GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap – Navan

Navan

15:10

GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap

Date 2023-06-11

Distance 5f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €8,850

Winning Time 1m 3.31s (slow by 3.51s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Collective Power (IRE) Ben Coen · Edward Lynam	6/1F	Won
2nd	Stanhope (GB) Siobhan Rutledge · John C McConnell	17/2	.75
3rd	Sosallycanwait (IRE) Declan McDonogh · Leanne Breen	14/1	1.5
4th	Silver Nemo (IRE) Rory Cleary · Lee Smyth	28/1	0.3
5th	Pretty Smart (IRE) Jack Kearney · Patrick Martin	18/1	0.1
6th	Autumnal Breeze (IRE) Sean D Bowen · Denis Gerard Hogan	13/2	.5
7th	My Girl Sioux (IRE) Cian Horgan · Andrew Slattery	25/1	0.3
8th	Realtin Fantasy (IRE) Alan Persse · W P Browne	11/1	0.3
9th	Juno Beach (IRE) Wayne Lordan · Charles O'Brien	11/1	.75
10th	Daintree (IRE) Leigh Roche · J G Coogan	20/1	.75
11th	Just Another (IRE) Killian Leonard · Lee Smyth	50/1	0.3
12th	American In Paris (IRE) Wayne Hassett · Denis Gerard Hogan	16/1	0.1
13th	Adams Barbour (IRE) Colin Keane · Lee Smyth	16/1	0.1
14th	Ever Rock (IRE) Seamie Heffernan · J J Lambe	14/1	.75
15th	Sin E Shekells (GB) Nathan Crosse · J G Murray	16/1	.75
16th	Shoebox King (IRE) Calvin Ngcobo · Kevin Thomas Coleman	13/2	0.05
17th	King's View (IRE) Sorcha Woods · Lee Smyth	33/1	0.3
18th	Senor Carrots (IRE) Dylan Browne McMonagle · A Oliver	16/1	3.25
19th	Maggie Thunder (IRE) Chris Hayes · G Hassett	11/1	0.2

Runners (22)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (22)	Autumnal Breeze Bay J:Sean D Bowen(7) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:Sean D Bowen(7) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	125	—	4550-1	59	83	69	12d	—	—	+2	16.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Nursery form did not seem encouraging but won well on seasonal debut at Tipperary, up 2lb
1 (17)	Collective Power Chestnut J:Ben Coen T:Edward Lynam	J:Ben Coen T:Edward Lynam	142	—	242218	69	81	51	12d	—	—	+7	19.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Very reliable Dundalk performer, mid-field on return to turf at Tipperary, may do better
NR (11)	Teddy Boy Bay J:TBC T:Edward Lynam	J: T:Edward Lynam	120	—	092078	47	80	-	29d	—	—	-4	3.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Two of his four wins in a 78-race career have come at this venue, others make more appeal
8 (2)	Maggie Thunder Bay J:Chris Hayes T:G Hassett	J:Chris Hayes T:G Hassett	128	—	3985-8	55	80	67	8d	—	—	-4	3.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Three wins have all come on AW, turf record of 0-20 represents a significant concern
9 (5)	Realtin Fantasy Bay J:Alan Persse(7) T:W P Browne	J:Alan Persse(7) T:W P Browne	126	—	1029-5	53	78	72	12d	—	—	-4	2.7	2.25/1	10 10%
Lost her maiden status last year on 24th start, resumed with a solid display at Tipperary
12 (7)	Sosallycanwait Grey Roan J:Declan McDonogh T:Leanne Breen	J:Declan McDonogh T:Leanne Breen	123	—	08-955	50	77	65	19d	—	—	-4	1.4	3.75/1	16 6%
0-19 record is a negative, moderate run at Ayr on latest, previous Naas fifth was better
13 (16)	Stanhope Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(5) T:John C Mcconnell	J:Siobhan Rutledge(5) T:John C Mcconnell	123	—	174-68	50	83	59	36d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Two fair runs this term, decent record at this venue, capable of making his presence felt
15 (21)	Juno Beach Bay J:Wayne Lordan T:Charles Obrien	J:Wayne Lordan T:Charles Obrien	120	tb	60-559	47	82	77	10d	—	—	-5	1.9	2.50/1	11 9%
0-16, each-way chance on last year's best 5f form, should be better for Fairyhouse run
3 (13)	Ever Rock Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:J J Lambe	J:Seamie Heffernan T:J J Lambe	137	—	1300-0	64	82	70	78d	—	—	-1	5.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Won on yielding-to-soft over C&D last September, most of her best form on good ground
7 (18)	Daintree Bay J:Leigh Roche T:J G Coogan	J:Leigh Roche T:J G Coogan	130	v	407-47	57	83	72	79d	—	—	-2	3.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Both wins gained back-to-back at Dundalk early last year, never in first three on turf
21 (3)	American In Paris Bay J:Wayne Hassett(10) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:Wayne Hassett(10) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	119	—	501006	53	82	49	10d	—	—	+1	4.8	4.75/1	20 5%
Trainer appears to have stronger candidates in Autumnal Breeze and Peerless
NR (10)	Peerless Bay J:TBC T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J: T:Denis Gerard Hogan	124	tb	0-0962	51	78	45	10d	—	—	-6	2.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Three wins in Britain early in career, has been returning to form with each run this term;
NR (20)	Alphonse Karr Bay J:TBC T:Fergal Birrane	J: T:Fergal Birrane	121	—	009-89	48	77	46	114d	—	—	-3	1	8.00/1	33 3%
Has tumbled in the ratings, would be competitive if reproducing his 2021 British AW form
5 (12)	Adams Barbour Bay J:Colin Keane T:Lee Smyth	J:Colin Keane T:Lee Smyth	135	tb	0080-0	62	80	69	4d	—	—	-1	4.4	4.25/1	18 6%
All seven wins have been on the AW, 0-15 on turf, down the field on Wednesday
4 (15)	Pretty Smart Bay J:Jack Kearney(7) T:Patrick Martin	J:Jack Kearney(7) T:Patrick Martin	136	—	089-90	63	81	71	50d	—	—	0	4.3	6.00/1	25 4%
Below her best at Dundalk on final three starts last year, same on both 2023 turf runs
18 (19)	Silver Nemo Grey J:Rory Cleary T:Lee Smyth	J:Rory Cleary T:Lee Smyth	120	tb	36483-	47	80	27	172d	—	—	+1	4.4	8.00/1	33 3%
Won twice over 6f at Chelmsford two seasons ago, placed in three of his six runs on turf
22 (8)	My Girl Sioux Bay J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Andrew Slattery	J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Andrew Slattery	119	—	0036-6	53	62	41	156d	—	—	-1	1.5	6.75/1	28 4%
Dundalk handicap form looks well short of the standard needed, 6lb out of the handicap
19 (6)	Sin E Shekells Chestnut J:Nathan Crosse T:J G Murray	J:Nathan Crosse T:J G Murray	120	p	033064	47	75	50	10d	—	—	-1	2.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Fair form in recent months but hard to be confident bearing in mind his 0-33 record
6 (9)	Shoebox King Bay J:Calvin Ngcobo(3) T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	J:Calvin Ngcobo(3) T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	135	—	-09406	62	82	58	12d	—	—	-5	6.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Deserved his breakthrough win at Down Royal last autumn, fair sixth at Tipperary on latest
2 (1)	Senor Carrots Chestnut J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:A Oliver	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:A Oliver	140	b	-01000	67	80	48	12d	—	—	+3	8.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Went up 10lb for a breakthrough win at Dundalk in April, moderate turf form since then
17 (4)	Kings View Bay J:Sorcha Woods(7) T:Lee Smyth	J:Sorcha Woods(7) T:Lee Smyth	120	—	09508-	47	67	50	205d	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Placed 12 times but his failure to win in 56 starts has to be seen as a negative
16 (14)	Just Another Chestnut J:Killian Leonard T:Lee Smyth	J:Killian Leonard T:Lee Smyth	120	tb	00950-	47	80	45	172d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Unable to reproduce his best Newcastle form in four Dundalk appearances for this stable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Autumnal Breeze	6	5	11/2	6	9/2
Collective Power	6	11/2	6	6	5
Teddy Boy	12	9	9	9	9
Maggie Thunder	14	12	10	14	14
Realtin Fantasy	10	10	10	10	10
Sosallycanwait	16	16	16	16	16
Stanhope	8	8	9	17/2	17/2
Juno Beach	11	10	11	11	11
Ever Rock	16	16	12	16	16
Daintree	14	14	14	14	14
American In Paris	20	20	18	20	18
Peerless	17/2	8	17/2	8	17/2
Alphonse Karr	33	33	33	33	33
Adams Barbour	18	18	16	18	18
Pretty Smart	25	22	20	22	22
Silver Nemo	33	28	28	28	28
My Girl Sioux	25	28	28	25	25
Sin E Shekells	18	18	18	18	18
Shoebox King	13/2	13/2	13/2	7	7
Senor Carrots	16	16	12	16	16
Kings View	33	33	40	33	40
Just Another	50	50	50	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Collective Power

