Aston Martin 3YO "Dash" Handicap – Epsom

Epsom

14:45

Aston Martin 3YO "Dash" Handicap

Date 2023-06-03

Distance 5f

Class Class 3

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £30,924

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
13 (7)	Estate Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	123	t	27-321	77	97	92	7d	—	—	-5	11.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Off the mark in first-time tongue-strap at Salisbury; may have more in the tank
7 (9)	Jm Jungle Bay J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	128	—	27-332	82	102	79	15d	—	—	+2	10.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
In front of several of these when second at York; solid credentials; in the mix once more
2 (2)	Can To Can Bay J:Barry McHugh T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Barry McHugh T:Adrian Nicholls	135	b	920-01	89	103	-	25d	—	—	+2	12.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Bolted up in blinkers at Newcastle; major player if the headgear works a second time
6 (13)	Tatterstall Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	128	—	520-17	82	100	74	15d	—	—	+1	10.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Close up at York having won at Wolverhampton; one of two strong chances for Michael Dods
3 (14)	Russet Gold Chestnut J:Harry Davies(3) T:Roger Varian	J:Harry Davies(3) T:Roger Varian	133	—	5813-	87	100	90	239d	—	—	+11	22.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Impressive on third of four 2yo starts; reappears with untapped potential after gelding op
5 (3)	Miss Brazen Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Tom Marquand T:Michael & David Easterby	130	—	12-716	84	102	79	15d	—	—	+4	10.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Easy winner at Beverley and not disgraced in big field at York; well-run race would suit
1 (1)	Democracy Dilemma Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:David Evans	J:Hollie Doyle T:David Evans	135	v	313218	89	101	84	24d	—	—	+18	23.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Clearcut winner at Thirsk but disappointing at Chester; quick ground could be an issue
4 (8)	Grace Angel Bay J:Jason Watson T:Darryll Holland	J:Jason Watson T:Darryll Holland	132	tb	13-001	86	99	84	12d	—	—	+5	10.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Raced alone when making all at Redcar; needs to confirm the improvement off 6lb higher
11 (10)	Zuffolo Bay J:David Egan T:Michael Dods	J:David Egan T:Michael Dods	123	—	133-81	77	97	75	12d	—	—	+3	8.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Travelled strongly for Redcar win; 6lb rise could be lenient; may follow up
14 (12)	Tallulah Myla Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	120	—	36-193	74	100	-	19d	—	—	+1	7.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Has plenty of speed and today's drop to 5f could unlock further improvement; turf debut
9 (11)	Swift Asset Bay J:Andrea Atzeni T:Richard Hannon	J:Andrea Atzeni T:Richard Hannon	126	—	707-07	80	102	76	7d	—	—	+5	8.6	4.75/1	20 5%
Hasn't cut much ice in handicaps this year; falling in weights but must get back on track
8 (4)	Betweenthesticks Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	127	p	16-462	81	97	92	7d	—	—	+4	9.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Front-runner; good second at Salisbury; 4lb higher and in stronger race but not ruled out
12 (6)	Dickieburd Bay J:William Pyle(7) T:Craig Lidster	J:William Pyle(7) T:Craig Lidster	123	—	818-66	77	98	78	81d	—	—	+4	7.6	8.00/1	33 3%
Has not repeated form of last year's Chester win; more to prove than most
10 (5)	Minnesota Lad Chestnut J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	125	—	1655-9	79	98	84	24d	—	—	+5	8	9.75/1	40 3%
Raced wide on soft ground at Chester on return; more interesting on Beverley 2yo win

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Estate	4	9/2	7/2	4	4
Jm Jungle	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Can To Can	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Tatterstall	8	15/2	7	15/2	15/2
Russet Gold	7	6	6	13/2	13/2
Miss Brazen	12	11	10	11	11
Democracy Dilemma	14	12	12	12	11
Grace Angel	14	12	14	14	14
Zuffolo	16	16	16	16	14
Tallulah Myla	12	12	12	12	12
Swift Asset	20	18	18	20	20
Betweenthesticks	16	14	14	14	14
Dickieburd	33	33	22	33	33
Minnesota Lad	40	33	40	40	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Democracy Dilemma

23.9

OR: 9.8 Form: 12.4 Odds: 1.7

2nd

Russet Gold

22.6

OR: 9.3 Form: 10 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Can To Can

12.6

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Estate

11.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Tatterstall

10.7

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Grace Angel

10.6

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Jm Jungle

10.5

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Miss Brazen

10.4

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Betweenthesticks

9.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Swift Asset

8.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Zuffolo

8.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Minnesota Lad

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Tallulah Myla

7.9

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Dickieburd

7.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Can To Can	89	103	—
Democracy Dilemma	89	101	84
Russet Gold	87	100	90
Grace Angel	86	99	84
Miss Brazen	84	102	79
Jm Jungle	82	102	79
Tatterstall	82	100	74
Betweenthesticks	81	97	92
Swift Asset	80	102	76
Minnesota Lad	79	98	84
Estate	77	97	92
Zuffolo	77	97	75
Dickieburd	77	98	78
Tallulah Myla	74	100	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Estate	7d ago	Quick return
Swift Asset	7d ago	Quick return
Betweenthesticks	7d ago	Quick return
Grace Angel	12d ago	Quick return
Zuffolo	12d ago	Quick return
Jm Jungle	15d ago	Fit
Tatterstall	15d ago	Fit
Miss Brazen	15d ago	Fit
Tallulah Myla	19d ago	Fit
Democracy Dilemma	24d ago	Fit
Minnesota Lad	24d ago	Fit
Can To Can	25d ago	Fit
Dickieburd	81d ago	Fresh
Russet Gold	239d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Betweenthesticks	Front Runner
Jm Jungle	Prominent
Tatterstall	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 14 runners classified.