British EBF 40th Anniversary Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

Goodwood

14:10

Date 2023-06-11

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £7,851

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (3)	Thunder Blue Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Kevin Stott T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	133	—	2	-	93	75	17d	—	—	-15	13.9	0.47/1	15/8 35%
11-2, suffered a troubled run when close 2nd of 12 in Haydock maiden (6f, good to firm)
7 (7)	Warm Spell Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-22	10	0.44/1	7/4 36%
260,000gns yearling; powerful yard has had two good 2yo winners recently
3 (1)	Never Sell Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Archie Watson	J:Tom Marquand T:Archie Watson	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	3.25/1	14 7%
90,000euros May (breeze-up) 2yo; second foal; dam placed half-sister to two useful winners
5 (6)	Soldiers Secret Bay J:David Probert T:Saeed Bin Suroor	J:David Probert T:Saeed Bin Suroor	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Tenth foal; half-brother to six winners, three useful; needs a close look
4 (2)	Sennockian Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Charlie Johnston	J:Oisin Murphy T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	2	-	77	66	34d	—	—	-6	9.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Gave experienced favourite plenty to think about in four-runner maiden at Ayr (5f, good)
2 (5)	Dark Fandango Bay J:William Buick T:Charles Hills	J:William Buick T:Charles Hills	133	—	8	-	19	-	41d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Second favourite for maiden at Bath (5f, good to soft) but came last of eight
1 (4)	Brooklyn Express Chestnut J:Stefano Cherchi T:Amy Murphy	J:Stefano Cherchi T:Amy Murphy	133	—	6	-	51	18	38d	—	—	-1	0.5	24.75/1	100 1%
Unseated rider before well beaten in newcomers race at Chantilly (6f); gelded since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Thunder Blue	15/8	2	15/8	7/4	15/8
Warm Spell	7/4	13/8	6/4	6/4	6/4
Never Sell	14	12	12	12	12
Soldiers Secret	6	6	6	11/2	6
Sennockian	8	7	15/2	4	6
Dark Fandango	16	18	16	16	16
Brooklyn Express	66	100	100	80	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Thunder Blue

13.9

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 8.9

15/8

2nd

Warm Spell

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 10

7/4

3rd

Sennockian

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

15/2

Soldiers Secret

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Never Sell

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Dark Fandango

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Brooklyn Express

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Thunder Blue	—	93	75
Warm Spell	—	—	—
Never Sell	—	—	—
Soldiers Secret	—	—	—
Sennockian	—	77	66
Dark Fandango	—	19	—
Brooklyn Express	—	51	18

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Thunder Blue	17d ago	Fit
Sennockian	34d ago	Fit
Brooklyn Express	38d ago	Fit
Dark Fandango	41d ago	Fit
Warm Spell	—	—
Never Sell	—	—
Soldiers Secret	—	—