr Huw Edwards(7) T:J J Oshea	J:Mr Huw Edwards(7) T:J J Oshea	172	—	11P5-1	129	137	96	21d	—	—	-3	47	0.18/1	8/11 58%
Useful hunter; fifth in the Aintree Foxhunters and has since won a Kelso novice; chance
1	Dressedforsuccess Bay J:Mr Nick Orpwood(3) T:James Moffatt	J:Mr Nick Orpwood(3) T:James Moffatt	176	—	6U46P-	120	127	86	73d	—	—	+9	20.8	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Five-time course winner; pulled up in a hunter chase last time (heavy); better expected
7	Step Back Chestnut J:Miss Lily Bradstock(7) T:Mark Bradstock	J:Miss Lily Bradstock(7) T:Mark Bradstock	168	b	5P420-	112	127	105	48d	—	—	+10	21.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Good second at Carlisle in March, but well beaten at Aintree next time; each-way chance
3	Write It Down Bay J:Miss Immy Robinson(5) T:R A Owen	J:Miss Immy Robinson(5) T:R A Owen	172	tp	O42P1-	102	101	65	—	—	—	+19	26.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Awarded this race when 50-1 in 2022; mixed form since, but won a point latest; a possible
4	Gaboriot Chestnut J:Miss Alice Stevens(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Miss Alice Stevens(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	168	p	4PU23-	110	119	96	37d	—	—	+16	22	2.75/1	12 8%
Won times at up to 2m6f in France; yet to win in this company this year; a bit to prove
6	Shoal Bay Bay J:Mr Oliver Boyden(7) T:Olly Murphy	J:Mr Oliver Boyden(7) T:Olly Murphy	168	—	/PP12-	118	127	65	—	—	—	+24	29.2	3.75/1	16 6%
Has won three chases, the latest in 2020; mainly disappointing since; others stronger
8	Urbanist Bay J:Mr Toby McCain-Mitchell(7) T:R J Holmes	J:Mr Toby McCain-Mitchell(7) T:R J Holmes	168	—	P52-51	89	89	32	—	—	—	+7	10.8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Easy winner of a five-runner point last time (3m, good) but has a stiffer task here
5	Kilbrew Boy Bay J:Mr Charlie Case(7) T:Ben Case	J:Mr Charlie Case(7) T:Ben Case	168	—	2212-P	88	91	-	26d	—	—	+7	10.4	8.00/1	33 3%
Two chase wins over 2m4f; pulled up over 4m at Cheltenham last time; others look stronger.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Time Leader	8/11	8/11	8/11	4/6	4/6
Dressedforsuccess	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	6/1
Step Back	13/2	6	6	6	6
Write It Down	12	10	10	11	11
Gaboriot	12	12	12	12	12
Shoal Bay	14	14	16	16	16
Urbanist	20	18	20	20	28/1
Kilbrew Boy	22	33	33	28	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Time Leader

OR: 19.8 Form: 10 Odds: 17.2

8/11

2nd

Shoal Bay

29.2

OR: 17 Form: 10.8 Odds: 1.4

3rd

Write It Down

26.4

OR: 13 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.9

Gaboriot

OR: 15 Form: 5.3 Odds: 1.7

Step Back

21.9

OR: 15.5 Form: 3.1 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Dressedforsuccess

20.8

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Urbanist

10.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Kilbrew Boy

10.4

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Time Leader	129	137	96
Dressedforsuccess	120	127	86
Shoal Bay	118	127	65
Step Back	112	127	105
Gaboriot	110	119	96
Write It Down	102	101	65
Urbanist	89	89	32
Kilbrew Boy	88	91	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Time Leader	21d ago	Fit
Kilbrew Boy	26d ago	Fit
Gaboriot	37d ago	Fit
Step Back	48d ago	Fresh
Dressedforsuccess	73d ago	Fresh
Write It Down	—	—
Shoal Bay	—	—
Urbanist	—	—