Bet In Running At BetVictor Fillies' Handicap – Newbury

Newbury

16:20

Bet In Running At BetVictor Fillies' Handicap

Date 2023-06-07

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,281

Winning Time 1m 22.62s (fast by 0.28s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Prenup (IRE) Marco Ghiani · Jane Chapple-Hyam	6/1	Won
2nd	Eximious (IRE) Ray Dawson · Roger Varian	11/4F	.75
3rd	Ludmilla (GB) Kieran Shoemark · John & Thady Gosden	3/1	.75
4th	Sayifyouwill (GB) Sean Levey · Amanda Perrett	4/1	0.2
5th	Havana By The Sea (IRE) Jim Crowley · Craig Lidster	4/1	.5
6th	Dynamite Katie (IRE) Connor Planas · Grace Harris	66/1	7
7th	Ellexis (IRE) George Rooke · Roger Teal	22/1	2

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (3)	Eximious Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Roger Varian	J:Ray Dawson T:Roger Varian	135	—	210-	87	91	75	257d	—	—	-1	27.6	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Comfortable Salisbury win (7f, good to firm); well beaten in Group 2 later last September
7 (5)	Ludmilla Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	126	—	3-94	78	90	47	20d	—	—	-5	14.8	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Close on debut (Newmarket 7f, soft); failed to live up to that in maidens there this term
1 (6)	Discretion Bay J:James Doyle T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:James Doyle T:Harry & Roger Charlton	139	—	4110-6	81	85	69	14d	—	—	-9	15	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Absent from Royal Ascot until good sixth of 14 at Kempton (1m, AW) two weeks ago
2 (2)	Sayifyouwill Bay J:Sean Levey T:Amanda Perrett	J:Sean Levey T:Amanda Perrett	135	—	-31718	77	88	-	14d	—	—	+6	21.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Cannot be dismissed despite lesser turf record; well treated judged on penultimate start
5 (4)	Havana By The Sea Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Craig Lidster	J:Jim Crowley T:Craig Lidster	130	—	153-68	82	89	49	18d	—	—	-3	12.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
No threat in her two handicaps this season, latterly when upped to 7f at Newmarket
6 (1)	Prenup Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Marco Ghiani T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	130	—	84-134	72	89	-	25d	—	—	-2	8.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Has done well for new yard this year on AW; player if best form is transferred
8 (7)	Dynamite Katie Bay J:Connor Planas(5) T:Grace Harris	J:Connor Planas(5) T:Grace Harris	126	—	71-24	78	88	-	83d	—	—	+5	7.8	12.25/1	50 2%
All four runs on Dundalk AW for Natalia Lupini, making all in 7f maiden on second start
4 (8)	Ellexis Bay J:George Rooke T:Roger Teal	J:George Rooke T:Roger Teal	130	—	41-5	82	83	29	58d	—	—	+6	8.7	16.25/1	66 2%
7f AW win before 229 days off; faced a stiff task on reappearance in April

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Eximious	2	7/4	2	15/8	2
Ludmilla	3	10/3	3	3	3
Discretion	11/4	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Sayifyouwill	4	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Havana By The Sea	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Prenup	6	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Dynamite Katie	50	50	50	50	50
Ellexis	50	66	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Eximious

27.6

OR: 9.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 8.9

15/8

2nd

Sayifyouwill

21.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 10.6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Discretion

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Ludmilla

14.8

OR: 7 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Havana By The Sea

12.4

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Ellexis

8.7

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Prenup

8.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Dynamite Katie

7.8

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Eximious	87	91	75
Havana By The Sea	82	89	49
Ellexis	82	83	29
Discretion	81	85	69
Ludmilla	78	90	47
Dynamite Katie	78	88	—
Sayifyouwill	77	88	—
Prenup	72	89	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Discretion	14d ago	Fit
Sayifyouwill	14d ago	Fit
Havana By The Sea	18d ago	Fit
Ludmilla	20d ago	Fit
Prenup	25d ago	Fit
Ellexis	58d ago	Fresh
Dynamite Katie	83d ago	Fresh
Eximious	257d ago	Long break