Betfred Derby (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (No Geldings)

Epsom

13:30

Date 2023-06-03

Distance 1m4f6y

Class Class 1

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £885,782

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (9)	Military Order Bay J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	128	—	41-11	111	127	62	21d	—	—	+4	19.7	0.75/1	4 25%
Brother Adayar won this race; stayed 1m4f well in the Lingfield Derby Trial; improving
2 (13)	Arrest Bay J:Frankie Dettori T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Frankie Dettori T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	3112-1	115	129	110	24d	—	—	+15	30.7	0.75/1	4 25%
Suited by soft when coasting home at Chester (1m4f); could have done with some rain
4 (10)	Auguste Rodin Brown J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	128	—	2111-0	117	130	106	28d	—	—	+7	20.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Third highest-rated 2yo in Europe; lacklustre 2,000 Guineas favourite; favourite this week
9 (7)	Passenger Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	128	—	13	112	125	111	16d	—	—	+18	28.6	1.50/1	7 14%
Made debut in April; had no luck in running in the Dante at York; has been supplemented
12 (3)	The Foxes Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	128	—	911-21	113	126	115	16d	—	—	+9	18.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Again showed a will to win when taking the Dante at York (extended 1m2f); sporting chance
14 (2)	White Birch Grey J:Colin Keane T:John Joseph Murphy	J:Colin Keane T:John Joseph Murphy	128	t	51-12	112	125	114	16d	—	—	+11	17.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Making great strides and finished a close 2nd in the Dante; good chance of staying 1m4f
11 (6)	Sprewell Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	128	—	42-11	112	128	91	27d	—	—	+11	17.1	3.25/1	14 7%
All races on soft/heavy but may well handle quicker ground; looked good in Group 3 latest
3 (8)	Artistic Star Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	1-1	98	110	106	18d	—	—	+26	30.2	4.25/1	18 6%
Has done everything asked of him but this should be beyond him at this stage in career
6 (5)	Dubai Mile Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:Charlie Johnston	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Charlie Johnston	128	—	1121-5	114	128	93	28d	—	—	+13	17.2	6.00/1	25 4%
Beat Arrest in French Group 1 as 2yo; fair 5th in 2,000 Guineas; dry spell not ideal
10 (12)	San Antonio Bay J:Wayne Lordan T:A P Obrien	J:Wayne Lordan T:A P Obrien	128	—	53-11	106	121	107	23d	—	—	+11	15.1	5.25/1	22 5%
Nothing noteworthy as 2yo but emphatic AW and Chester wins in 2023; all turf runs on soft
13 (11)	Waipiro Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	128	—	6-12	108	121	58	21d	—	—	+12	15.4	8.00/1	33 3%
Creditable 2nd to Military Order in Lingfield Derby Trial but that one had his measure
1 (14)	Adelaide River Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:A P Obrien	J:Seamie Heffernan T:A P Obrien	128	—	1223-2	105	117	97	24d	—	—	+17	19.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Up against it on testing-ground form but quicker ground can suit better on pedigree
7 (4)	King Of Steel Grey J:Kevin Stott T:Roger Varian	J:Kevin Stott T:Roger Varian	128	—	17-	101	110	74	224d	—	—	+18	20.2	19.75/1	80 1%
Won debut but well held in Group 1 on final 2yo start; all to prove on reappearance
5 (1)	Dear My Friend Chestnut J:Andrea Atzeni T:Charlie Johnston	J:Andrea Atzeni T:Charlie Johnston	128	—	533-18	104	116	99	16d	—	—	+13	13.8	37.25/1	150 1%
Has plenty to find on 2yo form and having been 8th of 11 in the Dante at York

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Military Order	4	4	4	4	4
Arrest	4	4	4	4	4
Auguste Rodin	5	9/2	5	5	9/2
Passenger	7	7	7	7	7
The Foxes	8	8	17/2	8	8
White Birch	14	12	12	12	12
Sprewell	12	14	14	14	14
Artistic Star	18	18	18	18	18
Dubai Mile	25	20	20	20	20
San Antonio	20	22	20	22	22
Waipiro	25	28	28	28	33
Adelaide River	50	40	50	50	50
King Of Steel	80	66	66	66	66
Dear My Friend	150	125	125	125	125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Arrest

30.7

OR: 16.3 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

2nd

Artistic Star

30.2

OR: 12 Form: 17 Odds: 1.2

3rd

Passenger

28.6

OR: 15.5 Form: 10 Odds: 3.1

Auguste Rodin

20.8

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

King Of Steel

20.2

OR: 12.8 Form: 7 Odds: 0.5

Military Order

19.7

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

Adelaide River

19.5

OR: 13.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0.7

The Foxes

18.4

OR: 15.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

White Birch

17.4

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Dubai Mile

17.2

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Sprewell

17.1

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Waipiro

15.4

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

San Antonio

15.1

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Dear My Friend

13.8

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Auguste Rodin	117	130	106
Arrest	115	129	110
Dubai Mile	114	128	93
The Foxes	113	126	115
Passenger	112	125	111
White Birch	112	125	114
Sprewell	112	128	91
Military Order	111	127	62
Waipiro	108	121	58
San Antonio	106	121	107
Adelaide River	105	117	97
Dear My Friend	104	116	99
King Of Steel	101	110	74
Artistic Star	98	110	106

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Passenger	16d ago	Fit
The Foxes	16d ago	Fit
White Birch	16d ago	Fit
Dear My Friend	16d ago	Fit
Artistic Star	18d ago	Fit
Military Order	21d ago	Fit
Waipiro	21d ago	Fit
San Antonio	23d ago	Fit
Arrest	24d ago	Fit
Adelaide River	24d ago	Fit
Sprewell	27d ago	Fit
Auguste Rodin	28d ago	Fit
Dubai Mile	28d ago	Fit
King Of Steel	224d ago	Long break