Mat's 40th Harry's 11th - Pickwick Bookmakers Handicap

Chepstow

19:30

Date 2023-06-10

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (1)	Redredrobin Bay J:William Carson T:Malcolm Saunders	J:William Carson T:Malcolm Saunders	137	—	14-411	62	71	63	15d	—	—	-12	9.2	7/2 22%
4lb higher than last time now bidding for a hat-trick but plenty of positives.
3 (10)	Connies Rose Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Grace Harris	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Grace Harris	135	—	9-4412	60	73	57	8d	—	—	-11	8.2	9/2 18%
All three wins have come at this track and she went close here last week (5f); in the mix
4 (9)	Port Noir Black J:David Probert T:Robert Stephens	J:David Probert T:Robert Stephens	129	t	778812	54	72	53	4d	—	—	+2	17.4	4 25%
Bumped into a sharp improver at Leicester earlier this week; 1lb lower now.
5 (7)	Hagia Sophia Bay J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Christopher Mason	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Christopher Mason	129	p	121-70	54	72	47	24d	—	—	-6	3.9	15/2 12%
Neither race this season has gone entirely to plan; goes well here.
9 (8)	Thegreatestshowman Chestnut J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Amy Murphy	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Amy Murphy	128	tb	9-9654	53	71	47	11d	—	—	-5	2.9	11 9%
Didn't quite last home over 6f at Lingfield 11 days ago and seems better at 5f.
8 (6)	Red Alert Bay J:William Cox T:Tony Carroll	J:William Cox T:Tony Carroll	128	p	455790	53	69	-	5d	—	—	-5	3.1	10 10%
Two Brighton wins last summer but beaten 13 times since then and mostly well held.
7 (4)	Savalas Grey J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	129	p	465815	54	69	51	1d	—	—	+1	10.7	10 10%
Recent Bath winner over shorter; back up 6lb and never figured back at Bath yesterday
6 (3)	Kyber Crystal Grey J:Taylor Fisher(5) T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Taylor Fisher(5) T:Alexandra Dunn	129	t	76-640	54	72	29	12d	—	—	-4	2.7	14 7%
Done most of her racing over 5f; not that competitive this season at 6f/7f.
10 (5)	Soldiers Son Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Grace Harris	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Grace Harris	121	tp	757-50	46	71	45	25d	—	—	-3	1	28 4%
Has form here but a strike-rate of 0-35 sets the alarm bells ringing.
1 (2)	Diamondsinthesand Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:John Oshea	J:Darragh Keenan T:John Oshea	137	—	23-660	62	70	60	40d	—	—	+1	3.8	33 3%
Maiden; had a wide draw on stable debut at Bath (5f) but didn't show a lot.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Redredrobin	7/2	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3
Connies Rose	3	4	9/2	4	4
Port Noir	4	4	4	4	4
Hagia Sophia	8	7	15/2	7	7
Thegreatestshowman	11	11	9	11	11
Red Alert	9	10	17/2	8	8
Savalas	10	8	15/2	8	17/2
Kyber Crystal	14	12	11	12	12
Soldiers Son	28	25	20	25	25
Diamondsinthesand	33	33	25	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Port Noir

17.4

OR: 1 Form: 12 Odds: 4.4

2nd

Savalas

10.7

OR: 1 Form: 7 Odds: 2.7

3rd

Redredrobin

9.2

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Connies Rose

8.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

9/2

Hagia Sophia

3.9

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Diamondsinthesand

3.8

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Red Alert

3.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Thegreatestshowman

2.9

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Kyber Crystal

2.7

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Soldiers Son

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Redredrobin	62	71	63
Diamondsinthesand	62	70	60
Connies Rose	60	73	57
Port Noir	54	72	53
Hagia Sophia	54	72	47
Savalas	54	69	51
Kyber Crystal	54	72	29
Thegreatestshowman	53	71	47
Red Alert	53	69	—
Soldiers Son	46	71	45

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Savalas	1d ago	Quick return
Port Noir	4d ago	Quick return
Red Alert	5d ago	Quick return
Connies Rose	8d ago	Quick return
Thegreatestshowman	11d ago	Quick return
Kyber Crystal	12d ago	Quick return
Redredrobin	15d ago	Fit
Hagia Sophia	24d ago	Fit
Soldiers Son	25d ago	Fit
Diamondsinthesand	40d ago	Fit