Royal Ascot Form Study On attheraces.com Classified Stakes

Lingfield (AW)

18:10

Date 2023-06-10

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,245

Winning Time 1m 37.77s (slow by 2.87s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Bo Taifan (IRE) Rob Hornby · Denis Quinn	6/1	Won
2nd	Shabs (GB) Richard Kingscote · Joseph Parr	5/2F	1.75
3rd	Endless Season (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	28/1	0.3
4th	No Turning Back (GB) Paddy Bradley · Pat Phelan	7/2	.5
5th	Royal Debut (IRE) William Carver · Simon Hodgson	10/1	2
6th	Adace (GB) Jimmy Quinn · Dean Ivory	18/1	1
7th	Chloellie (GB) Harrison Shaw · J R Jenkins	80/1	.5
8th	The Waiting Game (GB) Hollie Doyle · Jack Jones	5/1	.75
9th	Moosmee (IRE) J F Egan · Simon Dow	16/1	.5
10th	Laurentia (IRE) Charlie Bennett · Laura Mongan	25/1	1.25
11th	Sirius White (IRE) Hayley Turner · Henry Spiller	12/1	5
12th	Showdiemlad (IRE) Rose Dawes · Lydia Richards	40/1	6.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (4)	Shabs Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Joseph Parr	J:Richard Kingscote T:Joseph Parr	128	—	5-7235	48	70	63	38d	—	—	-17	7.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
0-20 but he's been placed plenty of times and is not ruled out back on AW for new yard
7 (11)	No Turning Back Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Pat Phelan	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Pat Phelan	128	—	78-402	50	72	60	49d	—	—	-12	5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Improved form when runner-up at Brighton last time and she's a key player back up in trip
12 (9)	The Waiting Game Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Jack Jones	J:Hollie Doyle T:Jack Jones	128	—	60496	50	68	42	16d	—	—	-10	4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Lightly raced 4yo but she's not progressed so far and remains best watched for now
2 (7)	Bo Taifan Grey J:Rob Hornby T:Denis Quinn	J:Rob Hornby T:Denis Quinn	128	v	/64241	50	68	52	16d	—	—	+5	15.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Got off the mark at Chelmsford last time and he's a key player again back up in trip
8 (10)	Royal Debut Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Simon Hodgson	J:William Carver(3) T:Simon Hodgson	128	—	930287	48	70	56	49d	—	—	-5	6.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Inconsistent nine-race maiden who has been well held in last two runs; others preferred
11 (2)	Sirius White Grey J:Hayley Turner T:Henry Spiller	J:Hayley Turner T:Henry Spiller	128	p	165625	49	65	59	42d	—	—	-3	5.9	2.25/1	10 10%
Has won on Polytrack (7f) this year but he will need to settle on this step back up to 1m
1 (6)	Adace Bay J:Jimmy Quinn T:Dean Ivory	J:Jimmy Quinn T:Dean Ivory	128	p	10-896	50	73	64	18d	—	—	-3	1.2	3.75/1	16 6%
Last two wins have been on Polytrack and is a big player if she can get back near best
4 (3)	Endless Season Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	J:Daniel Muscutt T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	128	p	80-700	46	64	44	36d	—	—	-4	1.4	3.75/1	16 6%
0-10 and has plenty to prove with cheekpieces added for another new yard
6 (12)	Moosmee Brown J:J F Egan T:Simon Dow	J:J F Egan T:Simon Dow	128	—	99-049	50	67	52	56d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.75/1	28 4%
Has generally struggled since his last win in 2021 and has plenty to prove back up in trip
5 (1)	Laurentia Bay J:Charlie Bennett T:Laura Mongan	J:Charlie Bennett T:Laura Mongan	128	—	5-3697	47	70	46	18d	—	—	-3	1	6.75/1	28 4%
Five time AW winner who could be dangerous back on Polytrack if she gets some luck
10 (8)	Showdiemlad Bay J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Lydia Richards	J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Lydia Richards	128	—	90-557	46	64	51	68d	—	—	-2	0.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Generally regressive 16-race maiden who was tailed off over 7f here last time
3 (5)	Chloellie Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:J R Jenkins	J:Harrison Shaw T:J R Jenkins	128	v	206270	46	65	54	37d	—	—	+1	3.1	12.25/1	50 2%
Her last win was in 2020 and she struggled at Chelmsford last time; others preferred

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Shabs	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2	5/2
No Turning Back	9/2	4	7/2	4	9/2
The Waiting Game	11/2	5	5	5	11/2
Bo Taifan	15/2	13/2	7	7	7
Royal Debut	11/2	6	6	6	6
Sirius White	10	9	8	9	17/2
Adace	16	16	16	16	16
Endless Season	16	16	14	14	14
Moosmee	28	22	22	22	22
Laurentia	20	25	25	28	28
Showdiemlad	40	40	40	40	40
Chloellie	50	40	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bo Taifan

15.4

OR: 0 Form: 12.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

2nd

Shabs

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Royal Debut

6.4

OR: 0 Form: 3.1 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Sirius White

5.9

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.4

No Turning Back

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

The Waiting Game

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Chloellie

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.6

Endless Season

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Adace

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Moosmee

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Laurentia

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Showdiemlad

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
No Turning Back	50	72	60
The Waiting Game	50	68	42
Bo Taifan	50	68	52
Adace	50	73	64
Moosmee	50	67	52
Sirius White	49	65	59
Shabs	48	70	63
Royal Debut	48	70	56
Laurentia	47	70	46
Endless Season	46	64	44
Showdiemlad	46	64	51
Chloellie	46	65	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
The Waiting Game	16d ago	Fit
Bo Taifan	16d ago	Fit
Adace	18d ago	Fit
Laurentia	18d ago	Fit
Endless Season	36d ago	Fit
Chloellie	37d ago	Fit
Shabs	38d ago	Fit
Sirius White	42d ago	Fit
No Turning Back	49d ago	Fresh
Royal Debut	49d ago	Fresh
Moosmee	56d ago	Fresh
Showdiemlad	68d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.