19.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 11 Odds: 3.6

11/2

2nd

Autumnal Breeze

16.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 10 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Senor Carrots

8.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

Shoebox King

6.1

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Ever Rock

5.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

American In Paris

4.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

Adams Barbour

4.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Silver Nemo

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.8

Pretty Smart

4.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Teddy Boy

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.2

Maggie Thunder

3.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Daintree

3.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Realtin Fantasy

2.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Peerless

2.7

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Sin E Shekells

2.6

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.1

Stanhope

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Juno Beach

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

My Girl Sioux

1.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Sosallycanwait

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Alphonse Karr

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Kings View

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Just Another

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Collective Power	69	81	51
Senor Carrots	67	80	48
Ever Rock	64	82	70
Pretty Smart	63	81	71
Adams Barbour	62	80	69
Shoebox King	62	82	58
Autumnal Breeze	59	83	69
Daintree	57	83	72
Maggie Thunder	55	80	67
Realtin Fantasy	53	78	72
American In Paris	53	82	49
My Girl Sioux	53	62	41
Peerless	51	78	45
Sosallycanwait	50	77	65
Stanhope	50	83	59
Alphonse Karr	48	77	46
Teddy Boy	47	80	—
Juno Beach	47	82	77
Silver Nemo	47	80	27
Sin E Shekells	47	75	50
Kings View	47	67	50
Just Another	47	80	45

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Adams Barbour	4d ago	Quick return
Maggie Thunder	8d ago	Quick return
Juno Beach	10d ago	Quick return
American In Paris	10d ago	Quick return
Peerless	10d ago	Quick return
Sin E Shekells	10d ago	Quick return
Autumnal Breeze	12d ago	Quick return
Collective Power	12d ago	Quick return
Realtin Fantasy	12d ago	Quick return
Shoebox King	12d ago	Quick return
Senor Carrots	12d ago	Quick return
Sosallycanwait	19d ago	Fit
Teddy Boy	29d ago	Fit
Stanhope	36d ago	Fit
Pretty Smart	50d ago	Fresh
Ever Rock	78d ago	Fresh
Daintree	79d ago	Fresh
Alphonse Karr	114d ago	Long break
My Girl Sioux	156d ago	Long break
Silver Nemo	172d ago	Long break
Just Another	172d ago	Long break
Kings View	205d ago	Long break